Welcome back to Sit/Start, where every Saturday here at Pitcher List, we review all expected starting pitcher matchups for the week ahead. I will be carrying over Max Freeze’s ranking system from last year.
There are three labels: Start, Maybe, and Sit. Starts are sure-fire starts for those particular pitchers. This does not mean that they are incapable of having a bad outing, but I consider them more likely than not to have a good outing if they are designated as a Start.
However, the degree of confidence I have in a pitcher to have a strong outing is judged by their number in the tier. For example, I am much more confident that a Start-10 will have a good outing over a Start-7, even though I expect both to perform well.
The same goes for the other tiers. Maybes are starts that are a bit riskier, but depending on your league size or roster requirements, they may need to be used. A Start-10 is a pitcher who I believe will almost definitely have a strong outing, for example, Shane Bieber at the Detroit Tigers. A Sit-1 is a pitcher who under no circumstances you should consider starting.
Pitching has been weird this year with the new baseball that MLB using. We’ve had multiple no-hitters already, and it’s hard to maneuver the pitching landscape. Take a look below, and see how your rotation shapes up this week. Feel free to question my rankings in the comments, and let’s discuss!
Monday – 5/24 | |||||
Date | Game | Away Pitcher | Sit / Start | Home Pitcher | Sit / Start |
5/24 | TBR at TOR | Yarbrough | Maybe-4 | Stripling | Sit-2 |
5/24 | PHI at MIA | Eflin | Start-8 | Rogers | Start-8 |
5/24 | CLE at DET | Hentges | Sit-1 | Turnbull | Maybe-5 |
5/24 | COL at NYM | Gomber | Sit-3 | Peterson | Maybe-4 |
5/24 | BAL at MIN | Means | Start-7 | Shoemaker | Sit-1 |
5/24 | SDP at MIL | Snell | Maybe-6 | Woodruff | Start-8 |
5/24 | STL at CHW | Hyun Kim | Maybe-5 | Lynn | Start-8 |
5/24 | SEA at OAK | Kikuchi | Maybe-4 | Montas | Maybe-4 |
Tuesday – 5/25 | |||||
Date | Game | Away Pitcher | Sit / Start | Home Pitcher | Sit / Start |
5/25 | CHC at PIT | Arrieta | Sit-2 | Yajure | Sit-2 |
5/25 | PHI at MIA | Velasquez | Maybe-4 | Alcantara | Start-7 |
5/25 | TOR at NYY | Matz | Maybe-5 | Kluber | Maybe-6 |
5/25 | CIN at WSN | Mahle | Maybe-6 | Scherzer | Start-9 |
5/25 | KCR at TBR | Keller | Sit-1 | Hill | Sit-3 |
5/25 | CLE at DET | Civale | Start-7 | Skubal | Sit-1 |
5/25 | COL at NYM | Freeland | Sit-1 | deGrom | Start-10 |
5/25 | ATL at BOS | Morton | Maybe-6 | Richards | Sit-3 |
5/25 | BAL at MIN | Kremer | Sit-1 | Berrios | Maybe-6 |
5/25 | SDP at MIL | Musgrove | Start-7 | Burnes | Start-8 |
5/25 | LAD at HOU | Kershaw | Start-7 | Greinke | Maybe-6 |
5/25 | STL at CHW | Flaherty | Start-7 | Giolito | Start-7 |
5/25 | TEX at LAA | Yang | Sit-2 | Heaney | Maybe-5 |
5/25 | SEA at OAK | Gilbert | Sit-2 | Irvin | Maybe-6 |
5/25 | SFG at ARI | Gausman | Start-9 | Smith | Sit-1 |
Wednesday – 5/26 | |||||
Date | Game | Away Pitcher | Sit / Start | Home Pitcher | Sit / Start |
5/26 | BAL at MIN | Lopez | Sit-1 | Pineda | Maybe-5 |
5/26 | STL at CHW | Gant | Sit-3 | Rodon | Start-7 |
5/26 | SEA at OAK | Flexen | Sit-3 | Kaprielian | Maybe-5 |
5/26 | TEX at LAA | Dunning | Maybe-5 | Canning | Maybe-4 |
5/26 | CHC at PIT | Williams | Sit-3 | Crowe | Sit-1 |
5/26 | PHI at MIA | Nola | Start-9 | Castano | Sit-1 |
5/26 | TOR at NYY | Pearson | Sit-2 | German | Maybe-4 |
5/26 | CIN at WSN | Hoffman | Sit-1 | Ross | Sit-1 |
5/26 | CLE at DET | Quantrill | Sit-3 | Urena | Sit-3 |
5/26 | KCR at TBR | Minor | Sit-2 | Glasnow | Start-9 |
5/26 | COL at NYM | Marquez | Sit-3 | Stroman | Maybe-5 |
5/26 | ATL at BOS | Smyly | Sit-1 | Pivetta | Sit-2 |
5/26 | LAD at HOU | Bauer | Start-7 | Garcia | Sit-3 |
5/26 | SDP at MIL | Paddack | Maybe-5 | Houser | Sit-3 |
5/26 | SFG at ARI | Cueto | Maybe-5 | Kelly | Sit-1 |
Thursday – 5/27 | |||||
Date | Game | Away Pitcher | Sit / Start | Home Pitcher | Sit / Start |
5/27 | COL at NYM | Senzatela | Sit-1 | Lucchesi | Sit-2 |
5/27 | PHI at MIA | Howard | Sit-3 | Lopez | Maybe-6 |
5/27 | CHC at PIT | Hendricks | Start-7 | Anderson | Maybe-5 |
5/27 | CLE at DET | Bieber | Start-10 | Boyd | Maybe-5 |
5/27 | SDP at MIL | Weathers | Maybe-4 | Anderson | Sit-1 |
5/27 | KCR at TBR | Singer | Maybe-4 | McClanahan | Maybe-5 |
5/27 | TOR at NYY | Ray | Maybe-5 | Montgomery | Maybe-4 |
5/27 | CIN at WSN | Gray | Maybe-6 | Strasburg | Sit-3 |
5/27 | BAL at CHW | Zimmermann | Sit-1 | Cease | Start-7 |
5/27 | LAA at OAK | Cobb | Maybe-5 | Bassitt | Maybe-5 |
5/27 | STL at ARI | Martinez | Sit-1 | Frankoff | Sit-1 |
5/27 | TEX at SEA | Gibson | Start-7 | Sheffield | Sit-3 |
5/27 | SFG at LAD | Wood | Maybe-6 | Buehler | Start-7 |
Friday – 5/28 | |||||
Date | Game | Away Pitcher | Sit / Start | Home Pitcher | Sit / Start |
5/28 | CIN at CHC | Gray | Maybe-6 | Alzolay | Maybe-5 |
5/28 | COL at PIT | Gray | Maybe-5 | Keller | Sit-2 |
5/28 | MIL at WSN | Peralta | Start-8 | Lester | Sit-2 |
5/28 | TOR at CLE | Ryu | Start-8 | Plesac | Maybe-5 |
5/28 | NYY at DET | Cole | Start-10 | Mize | Sit-2 |
5/28 | ATL at NYM | Anderson | Start-7 | Walker | Maybe-4 |
5/28 | MIA at BOS | Hernandez | Sit-1 | Perez | Maybe-4 |
5/28 | SDP at HOU | Darvish | Start-7 | McCullers | Maybe-6 |
5/28 | KCR at MIN | Bubic | Sit-3 | Happ | Sit-2 |
5/28 | BAL at CHW | Harvey | Sit-1 | Keuchel | Maybe-4 |
5/28 | LAA at OAK | Quintana | Sit-3 | Manaea | Maybe-4 |
5/28 | STL at ARI | Mikolas | Sit-2 | Bumgarner | Maybe-5 |
5/28 | TEX at SEA | Lyles | Sit-1 | Kikuchi | Maybe-6 |
5/28 | SFG at LAD | Menez | Sit-1 | Urias | Start-7 |
Saturday – 5/29 | |||||
Date | Game | Away Pitcher | Sit / Start | Home Pitcher | Sit / Start |
5/29 | PHI at TBR | Wheeler | Start-9 | Fleming | Maybe-4 |
5/29 | KCR at MIN | Lynch | Sit-1 | Pineda | Maybe-5 |
5/29 | BAL at CHW | Means | Start-7 | Lynn | Start-8 |
5/29 | CIN at CHC | Castillo | Maybe-6 | Davies | Sit-1 |
5/29 | COL at PIT | Gomber | Maybe-4 | Brubaker | Maybe-5 |
5/29 | LAA at OAK | Bundy | Maybe-5 | Montas | Sit-2 |
5/29 | NYY at DET | Taillon | Maybe-6 | Turnbull | Maybe-4 |
5/29 | SDP at HOU | Snell | Maybe-5 | Javier | Maybe-5 |
5/29 | TOR at CLE | Stripling | Sit-2 | Hentges | Sit-1 |
5/29 | MIA at BOS | Rogers | Maybe-6 | Eovaldi | Start-7 |
5/29 | SFG at LAD | DeSclafani | Maybe-6 | Price | Maybe-4 |
5/29 | ATL at NYM | Fried | Start-7 | Peterson | Sit-2 |
5/29 | MIL at WSN | Woodruff | Start-9 | Corbin | Sit-2 |
5/29 | TEX at SEA | Foltynewicz | Sit-1 | Gonzales | Sit-1 |
5/29 | STL at ARI | Wainwright | Maybe-4 | Martin | Sit-1 |
Sunday – 5/30 | |||||
Date | Game | Away Pitcher | Sit / Start | Home Pitcher | Sit / Start |
5/30 | MIL at WSN | Burnes | Start-9 | Scherzer | Start-9 |
5/30 | COL at PIT | Freeland | Sit-1 | Cahill | Maybe-4 |
5/30 | TOR at CLE | Matz | Maybe-5 | Civale | Maybe-5 |
5/30 | NYY at DET | Kluber | Start-7 | Skubal | Sit-1 |
5/30 | PHI at TBR | Eflin | Start-8 | Yarbrough | Maybe-4 |
5/30 | MIA at BOS | Alcantara | Maybe-6 | Rodriguez | Start-7 |
5/30 | KCR at MIN | Keller | Sit-1 | Shoemaker | Sit-1 |
5/30 | SDP at HOU | Musgrove | Maybe-6 | Odorizzi | Sit-2 |
5/30 | BAL at CHW | Kremer | Sit-1 | Giolito | Start-7 |
5/30 | CIN at CHC | Miley | Maybe-4 | Arrieta | Sit-1 |
5/30 | LAA at OAK | Heaney | Sit-3 | Irvin | Maybe-4 |
5/30 | TEX at SEA | Arihara | Sit-1 | Dunn | Sit-1 |
5/30 | STL at ARI | Hyun Kim | Maybe-5 | Smith | Sit-1 |
5/30 | SFG at LAD | Gausman | Start-7 | Kershaw | Start-8 |
5/30 | ATL at NYM | Morton | Start-7 | deGrom | Start-8 |
Always love seeing these! Curious why you have Montas as a sit against SEA?
Montas has been looking pretty lost this year, although he is looking better as of late. I might bump him up to Maybe-4, but I can see a scenario where he gives you a lackluster start like his entire 2021 track record…or he could no-hit the Mariners. Welcome to 2021 baseball.
Yeah, I guess none of his numbers/peripherals are looking very good. Just thought what better place to get on track than SEA!
You’ve got Gray starting Thursday and Friday for CIN