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Fantasy Baseball Daily Hitting Recap: 9/15/23

Breaking down notable hitting performances from yesterday's games

Royce Rollin’

Royce Lewis (MIN): 1-2, HR, 2 R, 4 RBI, 3 BB, SB.

Comebacks are one of my favorite things, so I’ve enjoyed seeing Royce Lewis finally get his chance to produce. He’s dealt with a litany of injuries too long to list but that’s all in the past now and he’s cruising right along hitting .302 with a .910 OPS. Last night’s grand slam to left against Jesse Scholtens (99.9 EV, 397 feet) put a bow on a 10-2 demolition of the White Sox.

This was also his fourth grand slam of the season, setting a franchise record. And all of the salamis have come over the past 18 games; according to Sarah Langs, that’s the shortest span any player in history has hit four grand slams. He’s also the first payer in history to have five grand slams within the first 16 home runs of the career. It’s the sort of wild stuff that you like to see.

Digging deeper, his profile on PLV doesn’t stand out a ton and indicates average contact ability (50) and power (50) with slightly below-average grades in Strikezone Judgement (45) and DV (45). So strictly speaking, he’s probably overperforming a touch but, really we’re in the final two weeks so you’re gonna ride this out of course; it’s just something to keep in mind for next year if his ADP gains some steam. And besides, as a 24-year-old former top prospect who is finally healthy maybe he’s only just now scratching the surface.

Let’s see how the other hitters did Friday:

Carlos Santana (MIL): 2-3, 2 HR, 2 R, 2 RBI, BB.

Santana has been more or less the same player since being traded to Milwaukee and is slashing .239/.306/.439 through 39 games with the Brew Crew. His second home run of the night and 21st of the season came at the expense of a 2-0 pitch from Hunter Harvey in the eighth, a solo shot (105 EV, 403 ft) that pushed the Brewers to a 5-3 lead. He’s shown a good eye at the plate (60 EV and 60 SZ Judgement vis PLV) but considering the lack of power (40 via PLV) it’s hard get to too excited. He’s playing every day so there’s that at least.

William Contreras also went yard and together he and Santana basically accounted for the entirety of Milwaukee’s offense.

Luis Arraez (MIA): 2-5, 2 HR, 2 R, 2 RBI.

Woah looks like someone must’ve eaten their spinach before last night’s game! The Venezuelan second baseman leaned into a Bryce Elder sinker in his first at-bat and crushed it 363 feet to right (103.4 EV). His second dong of the night came while leading off the seventh on a 0-2 curveball down around his ankles from Pierce Johnson (97.2 EV, 363 feet). Of course, this is very out of character for him but it’s pretty neat to see as that’s now a career-high nine home runs on the season. Arraez is hitting .349 and has a five-point lead over Corey Seager for the AL batting title.

Gabriel Moreno (ARI): 4-4, 2B, R.

The perfect night pushes the rookie’s slash to .286/ .333/ .419. Given that he’s a former top prospect who should have the D’Backs backstop job all to himself, he’ll probably be a trendy late pick in drafts this offseason. He’s shown above-average contact ability (55) along with slightly below-average power (45).

Josh Naylor (CLE): 4-5, 2B, R, 3 RBI.

Naylor hasn’t missed a beat since returning from the IL. During those 11 games, he’s slashing .366/.400/.585. His unique combination of excellent contact ability (65) and above-average power (55) has made him an excellent RBI man for the Guardians; speaking of which, his 91 RBI are a career-high and so too is his .312 batting average.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR): 2-4, HR, R, 3 RBI.

Vlad’s 23rd of the season was a blistering line drive to left off a 97 mph heater from Brayan Bello (108.3 EV, 399 feet). He’s now gone yard in back-to-back games. Still, there’s no way around it, he’s been a disappointment relative to expectations and is slashing .265/.340/.438. He’s shown excellent contact ability (60) but his power, while still above average (55), has not yet reached the sort of ballyhooed level that his name implies. Basing everything entirely on this year, and yeah I know that’s not the most sound process but I kind of feel like he’s not all that different from our previous hitter, Naylor. In theory, Vlad has a higher power ceiling and a firm edge in OBP formats. In standard leagues, though? I don’t know they might not be all that far apart. There’s a gap, but how big is it? Just something to ponder as we look ahead.

Luis Campusano (SD): 1-5, 2B, RBI.

Not a big line but Campusano deserves to be on the radar because he’s been the guy behind the dish since Gary Sánchez went down and has acquitted himself well slashing .301/.338/.478 along with a 13.1% / 4.8% K: BB across 145 PA. We’ll see what the Padres do but at the very least, he’s a name to file away for next year.

Noelvi Marte (CIN): 3-4, R.

Elly De La Cruz sat last night against the lefty David Peterson which opened the door for this man to start at short. The struggles of De La Cruz is a story that has gained some steam lately. As far as Marte goes, he was a key piece in the Luis Castillo swap last summer and is off to a promising start slashing .307/.367/.417 with one home run and six stolen bases through 79 PA. He slashed .279/.358/.454 with 11 home runs and 18 steals across 92 games in the minors this year.

Seiya Suzuki (CHC): 1-4, HR, R, 2 RBI.

Suzuki continues to buoy his stock heading into next year and has a 1.189 OPS over his last 15 games. Last night’s dinger came against a lefty, Kyle Nelson. Suzuki’s splits against right-handers have been a talking point against him in the past but he actually has a higher OPS against righties (.833) this year than lefties (.791). His strikeout rate, though, is noticeably more lopsided: 25.3% vs. RHP and 17.8% vs. LHP.

Kerry Carpenter (DET): 2-5, R, 2 RBI.

The Tigers took the Angels out back behind the woodshed last night in a merciless 11-1 bludgeoning. Carpenter, meanwhile, continues to be one of this year’s breakouts and is slashing .291/.349/.503 across 398 PA. He’s also been fairly decent against lefties with a .783 OPS and 17.7% K rate albeit in a flimsy sample of 62 PA.

Javier Báez had a big game with two hits, a home run, and four RBI raising his OPS to .586. Jake Rogers also hits his 17th home run of the year. Yeah, it was that kind of night for the Angels.

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD): 2-3, HR, R, 3 RBI, 2 BB, SB.

I have to confess, I forgot that Sean Newcomb was still around. Thankfully this man reminded us with his 25th big fly of the year, a solo shot to right-center (402 feet, 104.9 EV). Tatís has been somewhat underwhelming with a .795 OPS (.965 OPS in three previous seasons combined). Still, considering he was coming off a year layaway maybe it’s not all that surprising. He’s shown 60-grade power via PLV, a notable drop from the 80 he was tabbed with two years ago.

 

Image courtesy of Icon Sportswire | Adapted by Justin Paradis and Aaron Polcare

Ryan Amore

A proprietor of the Ketel Marte Fan Club, Ryan Amore has been writing things at Pitcher List since 2019. He grew up watching the Yankees and fondly remembers Charlie Hayes catching the final out of the '96 WS. He appreciates walks but only of the base on ball variety.

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