Don’t Go Good Wil Hunting

Nick Pollack reviews every single starting pitcher's performances from Saturday's games.

(Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire)

I expect some of you to think Wilmer Font may be worth a pickup after going 5.2 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks against the Yanks. That’s a wonderful line and you want to cash that in. The problem here is how many mistakes he made and how often he was lucky. Multiple outs at over 100mph on pitches down the middle of the plate and this wasn’t a pitcher dominating across 80 pitches. It’s a short lead, but an important one. Keep Wilmer on the waiver wire as I’m just not too Font of him.

Let’s see how every other SP did Saturday:

Zack Greinke – 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 0 BBs, 7 Ks. Aces gonna ace. This is the start you’ve been waiting for. It’s legit.

Mike Leake – 8.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks. Leake allowed 5 ER last time out, but just 7 ER total in his previous five games and after realizing he has a money pitch in his slider, you may think this is something you chase. This was the Red Sawx after all! Yeah, don’t do that. He has these games out of nowhere, but he also has five games of 3 Ks or fewer in his last seven games prior. Ouch. He’s a hail mary play, and a rare stream. Nothing more.

Marcus Stroman – 5.0 IP, 0 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 5 Ks. It was an incredibly transparent DLH and Stroman didn’t care as he cruised through five and 80 pitches. Not super impressive CSW wise (23/81), but I’m surprised to see him pump the zone often and have a bit of comfort with his slide piece. Definitely not ready to say he’s back (you know what I mean) and if he’s on the wire, I’m still hesitant. Obviously Top 40 upside – was just outside it in the preseason -but it’ll take a good while for me to trust that.

Chase Anderson – 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 2 Hits, 4 BBs, 9 Ks. It’s #VelocityWatch2018 and Anderson was around 93mph. That’s not what we want. 34 CSW in 100 though as he still did work with his four-seamer. Kinda wild to see sub 10% marks on both his changeup and cutter – that explains the walks -but his heater/deuce combination racked up the strikeouts. This doesn’t add up to sustained success.

Jaime Barria – 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 4 BBs, 5 Ks. Barria rebounded after a disappointing start against the Diamondbacks, but this still isn’t the super dominating outing you wanted either as that 1.60 WHIP certainly hurts. Too bad it’s Sawx + Mariners twice next as I’m sitting out.

Trevor Bauer – 6.1 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 11 Ks. Aces gonna ace. Yep, he’s entering the Top 10 tomorrow. 44 CSW in 112 pitches and 19 whiffs for a co-Gallows Pole. The dude is legit and I don’t know how anyone can doubt that.

Trevor Richards – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 Hits, 2 BBs, 8 Ks. In case you were wondering, this start followed a 6 ER clunker. That’s the life of Richards and this changes nothing, even if it was miraculously pitched in Coors.

Matt Strahm – 3.1 IP, 1 ER, 2 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks. 59 pitches this time as Strahm held a 24/59 CSW. That’s over 40%. Yes I want him to keep stretching out and start by the end of July. PLEASE.

Andrew Suarez – 5.2 IP, 1 ER, 8 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks. It wasn’t pretty as he was Singled Out a bit, but it’s a beneficial outing and another win for me. Streaming Record: 46-24. Great two-start week from Suarez, let’s hope Dereck can pull it off tomorrow. Is this anything more than a stream? Sure isn’t.

Dylan Bundy – 6.1 IP, 2 ER, 7 Hits, 2 BBs, 8 Ks. Atta babe Bundy, I’m a little surprised to see this result despite 20% sliders and only 12 whiffs – a 91.5mph heater also makes this a little short of a Holiday Bundle (30% sliders and 92mph heat) – but you did this against the Braves and I’m still loving you.

Anthony DeSclafani – 6.1 IP, 2 ER, 3 Hits, 4 BBs, 3 Ks. Tony Disco hit a grand slam today. He had more RBI than strikeouts. I hope he can be a Toby like this moving forward, I’m still not ready to believe in it yet.

Ian Kennedy – 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 Hits, 1 BBs, 5 Ks. Sure, whatever Kennedy. You’re a Werewolf and we don’t want that ju-ju around our teams.

Clayton Kershaw – 3.0 IP, 2 ER, 5 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks. I didn’t label this a proper DLH, but Kershaw was limited to just 55 pitches here. That’s too bad. I think I’m going to rank him after Severino come Monday as I need some time to trust that he is actually healthy. I know we won’t ever really be convinced moving forward, but that seems reasonable, right?

Francisco Liriano – 4.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 Hits, 3 BBs, 3 Ks. Oh hey Liriano, didn’t see you there. Probably won’t see you again much anymore so while I’ve got you I just wanna let you know that I liked you for like a weeks week back in the day. It was a wild time.

Miles Mikolas – 6.2 IP, 2 ER, 3 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks. 8Miles is still cruising and you should be happy. I’m happy.

Aaron Nola – 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 Hits, 3 BBs, 5 Ks. Aces gonna ace. Not dominating, but this helps across the board. Happy Nola Day.

Jacob deGrom – 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 6 Ks. Aces gonna give you a PQS and 6 Ks. Meh. I’m so used to deGrom killing it and I’m going to be upset at a 3 ER game. Whatever, I do what I want.

Luke Farrell – 2.2 IP, 3 ER, 2 Hits, 2 BBs, 4 Ks. Farrell! The forgotten former Astros starter/reliever that is like visiting a diner with “world famous onion rings” off in the middle of nowhere – it’s not worth your time.

Erick Fedde – 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 8 Hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks. It’s a VVPQS for Fedde and you should feel dirty if you’re happy with this.

Lance McCullers – 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 4 Hits, 2 BBs, 9 Ks. A PQS with a 1.00 WHIP and 9 Ks? Yep, that’s totally cool to me from McCullers. It’s what you signed up for.

Tyler Anderson – 6.0 IP, 4 ER, 7 Hits, 2 BBs, 8 Ks. I was at this game – did a live play-by-play as well! – and Anderson had a solid six frames before getting a Careful Icarus in the seventh. Eight Ks is impressive (19 whiffs for a co-Gallows Pole!), even if it was the Marlins, but man it’s hard to put much faith in Anderson. Still do the Rocky Mountain Way n all, but have a little caution.

Dylan Covey – 4.0 IP, 4 ER, 2 Hits, 4 BBs, 1 Ks. Don’t Covey Thy Dylan. I was told today by Paul Spoiler that his name is pronounced Cove-E. The joke will live on, I DON’T CARE.

Yovani Gallardo – 5.1 IP, 4 ER, 6 Hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks. Why is YoGa back. No one asked for this.

Sonny Gray – 6.2 IP, 4 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 7 Ks. On one hand, it was 32 CSW in 101 with 17 whiffs – that’s awesome – but there was too much in the middle of the plate and the mistakes piled up. He’s close and hey, maybe the BABIP could have gone better to save him. I can see myself taking the chance here in deeper leagues, but still not ready in a 12-teamer.

Eduardo Rodriguez – 4.0 IP, 4 ER, 7 Hits, 2 BBs, 2 Ks. Dang Edu, that’s a 16 CSW as you were lost today. Terrible pitches from his cutter, 0 whiffs on 11 changeups and that’s just not going to work. I’m not worried it’s the start of a long-term trend, but this was bad. Seriously. Here’s to shrugging it off and trusting him against the…Yankees? Ugh, wait one more game against the Nationals + Rangers after. If he does well, great, you’ll feel better about it.

Daniel Mengden – 2.0 IP, 5 ER, 4 Hits, 1 BBs, 1 Ks. We labeled Mengden’s success as a Vargas Rule situation, and now Mengden can’t handle the ChiSox. That should be enough confirmation.

Joe Musgrove – 4.0 IP, 5 ER, 7 Hits, 3 BBs, 2 Ks. Bleeeeegh. Musgrove hinted at disappointment against the Cubs after struggling against the Reds and it showed up in spades. Not cool at all, still worth your time in 12-teamers. He’s a 3.70 ERA guy, while he should be walking closer to 1 moving forward.

Jake Odorizzi – 1.2 IP, 6 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 3 Ks. Odorizzi got burnt and I don’t understand why you’d want to take a chance on this in a 12-teamer. There just isn’t enough here.

Julio Teheran – 4.2 IP, 7 ER, 6 Hits, 3 BBs, 6 Ks. Do you hate Teheran yet? Why not?

Today’s Streamer

Dereck Rodriguez vs. San Diego Padres – I said he’d get the call again and it’s not like there are any other glaring options to go with instead.

Tomorrow’s Streamer

Mike Montgomery vs. Los Angeles Dodgers – It’s 21%, not 20%, but this is all I got. We cool? I hope we’re cool.

Day After Tomorrow’s Streamer

Chad Kuhl vs New York Mets – Call me crazy, but I’m going with Kuhl despite getting blown up for 8 ERs last time out. That was the dBacks, this is the Mets.

Game of the Day

Domingo German vs. Tampa Bay Rays – I’m curious if German can continue his fantastic command + keep the feel for his changeup.

Nick Pollack

Founder of Pitcher List. Creator of CSW, The List, and SP Roundup. Worked with MSG, FanGraphs, CBS Sports, and Washington Post. Former college pitcher, travel coach, pitching coach, and Brandeis alum. Wants every pitcher to be dope.

15 responses to “Don’t Go Good Wil Hunting”

  1. Drew says:

    Didn’t look at this game for musgrove but prior the fastball velocity was trending in the wrong direction. I jumped ship after last week when I noticed and don’t think he’s usuable in any mixed format

    • Nick Pollack says:

      Except that his velocity was over 94mph in this one. He only had one game all year at 95mph -the very first where he was clearly amped. 94mph = good and shouldn’t be a reason to disregard Musgrove.

  2. Southern Marylander says:

    My opponent this week added Lauer and Plutko to try and overcome my 9 K, 1 W lead (I’m assuming he won’t be making up 1.50 in ERA and 0.30 in WHIP).

    As such, come on down Dereck Rodriguez. If he blows up, I’m blaming you, Nick!

  3. Johnny Ryall says:

    Hey Nick! When do you expect Strahm to be fully stretched out?

    • Nick Pollack says:

      I’d hope for the end of July. That’s if the Padres keep going with their “bullpen” games.

  4. Mitch says:

    Hey Nick, is it time to sell Verlander if I can still potentially get top tier talent back?

    • Nick Pollack says:

      I’d say it’s most likely a lateral move if you’re selling Verlander. Totally depends on your needs for your team.

  5. Frankie says:

    Hey Nick, I was all into J Barria when Ohtani went down with injury. But now I’m not so sure. Would you drop him for a streamer in a 12 team H2H 6×6 or continue to roll with him AFTER the Boston road start? Options on the wire are R Lopez, M Minor, K Gausman. Thnx!

    • Nick Pollack says:

      I liked Barria with the two-start week, but he’s still a “play it by matchup” arm instead of a confident play ROS.

      I’d favor Gausman over Barria, but still play the matchups with both. Barria has it tough in his next three, so feel fine making the swap.

  6. For the win says:

    Montgomery over Rodriguez today? Montgomery moved to start today. Stat. Thanks :)

    • For the Win says:

      Love the work you all do here too, I feel bad that I can’t inform my other owners about you. Maybe they think the same too. Lol I would never say “stat” but our moves lock after first pitch of the day. Keep up the good work. Greatly appreciate you all!!

  7. David C. says:

    Hey Nick, Bieber, Loaisiga or F.Peralta?

  8. theKraken says:

    Is anyone doubting Bauer as a TOR arm? I would be the first person to do so, but you really can’t argue with what he has done this year!

  9. Perfect Game says:

    Hey Nick. At this point, who would you take between Berrios and Cole ROS for counting stats and ratios in a standard 5×5 roto using QS instead of W?

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