When it comes to betting on baseball, erring on the side of caution is never a bad idea. But sometimes you need to treat yourself a little bit, take off the training wheels and throwdown the Hail Mary parlay. Well if you follow along with the four bets I have recommended, you will stumble across one of those parlays. Feeling lucky!
This season, I have decided to treat readers to four bets in each article under the following parameters: 1) A bet on a team, 2) A bet on a total, 3) A batter prop bet, and 4) A pitcher prop bet. Hopefully, this diversification will lead to success in our wagers (but probably not).
Dodgers @ Giants Moneyline
In a classic NL West series, the Giants have gotten the better of the 1st place Dodgers during the first two games. Utilizing quality pitching and timely hitting, the Giants have scratched and clawed their way back to within 4.5 games of Los Angeles. On Sunday afternoon, it will be a battle of talented lefties as Julio Urias and Carlos Rodon take the mound to face off for the 2nd time this season. In the first matchup, Urias got the better of Rodon in a tight pitcher’s duel with the Dodgers winning 3-1. I think a similar score is in line for today, but the teams will be flipped. The Dodgers offense just hasn’t been as dangerous in the past two weeks as we are used to them being and I think the Giants are better equipped to take a close one at home today. Give me the Giants at +110, home dogs all day.
Pick: Giants ML (+110 DK, +110 FD)
Orioles @ Royals O/U 9.5 Runs
In a series that has had each game score 9 runs or higher, I am looking forward to another high-scoring affair today between Baltimore and Kansas City. Just looking at the pitching matchup between Dean Kremer and Brad Keller screams runs. However, I don’t think there are many pitchers on either team that could slow down these offenses right now. Star catching prospects Adley Rutschman are starting to figure things out at the big league level. Veteran hitters like Trey Mancini, Rougned Odor and Salvador Perez have been hot with the bat 0f late. And don’t even get me started on the show Bobby Witt, Jr. is prepared to put on this summer. You better believe I am stacking hitters in this game in DFS and although 9.5 seems like a high total, I don’t think its nearly high enough for this game, where I wouldn’t be surprised to see both teams reach double-digits. That’s right I said it. My crystal ball is telling me this is a 12-10 final that could go either way.
Pick: OVER 9.5 Runs (-115 DK, -112 FD)
B. Witt, Jr./S. Perez/C. Mullins/T. Mancini Total Bases O/U 1.5
If you were waiting for that giant parlay I mentioned earlier, wait no longer. If you haven’t taken advantage of the same game parlays that sportsbooks like DraftKings and FanDuel are putting out, today might be the day to start. I already told you how much I love the over in the Orioles/Royals matchup today, so naturally I love many of the batter props as well. In fact I love too many of the batter props, which is why we are going for the Hail Mary same game parlay. With the fireworks I expect to see from the bats in this game, I decided to focus on total bases for a pair of sluggers from each team and I arrived at Bobby Witt, Jr. and Salvador Perez for Kansas City and Cedric Mullins and Trey Mancini for Baltimore. When you combine these four you get an absurd +950 from DraftKings and an even more absurd +1072 odds from FanDuel. This is certainly a long shot and proceed with caution, but if you want to take the leap with me we could be in for a very big payday.
Pick: Witt/Perez/Mullins/Mancini OVER 1.5 Total Bases Each (+950 DK, +1072 FD)
Jameson Taillon to Record a Win
Prior to his last start on the road against a dangerous Minnesota team, Jameson Taillon was absolutely rolling on the mound. In his three starts before the rough one against the Twins, Taillon had allowed just 2 ERs over 23 innings, allowing just 1 walk and 9 hits. I think we can safely put that last start behind us as Taillon gets to face a Cubs lineup that just hasn’t really been able to do much all season. In the last week, Chicago has been one of the worst offenses in baseball with a 71 wRC+. With a Yankees offense that is just relentless at home, Taillon should have no problem picking up his 7th win of the season with a decent outing. At +130 I love the payout here, especially considering this is one of the safer pitcher props on the board.
Pick: Taillon to Record a Win (+130 DK)
Kyle Stanzel Overall Record: 34-32-0
Net Money (Assuming all wagers are $100): $747.91
Featured image by Justin Paradis (@JustParaDesigns on Twitter)