Luke What The Cards Dragged In

I think we need to take a moment to discuss Luke Weaver after his 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 0 BBs, 6 Ks yesterday afternoon against the Reds. That’s now...

I think we need to take a moment to discuss Luke Weaver after his 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 0 BBs, 6 Ks yesterday afternoon against the Reds. That's now a 1.15 ERA, 1.78 FIP, 1.98 xFIP, 12.06 K/9, 1.15 BB/9, and 0.89 WHIP (just four walks!) in his last five games as he's faced the Padres, Brewers, Giants, Pirates, and Reds. Yes, that's a great schedule and obviously Weaver isn't a sub 2.00 ERA guy with a K/9 north of 10.00. Duh. The point here is that he has a fantastic foundation with his Fastball/Changeup combination that holds back the walks while getting batters well off balance. He gets the Reds, Cubs, Brewers the rest of the way and I'm obviously on board, but let's talk more about 2018. His 91.6% LOB rate in this time is absurd and will fall as well, but even if it falls to a 3.30 ERA next season with a 9.00 K/9 and 2.50 BB/9, that's still Top 30 value.  I think people are going to think he gets over-drafted when in actuality I see him being underdrafted because of the stigma and overall "unknown" of Weaver. I'll probably have him near #40 when I do my super early rankings in October and I imagine him being a target in all my leagues.

Let’s see how every other SP did yesterday:

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Nick Pollack

Founder of Pitcher List. Creator of CSW, The List, and SP Roundup. Worked with MSG, FanGraphs, CBS Sports, and Washington Post. Former college pitcher, travel coach, pitching coach, and Brandeis alum. Wants every pitcher to be dope.

3 responses to “Luke What The Cards Dragged In”

  1. Chris says:

    Off the cuff question but you mentioned way-too-early rankings – Where do you see Jimmy Nelson in those roughly? In a keeper where I’m in the playoffs but because they didn’t DH him he’s taking up precious space. Trying to weigh value of a RP for the next 3/10 days vs. Jimmy for my 22nd pick next year.

  2. Norbert Dutra says:

    Chris September….nelson just got dl’ed

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