Welcome back to Sit/Start, where we review all expected starting pitcher matchups for the week ahead. I will be carrying over the ranking system from last year. There are three labels: Start, Maybe, and Sit.
Starts are surefire starts for those particular pitchers. This does not mean that they are incapable of having a bad outing, but I consider them more likely than not to have a good outing if they are designated as a Start. However, the degree of confidence I have in a pitcher to have a strong outing is judged by their number in the tier. For example, I am much more confident that a Start-10 will have a good outing than a Start-7, even though I expect both to perform well. The same goes for the other tiers.
Maybes are starts that are a bit riskier, but depending on your league size or roster requirements, they may need to be used. A Start-10 is a pitcher who I believe will almost definitely have a strong outing: for example, a healthy and undeniable ace against a poor offensive team is going to be a Start-10. A Sit-1 is a pitcher who, under no circumstances, should you consider starting.
It is getting hotter, so there are some more “normal” pitching performances happening with the unexpected hot-starters. However, there still should be enough streaming material to fill out your lineup.
For some housekeeping, I will try my best to update these at least once after they go live, but there is a ton of schedule and rotation shuffling. I apologize ahead of time if something is not currently in the table below.
Without further ado, let’s see how your rotation is shaping up for this week. Feel free to question my rankings in the comments, and let’s discuss!
I think you might not be giving Kyle Gibson enough credit against the Braves. They aren’t as scary this year and Gibson has been performing well this year, even against stronger opponents. Also, other than Ozuna, the Braves appear to be weaker against right handed pitchers.
Personally I am starting him, as we play for Quality Starts and not wins. I don’t know how much wins effects your analysis, but I expect Gibson to have a reasonable chance of 6 innings with 3 or less earned runs.
Kyle Gibson 4 IP, 4 Ks, 9 ERA, 2.25 Whip
Ok, point taken.