This might be a little late, but I want to make it pretty clear that Johnny Cueto can be dropped in your league after going 6.0 IP, 6 ER, 6 Hits, 6 BBs, 2 Ks against the Marlins and missing his earlier start due to an ear infection. Sure, it's possible this was a product of lingering effects and this wasn't so bad until the seventh inning where he loaded the bases without an out, but it's getting crazy here, with four of his last five containing at least three walks and five straight starts under 6 Ks. Cueto hasn't had a single outing where he allowed 0 ER all season. He's allowing 35.4% contact and I'd rather own Luis Castillo. Make the swap before you have to keep enduring Cueto and his mediocrity and have some fun in your life.
Let’s see how every other SP did yesterday:
I love when you release these on my morning commute.
And Archer had some terrible luck yesterday. I see him as top 10 ROS.
I do too. I really need to get back in the groove of finishing these the night before.
Archer has been struggling to give us consistent ERA/WHIP games over the last month+. I question if he can return to that form.
MadBum’s coming back after the break and I have to make room. Drop Lynn, Rodon or Walker in yahoo points league?
All close, I think Lynn is the weakest link. Him or Walker as Rodon has the most believable upside.
They will all be pretty close in today’s List update.
Thanks Nick! I figured Lynn was the weakest.
Your site has been required daily reading. It’s really helped me piece together a 1st place staff even with my supposed anchor (MadBum) getting injured early.
Looking forward to the Potential SP Innings Limit article too! (coming soon I hope, hint hint)
so im really equivocating as to wether i should drop sonny gray (or someone else) for luis castillo. you say you would rather have castillo than cueto yet cueto (and sonny gray) are higher on your list. is this just that the list hasnt been updated yet?
who would you drop from my roster if anyone for your newest crush castillo?
roster – http://i.imgur.com/uPN74ZC.png
The List updates on Mondays, I’m going through it now!
I’d probably drop one of your bench bats, honestly. There’s still hope for Sonny/Tanaka to be productive in the second half.
If it had to be a SP, I favor Tanaka slightly more than Sonny, who would get the cut for Castillo.
Nick,
Where do you get your info on the number of swinging strikes a pitcher throws in a game?
I was trying to find that on fangraphs, but they just list the % in the game log.
While this isn’t what we’re using exactly, Baseball Savant’s Gamefeed will do the trick for you.
Thanks. I already use that for EV and pitch speed, so I’ll just use it for even more now. haha
What are you using exactly?
Or is it a secret family recipe? lol
I really want to love Castillo but there’s gotta be an innings limit in play, right? He maxed out at 131.2 IP in 2016 and is already at 103.1 IP this year between AA and the bigs. I’d imagine he’d be capped somewhere around 165 which means he’s only good for another 60-65 innings or so, or about 11 starts with a 6 IPS average.
I’m currently in good shape in my weekly H2H points league and have to assume he wouldn’t be able to help me come playoff time the last few weeks of September.
That’s a great point Alex. I’d imagine 180 innings – that’s usually the cut off for arms as they get introduced to the majors and have a decent amount of innings under their belt (130 is different than 100 or so).
Might be different for H2H instead of roto. Nevertheless, this would put him at a shutdown around mid-September, around 75 innings or so (12/13 starts?) and I wouldn’t make a big decision now with this in mind. Maybe he misses a start for whatever reason before September. Maybe you need the push to get to the playoffs in the first place. I’d rather figure that out later than let the production go to waste now.
Noticed you skipped Brent Suter. Any thoughts on him?
He pitched the day before: http://pitcherlist.com/on-the-road-again/
Ah sorry Nick. My days are all thrown off.
All good :D
You seem real giddy on Castillo! Any chance he starts drawing comps to JFer, Berrios?
Everything is there…except for the elite breaking ball. It’s a good Slider, just not the unreal one JoFer/Berrios feature(d).
Who would you rather have ROS: Cahill, Faria, or Castillo?
Working on The List now, I’ll have a concrete answer for you shortly. They are all super close right now.
Thanks Nick! Looking forward to reading The List tonight.
Yo Nick!! Are you extending Newcomb’s leash? I know we all knew that these past two starts were going to be rough, but now I’m looking at Homer Bale and Mike Montgomery out on the wire, and wondering…thanks man!
Monty is the only one getting decent matchups out of the gate, making him the guy I’d go for.