Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire
With two months of baseball left, it's getting close to the time when managers begin looking ahead to their rapidly approaching fantasy playoffs. With so many young pitchers on the SP scene, it's important to know who will still be around to provide value when you need it most.
Through the help of Pitcher List's statistics wizard Patrick Barnhart, we've compiled a list of young starters and projected when they would be shut down this season. How it works is simple: We took the total innings across the minors + majors + playoffs from last season, added a 20% boost to project a 2018 limit, then calculated how many innings they have left to throw this season. By calculating their expected Innings Per Start (based on their historical data), we can determine a rough date for when they would hit their innings limit. In the chart below you'll see that list, followed by an overview of each pitcher involved, providing any insight and info from the organization about a possible innings limit.
There are a few things to note before we get started:
What about Jack Flaherty?
He threw 134 in 2016 and 170 in 2017. He could go 200 and he’s only at 122 so far.
Ross Stripling?
Copying my comment from Reddit to the same question-
He will definitely return to the rotation- the current report is either the 9th or 10th against the Rockies. However, the concerns about moving him to the pen are real. I think his cap is around 160 but at age 28, there’s a lot less concern about innings limits for him. Getting sent to the pen is a much bigger concern than a shutdown due to the abundance of rotation options in LA- Kershaw, Maeda, Wood, Buehler, and Hill doesn’t really leave any room.
What about Kyle Gibson? Also, Just acquired Clevinger and Taillon for Archer and McCullers for this very reason. I am glad to hear you don’t feel I won’t have to worry about either come the end of September.
Sorry I just saw this today. Gibson is 30 years old with seasons of 179.1 and 194.2 already under his belt along with 175.1 (minors included). I’m not even remotely concerned about him getting shut down.
How do I find out all pitchers avg innings per start in 2018 ?
IP/starts. You can calculate it in excel.