Sit/Start Week 1: Reviewing All Starting Pitcher Matchups From 4/1-4/4

Lucas Zenobi scores every starting pitcher matchup for the week ahead.

Welcome back to Sit/Start, where every Saturday here at Pitcher List, we review all expected starting pitcher matchups for the week ahead.  I will be carrying over Max Freeze’s ranking system from last year. There are three labels: StartMaybe, and Sit. Starts are sure-fire starts for those particular pitchers. This does not mean that they are incapable of having a bad outing, but I consider them more likely than not to have a good outing if they are designated as a Start. However, the degree of confidence I have in a pitcher to have a strong outing is judged by their number in the tier. For example, I am much more confident that a Start-10 will have a good outing over a Start-7, even though I expect both to perform well. The same goes for the other tiers. Maybes are starts that are a bit riskier, but depending on your league size or roster requirements, they may need to be used. A Start-10 is a pitcher who I believe will almost definitely have a strong outing, for example Shane Bieber at the Detroit Tigers. A Sit-1 is a pitcher who under no circumstances you should consider starting.

There are quite a few TBD pitchers this week. Since it is opening weekend, a lot of teams have yet to solidify their starting rotation and order. In the coming weeks, there should be significantly fewer of these. I will try to update the TBDs as they are defined. Take a look below, and see how your rotation shapes up this week. Feel free to question my rankings in the comments, and let’s discuss!

Date Game Away Pitcher Sit / Start Home Pitcher Sit / Start
Thursday – 4/1
4/1 TOR at NYY Ryu Start-7 Cole Start-9
4/1 CLE at DET Bieber Start-10 Boyd Sit-3
4/1 BAL at BOS Means Maybe-5 Eovaldi Start-7
4/1 MIN at MIL Maeda Start-8 Woodruff Start-7
4/1 PIT at CHC Kuhl Sit-2 Hendricks Start-9
4/1 ATL at PHI Fried Maybe-6 Nola Start-7
4/1 ARI at SDP Bumgarner Sit-1 Darvish Start-10
4/1 LAD at COL Kershaw Start-7 Marquez Sit-2
4/1 STL at CIN Flaherty Start-7 Castillo Start-8
4/1 TBR at MIA Glasnow Start-7 Alcantara Maybe-6
4/1 TEX at KCR Gibson Maybe-4 Keller Start-7
4/1 NYM at WSN deGrom Start-9 Scherzer Start-8
4/1 CHW at LAA Giolito Start-9 Bundy Start-7
4/1 HOU at OAK Greinke Start-8 Bassitt Maybe-4
4/1 SFG at SEA Gausman Start-8 Gonzales Start-7
Friday – 4/2
4/2 TBR at MIA Yarbrough Maybe-5 Lopez Start-8
4/2 LAD at COL Bauer Start-7 Senzatela Sit-1
4/2 CHW at LAA Keuchel Maybe-6 Heaney Maybe-4
4/2 HOU at OAK Javier Sit-3 Luzardo Maybe-6
4/2 ARI at SDP Kelly Sit-2 Snell Start-8
4/2 SFG at SEA Cueto Maybe-4 Paxton Maybe-6
Saturday – 4/3
4/3 TOR at NYY TBD Kluber Maybe-6
4/3 CLE at DET Plesac Start-8 Teheran Sit-1
4/3 BAL at BOS Harvey Sit-1 TBD
4/3 MIN at MIL Berrios Maybe-6 Burnes Start-7
4/3 PIT at CHC TBD Arrieta Maybe-5
4/3 ATL at PHI Morton Maybe-6 Wheeler Maybe-6
4/3 ARI at SDP Smith Sit-1 TBD
4/3 LAD at COL Buehler Start-7 Gray Sit-1
4/3 STL at CIN Wainwright Maybe-5 Mahle Maybe-6
4/3 TBR at MIA Hill Sit-3 TBD
4/3 TEX at KCR Arihara Sit-3 Minor Maybe-4
4/3 NYM at WSN Stroman Maybe-5 TBD
4/3 CHW at LAA Lynn Maybe-6 Cobb Sit-2
4/3 HOU at OAK McCullers Jr. Maybe-5 TBD
4/3 SFG at SEA Webb Sit-3 Flexen Sit-1
Sunday – 4/4
4/4 TOR at NYY TBD German Maybe-5
4/4 CLE at DET Civale Start-8 Skubal Sit-3
4/4 BAL at BOS Zimmerman Sit-3 TBD
4/4 MIN at MIL TBD Houser Sit-3
4/4 PIT at CHC TBD Davies Maybe-6
4/4 ATL at PHI Anderson Start-8 Eflin Maybe-5
4/4 ARI at SDP Widener Sit-1 TBD
4/4 LAD at COL Urias Maybe-4 Gomber Sit-1
4/4 STL at CIN Martinez Sit-2 TBD
4/4 TEX at KCR Lyles Sit-1 Singer Maybe-6
4/4 NYM at WSN Peterson Sit-2 TBD
4/4 CHW at LAA Cease Sit-1 Ohtani Maybe-5
4/4 HOU at OAK Urquidy Maybe-4 TBD

Photo by Dustin Bradford/Icon Sportswire | Adapted by Doug Carlin (@Bdougals on Twitter)

Lucas Zenobi

Lucas Zenobi is a graduate of the University of Pittsburgh and a life-long Pittsburgh Pirates fan. His other interests include film, music, and any and all things Pittsburgh.

9 responses to “Sit/Start Week 1: Reviewing All Starting Pitcher Matchups From 4/1-4/4”

  1. david says:

    Why sit Detroit pitching vs the Indians?

    • Lucas says:

      It’s less about Cleveland being a formidable matchup than Detroit’s rotation being pretty much unstartable for a while. Even though there are some interesting arms, I need to see a lot more before I feel comfortable starting any of them. Boyd, especially, is susceptible to massive blow-up games as opposed to simply underwhelming starts.

  2. Shawn says:

    Ohtani is going Sunday against the Sox. I’m curious about how you rank that matchup.

  3. user says:

    why is heaney vs CHW a 4?

    • Lucas Zenobi says:

      Heaney consistently has great swinging strike rates and finished with a 3.79 FIP last year. His spring has left a lot to be desired, but Heaney has substantial upside in general. Against a lineup without Eloy, I think he could surprise. To be clear, he is a 4, so I’m not super confident in him (due to the aforementioned poor spring performance and his inability to put it all together season after season).

    • LitcherPist says:

      Yeah, why wouldn’t he be a 4? He’s certainly got potential, but I’ve only been disappointed in the results for YEARS.

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