It's never too early to be thinking about next season! Even though we don't have a 2024 World Series champion, we do have our first version of Fantasy Baseball Projections ready for 2025 powered by Pitcher List's PLV.
These projections incorporate previous performance (with recent results weighted more heavily) and underlying metrics (specifically our PLV suite of metrics for hitters and pitchers). Every projected metric blends past results and underlying components with unique weights and regression amounts to best estimate the next season's performance. This has 3 main impacts:
- Each metric has a different impact window for projecting. Ex: Hitter Stolen Base Attempt rate relies heavily on the most recent year's results while Pitcher GB% utilizes a more even weighting across the last 3 seasons.
- Each metric has a different location along the randomness/skill spectrum when projecting. Ex: Pitcher HR/FB% is pretty noisy and is heavily regressed toward the league average for following seasons while K% is a better indicator of a player's talent and is only lightly regressed.
- Each projected metric has a different balance of using results vs underlying metrics. Ex: Pitcher BB% results have a higher weighting for projecting while underlying metrics make up a larger share of projected K%.
In V1 of the projections, playing time is standardized: hitters were given 600 PA, while starters were given 160IP and relievers were given 60IP (Starter/Reliever distinctions are made based on the estimated proportion of games played that were starts). This version also only includes players with some amount of MLB playing time last season (5+ IP for pitchers, 100+ PA for hitters). These restrictions will be lessened/removed in future versions, and MiLB/international players will also be included in future versions.
You can access all our 2025 fantasy baseball tools and projections (including future updates!) inside the PL Pro Tools menu at the top of the page.
Copy this Google Sheet to gain access to our 2025 Fantasy Baseball Projections V1:
Where Micheal King at in pitching rankings? I dont see him