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Connelly Early

#71 - Starting Pitcher

Boston Red Sox

Bats / Throws Left / Left
Date of Birth 4/3/2002 (24)
Height, Weight 6'3", 195 lb
Hometown Midlothian, VA

2026 Season Stats

MLB Rank MLB Average
W-L IP ERA WHIP K% BB%
7-5 91.2 3.44 1.25 23.8% 8.7%
23rd 4
W
40th 67.0
IP
56th 4.41
ERA
77th 1.31
WHIP
72nd 21.6%
K%
115th 8.6%
BB%
FB MPH SwStr% CSW% Str-ICR MTK% PLV PLA
94.0 11.1% 28.4% 51.9% 3.5% 4.93 3.54
116th 94.3
FB MPH
108th 11.6%
SwStr%
68th 27.8%
CSW%
60th 50.1%
Str-ICR
35th 4.9%
MTK%
135th 4.98
PLV
130th 3.29
PLA
The List
Rank
41st

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Connelly Early Overview

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Year Team G GS IP W-L QS ERA WHIP xERA FIP xFIP PLA K% BB% H/9 HR/9 BABIP HR/FB% LOB% ICR% GB% SwStr% CSW% IPR% PLV
2025 BOS 4 4 19.1 1-2 0 2.33 1.09 1.48 0.88 2.55 2.80 36.7% 5.1% 7.9 0.00 .378 0.0% 72.7% 40.0% 46.7% 17.3% 30.7% 0.62 5.19
2026 BOS 17 17 91.2 7-5 7 3.44 1.25 3.83 4.61 4.19 3.54 23.8% 8.7% 8.0 1.47 .277 23.1% 86.4% 37.0% 44.8% 11.1% 28.4% 0.52 4.93
SP MLB Percentile 68 79 79 83-26 75 72 60 67 39 51 34 63 42 58 31 57 30 96 65 59 43 63 69 31
SP MLB AVG 14 12 67.0 4-4 4 4.41 1.31 4.36 4.32 4.23 3.29 21.6% 8.6% 8.5 1.24 .288 19.1% 72.4% 38.4% 42.9% 11.6% 27.8% 0.47 4.98
Career 21 21 111.0 8-7 7 3.24 1.23 3.42 3.96 3.90 3.41 26.0% 8.1% 7.9 1.22 .293 19.2% 84.0% 37.5% 45.1% 12.2% 28.8% 0.54 4.98

Connelly Early Repertoire

2025 2026 All
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Connelly Early Game Log

Connelly Early Standard

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team G GS IP W-L QS Sv Hld P Strikes Balls TBF H 1B 2B 3B HR K BB HB WP
2025 BOS 4 4 19.1 1-2 0 0 0 323 208 115 79 17 16 1 0 0 29 4 1 0
2026 BOS 17 17 91.2 7-5 7 0 0 1,528 981 548 390 81 54 12 0 15 93 34 9 4
SP MLB Percentile 68 79 79 83-26 75 0 0 85 83 14 81 27 23 46 60 10 85 12 2 8
SP MLB AVG 14 12 67.0 4-4 4 0 0 1,109 709 401 286 63 41 12 1 9 63 24 3 2
Career 21 21 111.0 8-7 7 0 0 1,851 1,189 663 469 98 70 13 0 15 122 38 10 4

Connelly Early Advanced

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Year Team K% BB% AVG SLG OPS wOBA BABIP BACON xAVG xwOBA xBABIP xwoBACON EV FB EV LA xERA
2025 BOS 36.7% 5.1% .230 .243 .521 .239 .378 .378 .166 .190 .273 .255 87.9 85.7 16.9 1.48
2026 BOS 23.8% 8.7% .235 .401 .720 .320 .277 .320 .214 .308 .250 .353 89.5 91.8 12.3 3.83
SP MLB Percentile 63 42 61 52 54 52 57 50 84 67 88 70 26 22 63 67
SP MLB AVG 21.6% 8.6% .246 .411 .729 .321 .288 .322 .245 .325 .285 .373 88.5 89.8 14.0 4.36
Career 26.0% 8.1% .234 .373 .685 .307 .293 .329 .206 .288 .253 .339 89.3 90.8 13.0 3.42

Connelly Early Pitch › Mix

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Year Team FF% (MPH) SI% (MPH) FC% (MPH) SL% (MPH) ST% (MPH) CB% (MPH) CH% (MPH) FS% (MPH) KN% (MPH) Fastball% Secondary%
2025 BOS 29.4% (94.0) 12.7% (93.0) - 12.1% (86.5) 5.3% (82.6) 21.1% (80.7) 19.5% (84.0) - - 42.1% 57.9%
2026 BOS 35.7% (94.0) 19.8% (92.4) - 7.7% (87.0) 7.4% (82.4) 11.2% (80.0) 18.2% (83.6) - - 55.5% 44.5%
SP MLB Percentile 55 (40) 56 (27) - 19 (63) 22 (53) 41 (46) 61 (17) - - 84.0% 15.0%
SP MLB AVG 33.4% (94.3) 20.2% (93.8) 16.4% (89.2) 18.2% (86.1) 16.2% (82.2) 14.6% (80.2) 16.9% (86.3) 17.9% (86.5) 27.6% (80.5) 46.7% 53.2%
Career 34.6% (94.0) 18.5% (92.5) - 8.5% (86.9) 7.0% (86.9) 13.0% (80.2) 18.4% (83.7) - - 53.1% 46.9%

Connelly Early Pitch › Results

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team FF CSW% SI CSW% FC CSW% SL CSW% ST CSW% CB CSW% CH CSW% FS CSW% KN CSW% Fastball CSW% Secondary CSW%
2025 BOS 30.5% (12) 39.0% (7) - 35.9% (6) 70.6% (9) 27.9% (13) 14.3% (9) - - 33.1% 28.9%
2026 BOS 28.8% (66) 31.4% (14) - 34.5% (14) 36.1% (22) 26.1% (14) 20.6% (33) - - 29.7% 27.0%
SP MLB Percentile 65 (85) 82 (67) - 85 (44) 88 (73) 29 (55) 30 (74) - - 79.5% 39.0%
SP MLB AVG 27.1% (36) 26.6% (12) 27.3% (16) 28.7% (25) 28.1% (19) 29.9% (18) 23.1% (24) 21.8% (30) 27.3% (11) 27.4% 28.0%
Career 29.1% (78) 32.3% (21) - 34.9% (20) 40.8% (31) 26.6% (27) 19.4% (42) - - 30.2% 27.4%

Connelly Early Batted Ball › Contact

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team GB% LD% FB% PU% SS% Pull% Cent% Oppo% Foul Str% PC% Fl&B% Solid% Brl% ICR%
2025 BOS 46.7% 15.6% 28.9% 8.9% 28.9% 53.3% 31.1% 15.6% 19.8% 60.0% 31.1% 4.4% 4.4% 40.0%
2026 BOS 44.8% 20.2% 25.8% 9.1% 34.5% 43.7% 37.4% 18.9% 19.2% 62.7% 21.0% 6.3% 9.9% 37.0%
SP MLB Percentile 59 71 69 42 65 64 85 8 71 63 85 45 20 65
SP MLB AVG 42.9% 22.3% 24.4% 10.4% 35.7% 42.1% 33.2% 24.7% 18.2% 61.4% 24.5% 6.3% 7.8% 38.4%
Career 45.1% 19.5% 26.3% 9.1% 33.7% 45.2% 36.5% 18.4% 19.3% 62.4% 22.6% 6.1% 9.1% 37.5%

Connelly Early Batted Ball › Outcomes

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team AVG wOBA BABIP BACON xAVG xwOBA xBABIP xwoBACON EV FB EV LA HR/FB ICR% IPA%
2025 BOS .230 .239 .378 .378 .166 .190 .273 .255 87.9 85.7 16.9 0.0% 40.0% 22.8%
2026 BOS .235 .320 .277 .320 .214 .308 .250 .353 89.5 91.8 12.3 23.1% 37.0% 24.1%
SP MLB Percentile 61 52 57 50 84 67 88 70 26 22 63 30 65 72
SP MLB AVG .246 .321 .288 .322 .245 .325 .285 .373 88.5 89.8 14.0 19.1% 38.4% 26.4%
Career .234 .307 .293 .329 .206 .288 .253 .339 89.3 90.8 13.0 19.2% 37.5% 23.9%

Connelly Early Approach › Plate Discipline

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Zone% Str% Swing% O-Sw% Whiff% Foul Str% Con% Z-Con% O-Con% CS% SwStr% CSW% BIP% PLUS% IPR% Str-ICR
2025 BOS 44.9% 64.4% 51.1% 37.1% 33.9% 19.8% 66.1% 75.8% 51.5% 13.3% 17.3% 30.7% 13.9% 59.1% 0.62 53.3%
2026 BOS 43.4% 64.2% 46.9% 32.8% 23.7% 19.2% 76.3% 86.6% 60.6% 17.3% 11.1% 28.4% 16.6% 58.9% 0.52 51.9%
SP MLB Percentile 26 60 38 65 47 71 47 38 44 72 43 63 27 66 69 70
SP MLB AVG 45.0% 63.7% 47.5% 31.6% 24.3% 18.2% 75.7% 85.1% 59.6% 16.2% 11.6% 27.8% 17.7% 58.0% 0.47 50.1%
Career 43.7% 64.2% 47.6% 33.6% 25.6% 19.3% 74.4% 84.6% 58.9% 16.6% 12.2% 28.8% 16.2% 58.9% 0.54 52.1%

Connelly Early Approach › Locations

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Zone% aLoc% x-mLoc% gLoc% hiLoc% y-mLoc% loLoc% iLoc% oLoc% mmLoc%
2025 BOS 44.9% 42.4% 23.8% 33.7% 25.4% 27.9% 46.7% 32.2% 44.0% 6.5%
2026 BOS 43.4% 39.7% 24.5% 35.8% 34.9% 24.7% 40.4% 33.2% 42.2% 6.9%
SP MLB Percentile 26 76 90 42 45 21 41 85 37 60
SP MLB AVG 45.0% 35.6% 27.5% 36.9% 35.5% 22.8% 41.7% 29.0% 43.4% 6.6%
Career 43.7% 40.1% 24.4% 35.4% 33.3% 25.2% 41.5% 33.1% 42.5% 6.9%

Connelly Early Approach › Counts

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Year Team Early% Behind% 2-Str% Early BIP% F-Str% TF-Str% ECS% 2-Str O-Sw% PAR%
2025 BOS 59.4% 10.8% 29.7% 9.9% 59.5% 50.6% 15.6% 40.6% 30.2%
2026 BOS 58.0% 11.8% 30.2% 15.0% 61.0% 51.0% 22.5% 30.3% 20.1%
SP MLB Percentile 35 50 64 48 47 65 72 86 62
SP MLB AVG 58.7% 12.0% 29.4% 15.1% 61.1% 49.6% 20.8% 26.8% 18.9%
Career 58.3% 11.7% 30.1% 14.1% 60.8% 51.0% 21.3% 32.1% 21.9%

Connelly Early PLV

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team P PLV QP% AP% BP% Q-BP% MTK% HP HL PLA
2025 BOS 323 5.19 51.4% 18.3% 30.3% 21.1% 2.2% -1.9 +1 2.80
2026 BOS 1,528 4.93 46.1% 18.2% 35.7% 10.4% 3.5% 3.8 -1 3.54
SP MLB Percentile 85 31 50 58 55 55 81 50 61 34
SP MLB AVG 1,109 4.98 46.2% 17.7% 36.0% 10.2% 4.9% 3.6 +1 3.29
Career 1,851 4.98 47.0% 18.2% 34.8% 12.3% 3.3% 1.9 +0 3.41
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