(Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire)
Every Friday I look at every projected two-start pitcher for the week ahead and detail my thoughts about rolling with them on your roster. There are four tiers: Definitely, Probably, Questionable, Bench. Definitely Start features starters that are no doubters for the week ahead followed by Probably Start with pitchers that look like good plays but may create a hesitation or two. Players labeled as Questionable are for deeper leagues or have one-of-two outings that should be skipped. Pitchers under Bench should be avoided despite their two starts in the week ahead.
Note: This article was written Friday morning, estimating probable starters through the week. These are subject to change.
Definitely Start
Carlos Carrasco (@DET, @HOU)
Miles Mikolas (@MIN, PHI)
Lance McCullers Jr. (@LAA, CLE)
Sean Manaea (@BOS, @TOR)
Rick Porcello (OAK, BAL)
Eduardo Rodriguez (OAK, BAL)
Patrick Corbin (MIL, @NYM)
Zack Greinke (MIL, @NYM)
Alex Wood (@MIA, @WSH)
- Carlos Carrasco and Zack Greinke are easy calls given their AGA status
- Sean Manaea is a must start even facing the Sawx considering he no-hit them in their last bout paired with a comfortable outing against the Jays.
- There are questions about Patrick Corbin’s velocity, though good matchups make him an easy choice.
- I’m amazed at the command of Alex Wood and you should expect it to continue against the Fish + Nats
- Teammates Rick Porcello and Eduardo Rodriguez have both impressed mightly this year, giving them top tier status for the week ahead.
- There’s no sign for concern with Miles Mikolas‘ pair of starts to hold you back, while the strikeout upside of Lance McCullers is enough to justify a clear Start.
Probably Start
Reynaldo Lopez (@PIT, TEX)
Nick Pivetta (@BAL, @STL)
Joey Lucchesi (COL, @PIT)
Yu Darvish (ATL, @CIN)
Jose Quintana (@ATL, @CIN)
Mike Foltynewicz (CHC, MIA)
Tyler Anderson (@SDP, @SFG)
- Tyler Anderson gets the benefit of playing two weak opponents outside of Coors and could be a sneaky pickup even in your 12-teamers for the week ahead.
- Yes, there are a ton of questions about Yu Darvish’s ability, though the real gamble here is against the Braves as the Reds should be a beneficial outing. I’d take the chance.
- Reynaldo Lopez’s secondary stuff was improved in his last start, with the Pirates and Rangers acting as favorable options for a two-start week.
- Jose Quintana and Mike Foltynewicz are both rolling and deserve your love.
- Another fine option is Joey Lucchesi who gets decent matchups and can easily take advantage of them to give you stable production.
Questionable
Julio Teheran (@CHC, MIA)
Mike Minor (@SEA, @CHW)
Andrew Heaney (HOU, TBR)
Trevor Williams (CHW, SDP)
Mike Leake (TEX, DET)
Junior Guerra (@ARI, @MIN)
Chris Stratton (CIN, COL)
Daniel Mengden (@BOS, @TOR)
- As much as I don’t believe in the longterm success of Julio Teheran, he does get decent matchups these week that makes him a decent play.
- I am a fan of Andrew Henaey, though I question if a start against the Rays is worth the gaunlet against the Astros.
- I’m not loving how Mike Minor looked in his previous start, though there’s a chance he spins a pair of solid performances, especially against the ChiSox
- Mike Leake and Trevor Williams are not options I endorse often, though they are slated for two starts agains below average opponents and could be sneaky options.
- Junior Guerra could pull off another gem as his fastball earned 15 whiffs last time out, while Daniel Mengden’s start against Toronto may outweight the risk of the Red Sox.
- I don’t like believing in Chris Stratton at the moment, but he is a slight step up from Tier 4 as he hosts the Rockies and Reds in San Fran.
Bench
Sal Romano (@SFG, CHC)
Andrew Cashner (PHI, @BOS)
Jaime Garcia (@NYM, OAK)
Wade Leblanc (@MIN, DET)
Mike Fiers (CLE, @SEA)
Jake Odorizzi (SEA, MIL)
Francisco Liriano (CLE, @SEA)
Wei-Yin Chen (LAD, @ATL)
Ty Blach (CIN, COL)
Eric Skoglund (TBR, NYY)
- Plenty of clear benches here including Andrew Cashner, Eric Skoglund, Wei-Yin Chen, Francisco Liriano, Wade LeBlanc, and Mike Fiers.
- I can fathom a decent week from Sal Romano but his volatility and a date with the Cubs make me stay away.
- Jaime Garcia gets the Mets, but it’s far from enough when he has an evening with the strong Oakland offense as well.
- It’s not out of the question Ty Blach squeaks out passable outside as he hosts the Reds and Rockies, but he’s far from someone I would chase in 12-teamers.
- The floor of Jake Odorrizi far outweighs the possible return as he faces the Mariners and Brewers.
German Marquez not a two start pitcher this week?
Mahle? I’m starting him anyway but he wasn’t mentioned
Reds have Monday + Thursday off = Mahle pitches Tuesday and the following week.
A doubleheader on Saturday confuses things, but that’s a spot start, and I don’t think Mahle gets pushed up for a Sunday outing.
Reds are @ Giants Monday 5/14. He is slated for tuesday, with 7 games you still think he doesnt start?
I feel like even if he doesn’t double a single start versus the Gnats isn’t the worst matchup in the world. You think they’d call up Finnegan for the double header? I dont know enough about the reds depth to make a good call.
Nick,
Just thinking out loud…. Clevinger needs a big bump. Between last year and this year he has strung together a season of “Ace” stats.
Greinke’s a two start pitcher next week?
I don’t think so. Unless I’m missing something he’s going 5/15 v MIL and the D-Backs have 5/17 off. He should be a 2 start pitcher for week commencing 5/21.
He only pitches once.
Is Jack Flaherty now a 2-start for the week? Where would he land on this?