Happy Tuesday, Pitcher List fam! It’s the final Tuesday before the All-Star break, and we’ve got a ton of games to dive into. As usual, FanDuel ignores the double-header set between the Guardians and White Sox to give us 13 games in their contest. Meanwhile, DraftKings picks up the AL Central showdown and gives us all 14 games starting after 7 pm Eastern. So make sure to double-check those lineups before the sites lock their featured contests at 7:05 pm Eastern.
Cream Of The Crop
| Pitcher | Opp | DK / FD Salary | ERA | WHIP | SIERA | K-BB% | CSW% |
| Gerrit Cole | vs. CIN | $10.5k / $10.6k | 3.26 | 1.03 | 2.97 | 23.9 | 31.3 |
| Luis Garcia | at LAA | $10.1k / $9.5k | 3.81 | 1.09 | 3.52 | 19.2 | 28.5 |
| Logan Webb | vs. ARI | $9.5k / $10.0k | 2.98 | 1.11 | 3.52 | 15.0 | 28.8 |
Cole comes in as the most expensive pitcher on the slate but also provides the highest degree of safety. Among the 28 starters on DK, New York’s ace has the best chance to grab a win tonight as the Yankees welcome Cincinnati to the Big Apple. Over his last five starts, Cole has at least six Ks in every outing and is 3-1 in that same stretch. So if you don’t want to worry about your pitcher tonight, take Cole and spend your brain power researching the best bats.
After Cole, things get interesting. I think everyone and their cat/dog/Patronus will look to get Spencer Strider in their lineup. However, I’m going with the contrarian approach and grabbing Luis Garcia against the Angels. Over the last two months, Los Angeles strikes out 28.1 percent of the time against RHPs. Their .227 batting average and .295 wOBA also leave a lot to be desired. Garcia’s shown us he can rack up those Ks (at least seven strikeouts in three of his last five starts), and he will have a great chance at a win and a quality start. I like him more on FD than DK, but I love him as a tournament play on either site.
With a dream matchup and a solid run of form, Logan Webb is one of my favorite pitchers to roster on the slate. Since June 14, Webb’s compiled a 1.32 ERA and 0.94 WHIP over 34 innings while raising his strikeout rate from a season-long 20.7 percent to 22.1 percent. His 56 percent groundball rate will play in any ballpark against any opponent, and I don’t expect that to change with a game against Arizona. The Diamondbacks enter Tuesday’s game a pedestrian .229/.308/.406 slash line against righties over the last two months, and it shouldn’t scare any DFS manager from getting Webb in their squads.
Next Best Things
| Pitcher | Opp | DK/FD Salary | ERA | WHIP | SIERA | K-BB% | CSW% |
| Josiah Gray | vs. SEA | $8.7k / $9.3k | 4.14 | 1.24 | 3.91 | 17.1 | 28.9 |
| David Peterson | at ATL | $8.2k / $8.9k | 3.74 | 1.27 | 3.68 | 15.7 | 26.4 |
On paper, it looks relatively simple to figure out when Josiah Gray is good and when Josiah Gray is bad. Over his last nine starts, he averages 23.9 DK PPG when he issues one walk or less, but it plummets to 13.4 DK PPG when he allows multiple free passes. The Nationals righty has plenty of strikeout upside with at least six Ks in five of six starts and over nine in three of six too. The good news is that three of those starts with one walk or fewer have come in the last five, so he seems to be turning a mid-season corner. Gray is a high-end SP2 on DK, but his $9,300 price tag on FD probably has me skipping him over there.
David Peterson’s slider has been electric over his last four starts. He’s thrown it 114 times and collected 30 whiffs for a ludicrous 26.3 percent swinging-strike rate. Everything good is up (35.2 percent strikeout rate), everything bad is down (7.7 percent walk rate), and it propels Peterson into the SP2 conversation on DK. Yes, Atlanta is a scary offense right now, but a 23.2 percent K rate against southpaws gives Peterson a palpable amount of upside. He’s probably an avoid in cash games but is certainly worth a look or two in tournaments.
Tasty Stacks
Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals (Matthew Liberatore, RHP)
- A .259/.331/.458 slash line makes the Dodgers one of the most dangerous lineups against right-handed pitching. You can pick any two-man stack up and down their lineup, and they have the chance to crush for your DFS squads. Liberatore’s 12.1 percent walk rate and 52.5 percent Hard-Hit rate should spell bad news for the Cardinals righty.
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers (Jason Alexander, RHP)
- A 1.3 percent K-BB rate and a 4.6 percent swinging-strike rate for Jason Alexander immediately caught my attention as a pitcher to target. Since May 1, Minnesota is batting .265 while striking out less than 22 percent of the time versus righties. Luis Arraez, Max Kepler, and Alex Kirilloff receive a bump with a right-handed hurler on the mound.
Value Bats
| Player | Position | Opponent | DK Salary | FD Salary |
| Keibert Ruiz | C | vs. SEA (Flexen) | $3,500 | $2,500 |
| Wilmer Flores | 1B/2B | vs. ARI (Keuchel) | $3,000 | $3,000 |
| Nolan Gorman | 2B | vs. LAD (White) | $3,500 | $2,700 |
| Yoan Moncada | 3B | at CLE (Pilkington) | $3,000 | N/A |
| Ha-Seong Kim | 3B/SS | at COL (Gomber) | $2,900 | $3,300 |
| Jake Meyers | OF | at LAA (Syndergaard) | $2,600 | $2,900 |
| Gavin Lux | 2B/OF | at STL (Liberatore) | $3,400 | $2,400 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 1B/OF | vs. MIL (Alexander) | $3,000 | $2,500 |