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SP Matchups & Streamer Rankings – 4/4 & 4/5

Nick Pollack ranks every SP matchup for today and tomorrow.

With the 2021 season, I’m changing how I’m doing my starting pitcher streamers and daily matchup rankings

Instead of being featured in the SP Roundup, I’ll be highlighting my SP streamer picks for today and tomorrow inside this article, while also introducing four tiers and adding notes to each table.

The four tiers are as follows:

 

Auto-Start – Just do it. Don’t overthink this, start the man.

Probably Start – I’m likely starting these arms, though I recognize there is more risk than we’d like there to be. Either it’s a tough matchup for a good pitcher or a weak lineup for a volatile arm.

Questionable Start – There are situations where I’d take the chance, either with strong enough upside on the ability side, or a poor offense that a pitcher could take advantage of.

Do Not Start – The reward is not worth the risk. Don’t do it.

 

Obviously, there will be circumstances where pitchers should move between teams for your situation specifically and these new tiers should act as a little more help than the straight table from last year.

Please keep in mind that streaming is far from a perfect play. In fact, if they work out over half the time, I’d consider it a success. These matchup rankings & streamer picks are going to be wildly different than the actual results through the year, so please, have sympathy before the scathing comments and tweets. I’m only trying to help!

Make sure to read the notes if you’re wondering why I’m favoring certain pitchers over others – I won’t get to everyone and hopefully I answer what questions you will have.

There is a second table for tomorrow’s starting pitcher matchups as well, helping everyone get a jump on their nightly pickups. Please note that these matchups are subject to change, though, and there will be times when I have the incorrect pitcher going. I thank you for your future understanding.

Finally, I have highlighted in Yellow my streaming pick of the day. These are defined as “rostered in 20% or fewer leagues,” which really emphasizes the point that I’d be happy if over 50% of these worked. I could do the whole sub 30/40% rostered, but there’s no fun in that. You can use the rankings to realize who would be those picks, instead.

 

Today’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

  • Look at that, the best start on Sunday belongs to Aaron Civalewho is slated to get the weak Detroit lineup. Here’s to a wonderful day with his new arm circle.
  • Julio Urias is worth your time as he should be good enough to endure the power of Coors. Chris Paddack’s rough spring has some worry, but Ketel Marte is the sole bat to fear in Arizona and he should be able to dance around it.

 

  • Leading off the second tier is Zach Davies against a questionable Pirates lineup. I’m willing to wager that the brigade brought on Hendricks was not an indication for a shocking offense through 2021.
  • Jose Urquidy should be good to go against the Athletics, though if you’re concerned about the length of the outing, I completely understand pushing him to Tier 3.

 

  • Despite my love for Domingo German’s ability, I can’t neglect the strength of Toronto’s offense. The same goes for Zach Eflin, Sean ManaeaMitch Keller, Carlos Martinez, and Shohei Ohtaniwho each have sizeable offenses that will make you heavily consider slotting them into your lineup today.
  • On the other side, Garrett Richards and Tarik Skubal each have better matchups and could take full advantage. Dylan Cease is in no man’s land as the Angels are threatening while Cease’s “new” mechanics could take full shape and nullify LA’s bats.

 

  • In the final tier, there is a touch of intrigue with Taylor Widenerbut San Diego is simply too strong of an offense to spin that wheel.
  • Keep an eye on Adrian Houser – I wouldn’t rule out the possibility he finds his heater again this season and it could start in Minnesota.

 

Today’s Starting Pitcher Rankings


Tomorrow’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

  • Finally, we get Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer pitching again. PHEW. Too bad it’s not against each other, but at the very least, now deGrom is facing a weaker arm on the opposite side and being off-set in the rotation could result in a clear 20-win season for a change.
  • I’ve also put Jordan Montgomery and Drew Smyly into this top tier and it may be a bit of a stretch for both. Still, I believe in JorMont against a sputtering Orioles lineup and Smyly’s spring has replicated his excitement from September.

 

  • Look at Dustin Maythe only pitcher inside Tier 2, and I was contemplating putting him into the third tier instead. I can’t help but wonder if the Dodgers will pull him well before six frames, though going more than five in his final spring tune-up made me push him into Tier 2. If you’ve rostered him, you’re starting him.

 

  • I think the biggest shock for y’all will be Carlos Rodon as the sixth-best option for Monday and my SPotD (Streaming Pick of the Day). He’s had a great camp and throwing harder than ever and gets matched up against a weak Seattle lineup and that’s as good as you can hope for when there are so many risky options here. Please note – he’s still in Tier 3. This is not a lock at all.
  • Trevor Rogers is slotted right below him and I can understand those frustrated he’s not above Rodon. One major reason why – The Cardinals are a solid offense. It’s that straightforward. Here’s to hoping he dominates them.

 

  • As much as I want to say start Frankie Montasthat Dodgers offense is as elite as they come. I’d love to be conservative with Montas wherever I can.
  • Matt Shoemaker, Danny Duffyand Steven Matz all carry some interesting veteran upside, each with the ability to go at least five and grant a Win against a blegh lineup. All sneaky streams today if you need a win.

 

  • I know some are high on Logan Allenbut I expect Cleveland to piggy-back him today, meaning he’s unlikely to go five or six strong, and that’s without recognizing the haze surrounding his ability.
  • JT Brubaker is a fun choice, though I’m a little scared of the Reds lineup at the moment. Proceed with caution.

 

  • There are plenty of pitchers to avoid on Monday and most of them are a result of poor matchups. I have this feeling Nick Pivetta can pull it off against Tampa Bay, but do you really want to take that chance?
  • On the other side of that start is Michael Wachawho had increased velocity in spring, but it came down in his final appearance. The Sawx have failed to swing a big bat early and I wonder if Wacha could surprise. Waaaay too risky, though.

 

Tomorrow’s Starting Pitchers


Photo by Gregory Fisher/Icon Sportswire | Design by Quincey Dong (@threerundong on Twitter)

Nick Pollack

Founder of Pitcher List. Creator of CSW, The List, and SP Roundup. Worked with MSG, FanGraphs, CBS Sports, and Washington Post. Former college pitcher, travel coach, pitching coach, and Brandeis alum. Wants every pitcher to be dope.

4 responses to “SP Matchups & Streamer Rankings – 4/4 & 4/5”

  1. larry womack says:

    Who would you pick for the two start week-

    Matz @ Tex and Angles, Shoemaker @ Det. and Seattle or Morejon @ SF and Tex.

    Leaning Shoemaker and Morejon as they are throwing vs weak offenses.

    Thank you

  2. timbo says:

    Hey quick question sorry if I missed it somewhere but I am assuming the highlighted name is the streamer pick is that correct? Also, you used to tally your streaming record and I always thought that was cool. Is that coming back?

    • Nick Pollack says:

      Hey Timbo!

      Yes, the yellow highlight = the streamer pick. I outline the thought process in the opening paragraphs.

      I’ve brought back the Streaming Record inside the SP Roundup as well.

      Here’s to a fun streaming season ahead :)

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