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Fantasy Baseball SP Roundup: Cade Sera Sera

Nick Pollack reviews every starting pitcher performance from Saturday.

Welcome to the SP Roundup, my daily fantasy baseball article reviewing every starting pitcher’s performance from every Saturday game. I apologize for the jokes written in my delirium in advance. Have questions? Ask me during my office hours on Playback.tv weekday mornings from 10 am-12 pm ET.

Cade Povich (BAL) @ OAK (L) – 1.0 IP, 8 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 1 Ks – 0 Whiffs, 23% CSW, 43 pitches.

Welcome to the big leagues, Cade PovichEverything that could go poorly did for Povich, who had terrible feel for his fastball and allowed a three-run shot to start both the first and second frames. His day ended two batters later in the second with his third walk and a bloop single (both came around to score, of course), and here we are with a 1.0 IP, 8 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 1 Ks – 0 Whiffs, 23% CSW, 43 pitches clunker.

It’s a moment every young arm goes through, hence the existence of the Shag Rug. His stuff was off and he was unable to make the adjustment needed to find his release point, a skill that’s usually found over time and demands failure like this over and over to iron out.

It doesn’t mean Povich is destined to replicate this cataclysmic event in the near future. It also means you’re hesitant to give it a whirl against the Yankees this week. The fact we were already questioning that start should make it an easy decision to move on, though you should be the wise manager who understands how this start does not sully the notion that Povich can be productive for your teams later in the year.

 

Let’s see how every other SP did Saturday:

 

Tyler Anderson (LAA) @ CHC (W) – 8.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 0 BBs, 10 Ks – 22 Whiffs, 41% CSW, 98 pitches.

The reign of Anderson continues, here returning a Golden Goal because of course he did. That’s a 2.81 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP for the season and even after fanning ten batters here, Anderson has a…16.8% strikeout rate. What. Yeah, you already know Anderson isn’t a strikeout arm, but he is a sturdy Toby (yes, not Holly given that strikeout rate) who we’re starting against all but the elites. This is the best start we’ll get from him all season in all likelihood, but hopefully the cutter and four-seamer can complement the changeup easily next start against the Mariners, too.

Hunter Greene (CIN) vs DET (ND) – 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 2 BBs, 7 Ks – 15 Whiffs, 28% CSW, 104 pitches.

Ayyyy, way to feature an effective slider and keep your heater upstairs. It’s lovely getting the sweet to help us endure the bomb.

Yariel Rodríguez (TOR) @ SEA (W) – 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 Hits, 2 BBs, 6 Ks – 8 Whiffs, 27% CSW, 82 pitches.

Look at that, another six inning game at just over 80 pitches for Yariel. I’m still a bit skeptical and would be hesitant to stream him against the Diamondbacks – the Mariners are terrible with heaters and Yariel returned 12 called strikes on them here. I don’t think there’s a whole lot to love with his arsenal, including the 3/14 whiff slider. It’s fine.

Andrew Heaney (TEX) vs TBR (ND) – 5.1 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 2 BBs, 7 Ks – 16 Whiffs, 32% CSW, 92 pitches.

The slider returned with increased velocity, less vertical break, and a large emphasis on down-and-gloveside like the glory days of the Dodgers. Here comes the test against the Astros. I’m hesitant, but he’s in a rhythm right now…

Alex Faedo (DET) @ CIN (ND) – 2.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 Hits, 0 BBs, 2 Ks – 6 Whiffs, 44% CSW, 25 pitches.

Whoa, good to see ya! Hope you enjoyed the bullpen game to cover Flaherty’s spot for one more turn.

Austin Gomber (COL) vs KCR (W) – 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 Hits, 0 BBs, 3 Ks – 5 Whiffs, 22% CSW, 99 pitches.

He’s up a tick in velocity and located his curveball super well at the bottom of the zone while placing heaters in the zone upstairs. And returned just five whiffs with a 22% CSW. Look, it’s Gomber going seven frames! Even against the Royals, that’s a wild thing, nearly deserving of the Gold StarNearly.

Taj Bradley (TBR) @ TEX (ND) – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks – 6 Whiffs, 23% CSW, 79 pitches.

Huh. The heater earned a sub 60% strike rate with just 1/30 whiffs, but the splitter and cutter worked well down and he got through it as the Rangers were aggressive at the plate. Phew. We keep rolling, expecting better from the fastball moving forward.

Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) vs PHI (W) – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 7 Hits, 0 BBs, 6 Ks – 12 Whiffs, 37% CSW, 81 pitches.

Ayyyy, a 37% CSW without many hits off the heater. He’s capable of this, but I’m not sure how often we’ll see it. There’s still some command stuff to iron out to prevent as many pitches over the plate that could lead to hits, but he’s obviously an option against the Sneks next time out. Top of Questionable Start tier until he proves he’s in a rhythm.

Luis Medina (OAK) vs BAL (W) – 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 Hits, 3 BBs, 3 Ks – 8 Whiffs, 23% CSW, 98 pitches.

The WHIP is terrible, you got just three strikeouts, and it made you awfully uncomfortable, but look at that! A Gold Star as Medina earned a Win against the Orioles with 1 ER. What a lovely thing. Don’t let the six whiffs on sliders convince you that he’s found the pitch – he’s still incredibly inconsistent and not locked in.

Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) @ SDP (ND) – 4.1 IP, 1 ER, 7 Hits, 0 BBs, 6 Ks – 11 Whiffs, 40% CSW, 62 pitches.

So. Um. That curveball? Just three thrown. He may have thrown more in the fifth and sixth if it weren’t for a comebacker that struck his ankle and took him out of the game. Seems like he’s fine for his next outing, but would you want to start him against Atlanta regardless? Probably not…?

Seth Lugo (KCR) @ COL (L) – 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks – 15 Whiffs, 31% CSW, 101 pitches.

Yep, that’s a Bailey Special and you love to see it. I think he deserves AGA, Nick. Maybe he is. Or maybe he’s a sturdy Holly and that’s cool too.

James Paxton (LAD) vs MIL (ND) – 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 Hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks – 5 Whiffs, 19% CSW, 83 pitches.

Whoa, some sinkers showed up! And his precision was worse! And it still worked! I’m off the Paxton train these days and looking at all of this, I doubt y’all want to stand behind it. 19% CSW with a super boring line ain’t it, even if the Win chance is still kinda there – you gotta go more than five frames to keep those numbers up.

Logan Allen (CLE) vs SFG (ND) – 4.1 IP, 2 ER, 3 Hits, 4 BBs, 9 Ks – 12 Whiffs, 28% CSW, 93 pitches.

Whoa, nine strikeouts?! But the ERA, WHIP, and just 4.1 IP. But that’s 9/13 outs by way of the K! Nick, I’m not happy. Fine fine fine, thank the four-seamer for returning 12 fouls with just one ball in play for the strikeouts – heaters that normally ended at-bats didn’t, getting Allen to more two-strike counts where his changeup and sweeper did a lovely job (and led to more walks!). He’s been optioned to Triple-A to make room for Spencer Howardif you can believe it, though it’s possible it’s just for this week given the All-Star Break – just one start will be skipped.

David Peterson (NYM) @ PIT (ND) – 4.1 IP, 2 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks – 14 Whiffs, 31% CSW, 87 pitches.

I’m not really sure what to make of Peterson and he gets the Nationals up next. The whiffs and CSW are cool, the changeup isn’t great, but at least his heaters are decently effective with a good plan of attack + his slider is good enough. Up to you if you want to go for it against the Nationals.

Emerson Hancock (SEA) vs TOR (L) – 4.0 IP, 2 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks – 12 Whiffs, 24% CSW, 93 pitches.

Hancock does good job of locating changeups down and sinkers armside. If he can get his slider working well and not make many mistakes over the middle of the plate, he’ll turn into a solid Toby and carry Michael King upside. I doubt he’ll get to the latter.

Garrett Crochet (CHW) @ MIA (ND) – 4.0 IP, 2 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 5 Ks – 11 Whiffs, 27% CSW, 93 pitches.

Aces gonna have a rough one. Sub 60% strikes on the cutter with far more chaos pitches out of the zone did him in. It’s a clear One Night Bland and we’re gonna move on.

Kyle Hendricks (CHC) vs LAA (L) – 2.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 Hits, 2 BBs, 1 Ks – 1 Whiffs, 23% CSW, 43 pitches.

Annnd Hendricks left early with a lower back injury. I wonder if Caleb Killian will be able to start again by the end of the month and slot in, especially if the Cubs elect to become sellers at the deadline (probably not..? WHO KNOWS). Watch it be Drew Smyly again. Ugh.

Matt Waldron (SDP) vs ARI (ND) – 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 6 Ks – 9 Whiffs, 27% CSW, 106 pitches.

We saw over 60% knuckleball strikes, leading to a PQS and Bailey Special. We’ll take it y’all.

Joe Ryan (MIN) vs HOU (W) – 5.2 IP, 3 ER, 5 Hits, 1 BBs, 8 Ks – 15 Whiffs, 31% CSW, 110 pitches.

Aces gonna mostly ace. That’s a Philly, though give Ryan props for making it nearly the sixth despite needing over 100 pitches. His four-seamer is still legit and if his splitter were bit better, I’d imagine he’d easily gone six, even against the Astros.

Yonny Chirinos (MIA) vs CHW (ND) – 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 5 Ks – 10 Whiffs, 29% CSW, 85 pitches.

He tried to do some Dancing With The Disco and it didn’t quite do enough. Not much else here than that and the Astros are next. Nooooooope.

Freddy Peralta (MIL) @ LAD (ND) – 4.0 IP, 3 ER, 4 Hits, 3 BBs, 4 Ks – 21 Whiffs, 29% CSW, 104 pitches.

The strikes weren’t there and it’s the Dodgers. Whatareyagonnado. Please reign in the Professor Chaos energy, k thx.

Josh Winckowski (BOS) @ NYY (ND) – 3.2 IP, 3 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 4 Ks – 6 Whiffs, 26% CSW, 66 pitches.

The Yankees woke up and Winckowski had a rough frame that should have been strike three, but led to a walk and three more batters. But it’s not like you expected him to go five innings in the first place. Let’s move on.

Bailey Falter (PIT) vs NYM (L) – 2.0 IP, 3 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 2 Ks – 2 Whiffs, 27% CSW, 45 pitches.

He left with an arm injury and it means Luis L. Ortiz is likely back in the rotation indefinitely with Quinn Priester or another arm getting time. This is the last piece of the puzzle. The Rays are KNOWN for dealing for injured pitchers. NICK. PLEASE.

Gerrit Cole (NYY) vs BOS (ND) – 4.1 IP, 4 ER, 7 Hits, 2 BBs, 8 Ks – 14 Whiffs, 29% CSW, 90 pitches.

Ehhhhhh. At least you got strikeouts but the iVB is not the 16+ of old. Lots of strikes with his slider and curve, though, and I wouldn’t worry about this moving forward. It’s going to be a fun one against the Orioles and I get if you’re a little worried there. Up to you, I think the skills are generally there, but the whiffs are coming just from the four-seamer and not the breakers at the moment (he’s not getting them down). Things should get better.

Kyle Harrison (SFG) @ CLE (L) – 3.1 IP, 4 ER, 4 Hits, 4 BBs, 2 Ks – 3 Whiffs, 28% CSW, 72 pitches.

By George, Harrison isn’t the guy you want y’all. Please stop trying to make this happen until we find the thing that changes his outlook.

Ranger Suárez (PHI) @ ATL (L) – 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 6 Hits, 2 BBs, 7 Ks – 13 Whiffs, 27% CSW, 91 pitches.

terrible cutter to Albies (two-run shot) and a low curve out of the zone to Ozuna (two-run shot) were the major blemishes here, as Ranger did mostly his normal thing. It’s regression in the form of not getting away with as much as he did across the first two months, but his general approach of pitches were standard affair. Just don’t treat him like an ace and as a reliable Holly and we’re cool.

MacKenzie Gore (WSN) vs STL (ND) – 3.1 IP, 5 ER, 6 Hits, 5 BBs, 5 Ks – 19 Whiffs, 38% CSW, 90 pitches.

Nick. What’s the difference between Gore and Hunter GreeneDon’t do this to me. Answer the question. DON’T DO THIS TO ME. The path is clearer for Gore to become something more as this was his breakers not doing what they’re supposed to – 3/12 strikes on the curve. The heater is just so dang good, y’all, and I have to believe he’ll click into his breakers over time. He gets the Mets next I’m gonna do it, but I understand if you don’t want to risk it.

Hunter Brown (HOU) @ MIN (L) – 6.0 IP, 7 ER, 12 Hits, 1 BBs, 6 Ks – 12 Whiffs, 29% CSW, 105 pitches.

Oh no. The secondaries were hit, especially the curveball and you’re scared. Is he donezo? Probably not. Let’s give him another shot against the Rangers before we do anything, right? He had his great stretch after his last terrible blowup against the Royals, after all.

Lance Lynn (STL) @ WSN (L) – 2.2 IP, 10 ER, 9 Hits, 4 BBs, 2 Ks – 6 Whiffs, 22% CSW, 82 pitches.

Remember kids, If you add two Ls, you’re gonna get a third.

 

Game of the Day

 

Kutter Crawford vs. Luis Gil – I know that Crawford took down the Yankees before but they just went double-digit runs + can Gil get his iVB back?

But Nick?! Where are the streaming picks? – I’ve moved them to the daily SP Matchups & Streamer Rankings article.

Have Questions? – Join my morning Playback.tv livestream! I answer all questions there for free: 10:00 am – 12:00 pm ET Monday through Friday.

Photo by Mark Goldman/Icon Sportswire | Adapted by Justin Paradis (@JustParaDesigns on Twitter/X)

Nick Pollack

Founder of Pitcher List. Creator of CSW, The List, and SP Roundup. Worked with MSG, FanGraphs, CBS Sports, and Washington Post. Former college pitcher, travel coach, pitching coach, and Brandeis alum. Wants every pitcher to be dope.

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