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Starting Pitcher Streamer Rankings Fantasy Baseball: 7/4 & 7/5

Nick Pollack ranks the starting pitcher streamers for today & tomorrow.

Here are today and tomorrow’s daily SP Streamer rankings for fantasy baseball.

Every day of the 2024 baseball season, I’ll be looking at today and tomorrow’s slate of scheduled starting pitchers and ranking their matchups for your fantasy baseball streams.

There’s a lot that goes into this and you can hang out with me on Playback.tv/pitcherlist to talk about the specific ranks as I make them every weekday morning from 10am – 12pm ET. If you have questions about these ranks, please ask during the morning Playback AMA. Those are my office hours as I generally don’t answer comments on the site.

There are four tiers to these rankings with 12-teamers in mind:

Auto-Start – Just do it. Don’t overthink this, start the man. This includes “if I have them rostered, I’m starting them” pitchers.

Probably StartI’m likely starting these arms, though I recognize there is more risk than we’d like there to be. Either it’s a tough matchup for a good-not-elite pitcher or a weak lineup for a volatile arm. These pitchers have a 50% or greater chance of performing well in my view and I’m starting them in the majority of situations.

Questionable Start – Think of this tier as “I don’t want to start these pitchers in a vacuum, but you could do worse.” Streamers found in this tier are not pitchers I’m targeting and are only if you are in dire need of one. To play it safe with streaming, just start the Probably Start streamers.

Do Not Start – The reward is not worth the risk. Don’t do it. Seriously, these pitchers have a very slim chance of success or sometimes none at all.

Obviously, there will be circumstances where pitchers should move between teams for your situation specifically and these new tiers should act as a little more help than the straight table from last year.

Please keep in mind that streaming is far from a perfect play. In fact, if they work out over half the time, I’d consider it a success. These matchup rankings & streamer picks are going to be wildly different than the actual results throughout the year, so please, have sympathy before the scathing comments and tweets. I’m only trying to help!

Make sure to read the notes if you’re wondering why I’m favoring certain pitchers over others – I won’t get to everyone and hopefully I answer what questions you will have.

There is a second table for tomorrow’s starting pitcher matchups as well, helping everyone get a jump on their nightly pickups. Please note that these matchups are subject to change, though, and there will be times when I have the incorrect pitcher going. I thank you for your future understanding.

Finally, there are my streaming picks of the day, and please keep in mind that I am forced to pick a streamer every day. Those highlighted in Green are that day’s streaming pick in the second tier and I’d roll with them everywhere. Those in Yellow are in the third tier and should be okay if you’re searching for something on a given day, but I don’t recommend streaming unless you’re in need. Finally, those are Red are those I really don’t want to start (they are labeled as “Do Not Start”, after all) but have no other choice. Don’t stream these guys until you are truly desperate. A streaming pick is defined as “rostered in 20% or fewer leagues according to Fantasy Pros. This really emphasizes the point that I’d be happy if over 50% of these worked. I could do the whole sub 30/40% rostered, but there’s no fun in that. You can use the rankings to realize who those picks would be instead.

(Opener) – Outlines that a pitcher is being opened for that day & the pitcher listed will follow the opener.

As I do my rankings, I thought it would be helpful to showcase a table of how we’re ranking offenses (in alphabetical order by tier):

Nick’s Loose Team Offense Rankings (Updated 7/1)

I’m sure it’ll change through the year + there are differences to be made about teams vs. LHP or RHP, but it works as a general table that y’all should keep in mind.

Alright, let’s get to it.

To spice up these streaming recommendations, I’ve included our new daily fantasy baseball projections powered by PLV, and I’ll be competing against PL Bot to pick the best streaming option each day.

These projections are different from your typical projections as they incorporate our pitch quantifier, assessing pitcher and hitter skills at a much more granular level than your standard box score.

To get access to PL Bot’s picks each day, sign up for PL Pro here.

The streaming record is determined by “Was this a productive game for 12-teamers if I started them?” Roughly a PQS with a Win and a strikeout per inning with a sub 1.20 WHIP, with a minimum of 5 IP. Close calls are decided by Playback chat.

 

Nick’s 2024 Streamer Record: 54-41

My pick yesterday: Zack Littell @ KCR – W

PL Bot’s 2024 Streamer Record: 54-41

PL Bot’s Pick yesterday: José Soriano @ OAK – L

Want PL Bot’s pick today? Sign up for PL Pro here.

My streaming pick of the day is Underlined and Italicized.

 

Today’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

Auto Starts

 

Corbin Burnes @ SEA – Aces gonna ace.

Bailey Ober vs. DET – It’s the Tigers and Ober is LOCKED in.

Michael King @ TEX – King is cruising and the Rangers are not.

Cristopher Sánchez @ CHC – He has 16 scoreless innings under his belt without a walk. You’re starting the man.

 

Probably Starts

 

Logan Webb @ ATL – He’s not an ace, but he’ll do just fine.

Zac Gallen @ LAD – He’s battling for the AGA tag again and after what may have been the best start I’ve seen from Gallen in ages, I’d go for it. He’s taken down the mighty Dodgers many times before.

Jake Irvin vs. NYM – Irvin is too dang hot right now. He is the GRIM ACE.

Zach Eflin @ KCR – Eflin is a lovely Holly against a meh team.

Nick Pivetta @ MIA – It’s the Marlins…and Pivetta is looking like a Cherry Bomb as he’s lost his cutter and sweeper feel. But the Marlins! I know, he’s here for a reason.

Max Scherzer vs. SDP – I’m a little skeptical that Scherzer still has elite ability in the tank. I want to see it.

Chris Bassitt vs. HOU – You start Bassitt and you like it.

Marcus Stroman vs. CIN – You start Stroman and you like it a little less than Bassitt.

Ben Lively vs. CHW – I’m amazed he’s earned the trust of nearly 40% of managers in fantasy, but hey, we’re on the same page.

Jose Quintana @ WSN – Just 8% rostered and ahead of Valdez today? Yuuuuup. His command is peaking and now gets the Nationals. I’m in.

Framber Valdez @ TOR – You can’t trust him. You’ve agonized over this start all week. You saw how the Mets trounced him and you have no idea what to do. Just put him in there and close your eyes. Good luck.

 

Questionable Starts

 

Bryce Miller vs. BAL – Miller found secondary whiffs last start (FINALLY!) but now it’s the Orioles and we need consistency before we trust him.

Landon Knack vs. ARI – Knack has a great slider and four-seamer and pitches for a team that is going to need Knack more than five frames with more starts. Hopefully this is the beginning of him finding the sixth for a winning club.

Charlie Morton vs. SFG – He’s a Cherry Bomb and it bothers me so.

Alec Marsh vs. TBR – Marsh is fine.

Tobias Myers @ COL – Myers is on a Vargas Rule and heads into Coors. I’m curious if he can continue pumping all his arsenal over the plate and confound batters.

Drew Thorpe @ CLE – If he has his changeup working, he can stave off the high HR rates of Progressive Field.

 

Do Not Starts

 

Jameson Taillon vs. PHI – I know the Phillies are a bit depleted, but I generally don’t think the ceiling is too high. I’m cool with it in QS leagues + the strikeout rate should not stay this elevated. No, it won’t be ten strikeouts again, nor close to it.

JP Sears vs. LAA – Sears has some upside in him, but the floor. Oh dear, the floor is lava.

Martín Pérez vs. STL – It wasn’t a fun return from the IL, but the Cardinals are easier than Atlanta + his command wasn’t so bad. We saw him go on a run earlier this year and I wouldn’t be shocked if he pulled this one off.

Andre Pallante @ PIT – Pallante hurls four-seamers with cut action over the plate and it can work out in his favor at times.

Cal Quantrill vs. MIL – The splitter is faring well, but this is Coors and the Brewers. Not fun.

Frankie Montas @ NYY – After Soto and Judge, the Yankee offense isn’t doing a whole lot. It’s not out of the question Montas makes this work for at least five frames.

Kenta Maeda @ MIN – Even without Royce, Maeda’s ceiling is too low to justify this.

Kyle Tyler vs. BOS – Tyler was able to nearly go five productive frames last time out against the Phillies…maybe it’s five full now?

Roansy Contreras @ OAK – He’s not stretched out, nor flexing the stuff we want to see.

 

Enjoy these rankings? Support my work and Pitcher List by getting PL+ or PL Pro! You’ll get an Ad-Free website, access to our incredible non-toxic baseball Discord community, my weekly PL Pro exclusive SP FAAB Forecast podcast, a full suite of fantasy baseball tools, and much more. Get 10% off yearly with code SPSTREAMERS here.

Today’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

Tomorrow’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

Auto Starts

 

Max Fried vs. PHI – Aces gonna ace.

Paul Skenes vs. NYM – Aces gonna ace.

Cole Ragans @ COL – Aces gonna ace.

Aaron Nola @ ATL – Aces gonna ace.

Sonny Gray @ WSN – Aces gonna ace.

Luis Castillo vs. TOR – Aces gonna ace.

Tanner Bibee vs. SFG – The addition of the curveball has worked wonders for Bibee and you’re not putting him on the bench for this.

Justin Steele vs. LAA – Steele is in a groove and gets the Angels.

Tanner Houck @ NYY – It’s a test for Houck as he clings to his AGA tag. Let’s hope he rebounds.

Pablo López vs. HOU – López is on the path to redemption and gets a proper test after two strong opponents. The improved changeup and sweeper give me confidence.

 

Probably Starts

 

Kevin Gausman @ SEA – Gausman is a Cherry Bomb as long as his splitter isn’t the whiff pitch of old.

Freddy Peralta @ LAD – Peralta gets the Dodgers and hopes his recent command sticks.

Reese Olson @ CIN – Olson is a solid Holly and I’m not afraid of Cin City.

Nestor Cortes vs. BOS – The Red Sox aren’t too scary to bench Cortes.

Luis Severino @ PIT – Now we get into the “Oh hey, that’s a great matchup!” section of Tier 2. Severino has been able to go six constantly and it’s the Pirates.

Albert Suárez @ OAK – This is a strong Win chance with potential for at least a strikeout per inning.

Drew Thorpe @ MIA – As long as he has his changeup, Thorpe should have a cushy day at the park.

Michael Lorenzen vs. TBR – Lorenzen isn’t anything special, but he does take advantage of middling offenses.

Carson Spiers vs. DET – Spiers’ command is good enough to be an option against the Tigers. Not the biggest upside here.

 

Questionable Starts

 

Shane Baz @ TEX – FINALLY. We’ve waited TWO YEARS for Baz to return and here’s to hoping he has made enough gains with his four-seamer during his rehab to come close to replicating its dominance in 2021.

Walker Buehler vs. MIL – Buehler is returning from the IL and all we can do is hope that his approach is better than last time we saw him. I’d play it safe.

Griffin Canning @ CHC – Feel free to stream Canning instead of Baz or Buehler, though the pair feature more long-term ceiling (and short-term if everything goes right!). Canning’s changeup feels is solid at the moment and the Cubs aren’t scary.

Roddery Muñoz vs. CHW – There’s a chance Muñoz is able to command the edges well and take full advantage of this matchup.

 

Do Not Starts

 

Shawn Dubin @ MIN – The fastball/cutter/breakers isn’t the worst thing with his heater around 94/95 mph and at least Royce isn’t in the lineup.

Kyle Harrison @ CLE – I’m not a fan of Harrison and it’s a HR heavy park.

Hogan Harris vs. BAL – It’s the Orioles and Harris doesn’t have his best arsenal at the moment.

Slade Cecconi @ SDP – He has a high CSW at times, but hot dang does his stuff not excite me.

Randy Vasquez vs. ARI – There’s a chance Randy can find the sixth. At least he has that going for him.

Kyle Freeland vs. KCR – He just had a good start against the CrySox away from Coors…Not a chance.

Patrick Corbin vs. STL – Corbin is experimenting with the BSB or going cutter/slider heavy. At least he’s trying!

 

Enjoy these rankings? Support my work and Pitcher List by getting PL+ or PL Pro! You’ll get an Ad-Free website, access to our incredible non-toxic baseball Discord community, my weekly PL Pro exclusive SP FAAB Forecast podcast, a full suite of fantasy baseball tools, and much more. Get 10% off yearly with code SPSTREAMERS here.

Tomorrow’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

Photos Courtesy of IconSportswire | Adapted by Aaron Asbury (@aarongifs on Instagram)

Nick Pollack

Founder of Pitcher List. Creator of CSW, The List, and SP Roundup. Worked with MSG, FanGraphs, CBS Sports, and Washington Post. Former college pitcher, travel coach, pitching coach, and Brandeis alum. Wants every pitcher to be dope.

One response to “Starting Pitcher Streamer Rankings Fantasy Baseball: 7/4 & 7/5”

  1. Babbo B says:

    No one else is reporting Buehler back, here’s what The Athletic’s Fabian Ardaya wrote on Wednesday: “While his hip no longer appears to be bothering him, there isn’t a clear return plan. He is throwing, Roberts said, though he was not at Dodger Stadium as the club came back from its recent road trip. He has been working offsite, Roberts said, both in Arizona and at a private facility in Florida.” (Dodgers website lists Glasnow on Friday and Paxton on Saturday.)

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