During the All-Star break, many penned Dinelson Lamet as a guy could break out in the second half. I didn't. I didn't like his overall approach and saw him as a HR prone guy with a great Slider but lacking Fastball/Changeup command. In those five games, he's had starts of 5 ER, 2, 2, 0, and now this of 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 Hits, 3 BBs, 5 Ks and I'm sure you're thinking "gee, Nick, that's looking kinda solid to me, especially when he's averaging six Ks per start!" Yeah, you're not wrong. The thing is, he's had a really good schedule. That first start of 5 ER was in Coors, with the recent four against the Giants, Pirates twice, and now Reds who have been terrible in their last 30 days. I think I know where this is going. So let's look at his schedule the rest of the way. Phils, Nats, Marlins, Dodgers, Cardinals, Coors-Lite (Arizona), Coors, Rockies, Dodgers. Ouch, that's really terrible. I'd say the Phils and Cardinals are the only starts I'm game for, maybe the Marlins and Rockies in PetCo. That's it. Now, I'm aware that he's been throwing more Sliders in his last seven games, but he's had multiple 5 ER games in that stretch and I'm not buying that being a pure two-pitch pitcher is the answer here. He can't run away from that poor Fastball command and lack of third option against good teams.
Let’s see how every other SP did yesterday:
Yo Nick! Great stuff as usual…need your input.
I need to pick 2 out of 3 starters for next week:
Jerad Eickhoff @SD, @SF
Carlos Rodon @LAD
Brad Peacock vsOAK, @ARI
Who you got?
Peacock + Eickhoff.
Any other streaming options you were considering for Saturday? Hoffman already taken in my league and I need some starts.
All I can think of is Trevor Williams against the Jays and if you’ve read enough of my roundups you’ll know how little enthusiasm I have for that start.
would you trade Paxton for verlander now, paxton is a keeper in the 14th and im going for the ship
Is it Roto or H2H? In H2H, I’d hate to lose a 14th round Paxton for effectively 3-4 starts that don’t with a playoff implication.
Its H2H, Im guaranteed to have a spot in the playoffs as I’m way ahead of everyone right now. I get to keep 3 players, Im definitely keeping Judge in the 24th round, I have Holland in the 17th, Nola in the 15th, and Paxton in the 14th. I may also keep goldy as a 1st rounder depending on my draft position next year so Ive got some flexibility. My staff right now is Scherzer, Kluber, Nola, Nelson, Paxton, Peacock, Castillo, and Gausman. I could probably flip Paxton and Devers for Donaldson and Verlander. Thoughts?
As a Lynn enthusiast, I will say that I do not expect his run of success to continue in Boston. There are not many guys I would be pumped to throw out there against Boston. That being said, it is probably better than a streamer. His defense was garbage yesterday in the 2nd inning, which never helps the WHIP when you have to face a handful more hitters.
Sounds about right to me. Lynn is in Toby territory for me and even a start against the Red Sox isn’t enough for me to bench him for a questionable streaming option instead.
Love these writeups, Nick.
Small correction: Darvish had 10 Ks last night rather than the 11 you have listed.
Thanks! Really weird to see that incorrect stat as I’m not manually plugging in those numbers. Fixed!
Have I ever told you what my favorite holiday is? Chris Smith.
Matt, you’re my hero.