SP Matchups & Streamer Rankings – 4/8 & 4/9

With the 2021 season, I’m changing how I’m doing my starting pitcher streamers and daily matchup rankings

Instead of being featured in the SP Roundup, I’ll be highlighting my SP streamer picks for today and tomorrow inside this article, while also introducing four tiers and adding notes to each table.

The four tiers are as follows:

 

Auto-Start – Just do it. Don’t overthink this, start the man.

Probably Start – I’m likely starting these arms, though I recognize there is more risk than we’d like there to be. Either it’s a tough matchup for a good pitcher or a weak lineup for a volatile arm.

Questionable Start – There are situations where I’d take the chance, either with strong enough upside on the ability side, or a poor offense that a pitcher could take advantage of.

Do Not Start – The reward is not worth the risk. Don’t do it.

 

Obviously, there will be circumstances where pitchers should move between teams for your situation specifically and these new tiers should act as a little more help than the straight table from last year.

Please keep in mind that streaming is far from a perfect play. In fact, if they work out over half the time, I’d consider it a success. These matchup rankings & streamer picks are going to be wildly different than the actual results through the year, so please, have sympathy before the scathing comments and tweets. I’m only trying to help!

Make sure to read the notes if you’re wondering why I’m favoring certain pitchers over others – I won’t get to everyone and hopefully I answer what questions you will have.

There is a second table for tomorrow’s starting pitcher matchups as well, helping everyone get a jump on their nightly pickups. Please note that these matchups are subject to change, though, and there will be times when I have the incorrect pitcher going. I thank you for your future understanding.

Finally, I have highlighted in Green my streaming pick of the day – Yellow if I wouldn’t actually want to stream them (I have to pick one every day!) . These are defined as “rostered in 20% or fewer leagues,” which really emphasizes the point that I’d be happy if over 50% of these worked. I could do the whole sub 30/40% rostered, but there’s no fun in that. You can use the rankings to realize who would be those picks, instead.

 

Today’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

• Few aces going today and despite Lance Lynn ranking higher than Corbin Burnes on The List, that’s in favor of the season-long volume. In the short term, give me Burnes’ quality of innings over Lynn’s.
• Monitor Jose Berrios’ velocity today – here’s to hoping he can go 95+ mph for the second straight start.

 

• The second tier is an odd one. I’m leading it with Marco Gonzales though I was very tempted to slot him last as he faces the mighty Twins. Nelson “Boomstick Baby” Cruz is so legit it hurts.
• Taijuan Walker and Jake Arrieta are both solid options, even if we haven’t seen Walker pitch this year. Arrieta should be able to at least be average against the Pirates. We hope.

 

• The third tier may be a bit too long today, but there are some intriguing arms that I could see creating some value today. As usual, I generally avoid this tier if I can, save for maybe one or two at the top. Today is no exception as I wouldn’t feel comfortable with Ross Stripling, even as the streaming pick of the day. Here’s to hoping his curveball can nullify Los Angeles’ bats.
• Cristian Javier threw under 75 pitches in his first game and hopefully he’s given a longer leash against Oakland.

 

• I can understand someone taking the chance with Jon Gray as he faces the Diamondbacks, but it is in Coors and…yeah, it’s Coors.
• It’s weird to place Tyler Anderson in this tier but it’s also weird to not have a former Gallows Pole winner not farther up the list. Welcome to the world of Tyler Anderson.

 

• The most interesting starter at the bottom is Cole Irvin, who just didn’t do enough in his season debut to instill faith in a strong performance against Houston. Maybe he can do more here, but there’s no reason you have to spin that wheel.

 

Tomorrow’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

• It’s lovely to see young arms Joe Musgrove and Tyler Mahle get comfortable outings against the Rangers and Diamondbacks. Here’s to their early runs continuing on Friday.
• I considered putting Corey Kluber in the second tier, but if you’re restoring Kluber, there’s little reason not to start him against the middling Rays.

 

• There is no second tier today. I will not compromise my ranks just for the sake of having one. You’re welcome.

 

• I shuffled the order of the third tier a few times. Leading off is Andrew Heaney, who displayed his volatility inside his first start, looking dominant early and falling apart later. Proceed with caution, but if you need the strikeouts, they’ll be there.
• Steven Matz looked great in his first outing and now has a challenge against the Angels. I can see it working out – especially if Ohtani isn’t hitting.

 

• My official Streaming Pick of the Day is Johnny Cueto, surprisingly enough. He’ll be allowed to go 100 pitches and gets Rockie Road. It’s the combination you want for someone that has just enough stuff in his arsenal to make it work.
• It’s a bit tempting to give Taylor Widener a spin after last week’s outing against the Padres, though the Reds are hot and it’s a risk I’m not sure I’m willing to take.

 

• Yes, Julio Teheran is in the third tier as well. I know, I know, but Cleveland is struggling and Teheran will be able to throw plenty of pitches. Something to consider.

 

Photo by Samuel Stringer/Icon Sportswire | Design by Quincey Dong (@threerundong on Twitter)