Dal-Less Is More

Obviously y’all know how conflicted I am with Dallas Keuchel and after yesterday’s line of 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 0 BBs, 13 Ks it’s tough to deny the numbers for much...

Obviously y’all know how conflicted I am with Dallas Keuchel and after yesterday’s line of 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 0 BBs, 13 Ks it’s tough to deny the numbers for much longer.  He’s raised his K/9 to near 8.00 while averaging 7.2 IP per start, FIP and xFIP near 2.60, a soft contact rate above 25%, walking batters at a 2.12 BB/9 clip and a 64.0% GB rate.  So why on earth wouldn’t I be super high on him?  Because the multiple CGSHOs he’s had before are masking that he’s been a bit crummy a bunch this year.  He’s a major boom/bust guy that is relying on one of the rarest stats in baseball to accumulate – complete games – to propel him.  You have to imagine he starts throwing fewer innings per game and experience those shakier starts more often (he had back to back 3 ER games before this one) as the strikeouts drop closer to the 6.57 K/9 rate from 2014.

Let’s see what every other SP did yesterday:

Zack Greinke – 8.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 1 BBs, 11 Ks. This scoreless streak of 43.2 IP is absurd.  So is his 1.30 ERA.  Wow.

Jake Arrieta – 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 3 BBs, 10 Ks. Aces.

Chris Archer – 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 5 Hits, 1 BBs, 6 Ks. Gonna.

Max Scherzer – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 7 Hits, 1 BBs, 8 Ks. Ace.

Marco Estrada – 8.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 0 BBs, 5 Ks. Is Estrada going bonkers again?  Probably not :(

Jesse Chavez – 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 1 BBs, 9 Ks.  Chavez is waking up again, so add him back to your streamer pool, but I don’t think it sticks around for a generous amount of time like you want it to.

Jonathon Niese – 7.2 IP, 0 ER, 5 Hits, 1 BBs, 3 Ks. Niese is trying to be a decent streamer again.  Maybe bud.  Just maybe.  What am I saying, I highly doubt I’ll feel good throwing Niese out there for streams.

Danny Duffy – 8.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks.  Naahhhh Duffy, we know who you really are.

Tim Cooney – 5.2 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 4 BBs, 7 Ks. Cooney’s days are numbered due to Jaime Garcia due back in the rotation within a week or so.  Feel free to run him out there against the Braves before that happens.

Taylor Jungmann – 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 5 Ks. Yes Jungmann is a serviceable add to your staff.  Just don’t expect the world because female pop stars already claimed that.

Carlos Carrasco – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 1 BBs, 6 Ks.  He was pulled after only 73 pitches for a pinch runner despite being up 3-1.  Seriously?  Dude had complete game written all over it.

CC Sabathia – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 7 Ks. This is CC’s best start of the entire season.  Yup.

Shelby Miller – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 4 BBs, 8 Ks. Whoa, 8 Ks?  Whoa, 4 walks?  And you’re holding on to your lucky ERA.  Weird.

Madison Bumgarner – 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 1 BBs, 3 Ks. I’m starting to think that Bummy should be shoved down near 10 or so this week.  I need to consider it some more, but I’m leaning towards it.

Felix Hernandez – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 5 Ks. It may be time to bump Felix down a bit as well.

Patrick Corbin – 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 Hits, 1 BBs, 5 Ks. The best start we’ve had from Corbin so far…which isn’t that good.

Jeff Locke – 7.1 IP, 3 ER, 8 Hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks. Has anyone been excited about Locke yet?

Miguel Gonzalez – 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 6 Hits, 2 BBs, 4 Ks.  Miguel…no.

Johnny Cueto – 4.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 Hits, 6 BBs, 2 Ks.  Those six walks led to over 90 pitches after four and were the death sentence for Johnny.  I’m thinking of lower Cueto a little more this week given the amount of talent inside the Top 20.  Not 100% about it yet, but I think it’s due.

Chris Sale – 6.1 IP, 4 ER, 11 Hits, 1 BBs, 6 Ks. Those gritty Royals will do that to you.  Stupid Pesky Kansas!

Dan Haren – 6.0 IP, 5 ER, 7 Hits, 1 BBs, 2 Ks. Our Call Boy got manhandled.  But Phils, you’re in the bottom five in so many hitting stats, can’t you just let Haren have this one?

Tommy Milone – 2.2 IP, 5 ER, 5 Hits, 0 BBs, 4 Ks. He also allowed an extra pair of unearned runs, making Milone’s 63 pitches through 8 outs all she wrote.  That’s not true, she wrote A LOT of stuff, but no one seems to care about the deep cuts like Me and my Paperclip and She Ordered a Pizza…With A House Salad!

Yovani Gallardo – 4.0 IP, 5 ER, 7 Hits, 3 BBs, 1 Ks. YoGa! YoGa!  *Looks at tonight’s line*  NoGa!  NoGa!

Justin Verlander – 3.2 IP, 7 ER, 8 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks. Verlander’s value is name and name alone.

Cole Hamels – 3.0 IP, 5 ER, 8 Hits, 0 BBs, 1 Ks. You’re so close Hamels, don’t slow down now!  Maybe he feels that his price needs to be lowered to get out of there.  Whatever, he’s still a solid Top 20 guy.

Today’s Streamers

Rubby De La Rosa vs. Miami Marlins – Sure, Rubby has looked a bit shaky the past, but the Marlins are an excellent matchup for the Diamondbacks’ #1 guy.  Crazy to say that.

Tomorrow’s Streamer

Nate Karns vs. Philadelphia Phillies – He has a very interesting matchup against Mr. Nola, and while he may not grab a win, he could take advantage against a poor offense.

Game of the Day

Matt Harvey vs. Gio Gonzalez – It’s the best set of pitchers on the day, as the Nationals face a tough opponent for the third straight day, with deGrom and Thor to follow.  Dang that’s brutal.

Nick Pollack

Founder of Pitcher List. Creator of CSW, The List, and SP Roundup. Worked with MSG, FanGraphs, CBS Sports, and Washington Post. Former college pitcher, travel coach, pitching coach, and Brandeis alum. Wants every pitcher to be dope.

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