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Connelly Early

#71 - Starting Pitcher

Boston Red Sox

Bats / Throws Left / Left
Date of Birth 4/3/2002 (24)
Height, Weight 6'3", 195 lb
Hometown Midlothian, VA

2026 Season Stats

MLB Rank MLB Average
W-L IP ERA WHIP K% BB%
5-4 71.0 3.30 1.23 23.0% 9.0%
27th 3
W
47th 52.0
IP
55th 4.42
ERA
78th 1.32
WHIP
81st 21.5%
K%
117th 9.0%
BB%
FB MPH SwStr% CSW% Str-ICR MTK% PLV PLA
93.9 10.8% 28.2% 51.5% 3.8% 4.93 3.55
121st 94.4
FB MPH
114th 11.5%
SwStr%
82nd 27.7%
CSW%
56th 49.7%
Str-ICR
53rd 4.8%
MTK%
133rd 4.98
PLV
130th 3.34
PLA
The List
Rank
33rd

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Connelly Early Overview

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team G GS IP W-L QS ERA WHIP xERA FIP xFIP PLA K% BB% H/9 HR/9 BABIP HR/FB% LOB% ICR GB% SwStr% CSW% IPR PLV
2025 BOS 4 4 19.1 1-2 0 2.33 1.09 1.48 0.88 2.55 2.80 36.7% 5.1% 7.9 0.00 .378 0.0% 72.7% 40.0% 46.7% 17.3% 30.7% 0.62 5.19
2026 BOS 13 13 71.0 5-4 5 3.30 1.23 3.85 4.76 4.35 3.55 23.0% 9.0% 7.6 1.52 .259 21.8% 87.9% 37.9% 41.6% 10.8% 28.2% 0.51 4.93
SP MLB Percentile 58 68 76 76-22 69 73 60 69 37 43 34 59 40 63 29 70 33 96 58 44 40 57 68 31
SP MLB AVG 10 9 52.0 3-3 3 4.42 1.32 4.40 4.38 4.26 3.34 21.5% 9.0% 8.4 1.23 .287 18.9% 72.5% 38.8% 43.1% 11.5% 27.7% 0.47 4.98
Career 17 17 90.1 6-6 5 3.09 1.20 3.34 3.93 3.97 3.39 25.9% 8.2% 7.7 1.20 .283 17.6% 84.5% 38.3% 42.6% 12.2% 28.7% 0.54 4.98

Connelly Early Repertoire

2025 2026 All
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Connelly Early Game Log

Connelly Early Standard

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team G GS IP W-L QS Sv Hld P Strikes Balls TBF H 1B 2B 3B HR K BB HB WP
2025 BOS 4 4 19.1 1-2 0 0 0 323 208 115 79 17 16 1 0 0 29 4 1 0
2026 BOS 13 13 71.0 5-4 5 0 0 1,180 758 422 300 60 39 9 0 12 69 27 6 4
SP MLB Percentile 58 68 76 76-22 69 0 0 80 81 21 79 38 33 50 52 11 80 13 4 3
SP MLB AVG 10 9 52.0 3-3 3 0 0 872 555 317 225 49 32 10 1 7 49 19 2 1
Career 17 17 90.1 6-6 5 0 0 1,503 966 537 379 77 55 10 0 12 98 31 7 4

Connelly Early Advanced

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team K% BB% AVG SLG OPS wOBA BABIP BACON xAVG xwOBA xBABIP xwoBACON EV FB EV LA xERA
2025 BOS 36.7% 5.1% .230 .243 .521 .239 .378 .378 .166 .190 .273 .255 87.9 85.7 16.9 1.48
2026 BOS 23.0% 9.0% .227 .398 .709 .316 .259 .305 .212 .311 .240 .353 89.6 92.2 13.0 3.85
SP MLB Percentile 59 40 64 51 55 55 70 62 83 69 91 70 25 20 56 69
SP MLB AVG 21.5% 9.0% .246 .410 .730 .323 .287 .321 .246 .329 .285 .377 88.6 90.1 13.9 4.40
Career 25.9% 8.2% .228 .364 .668 .301 .283 .318 .202 .286 .247 .335 89.3 91.0 13.8 3.34

Connelly Early Pitch › Mix

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Year Team FF% (MPH) SI% (MPH) FC% (MPH) SL% (MPH) ST% (MPH) CB% (MPH) CH% (MPH) FS% (MPH) KN% (MPH) Fastball% Secondary%
2025 BOS 29.4% (94.0) 12.7% (93.0) - 12.1% (86.5) 5.3% (82.6) 21.1% (80.7) 19.5% (84.0) - - 42.1% 57.9%
2026 BOS 35.7% (93.9) 19.9% (92.3) - 7.1% (86.9) 5.9% (82.2) 11.3% (80.0) 20.1% (83.6) - - 55.6% 44.4%
SP MLB Percentile 57 (38) 61 (27) - 17 (60) 8 (46) 44 (46) 68 (16) - - 84.0% 15.0%
SP MLB AVG 33.7% (94.4) 20.0% (93.7) 16.5% (89.2) 18.1% (86.1) 16.4% (82.5) 14.4% (80.1) 16.7% (86.3) 18.1% (86.6) 27.6% (80.5) 46.9% 53.1%
Career 34.3% (93.9) 18.4% (92.4) - 8.2% (86.7) 5.8% (86.7) 13.4% (80.3) 20.0% (83.7) - - 52.7% 47.3%

Connelly Early Pitch › Results

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team FF CSW% SI CSW% FC CSW% SL CSW% ST CSW% CB CSW% CH CSW% FS CSW% KN CSW% Fastball CSW% Secondary CSW%
2025 BOS 30.5% (12) 39.0% (7) - 35.9% (6) 70.6% (9) 27.9% (13) 14.3% (9) - - 33.1% 28.9%
2026 BOS 28.3% (54) 33.2% (13) - 33.3% (9) 38.6% (14) 24.1% (10) 20.7% (28) - - 30.0% 26.0%
SP MLB Percentile 62 (88) 90 (72) - 73 (30) 94 (53) 21 (48) 28 (73) - - 81.0% 30.5%
SP MLB AVG 27.1% (28) 26.6% (9) 26.7% (13) 29.4% (20) 28.4% (16) 29.6% (15) 23.4% (19) 21.8% (25) 27.3% (11) 27.3% 27.9%
Career 28.7% (66) 34.1% (20) - 34.1% (15) 44.8% (23) 25.4% (23) 19.3% (37) - - 30.6% 26.7%

Connelly Early Batted Ball › Contact

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team GB% LD% FB% PU% SS% Pull% Cent% Oppo% Foul Str% PC% Fl&B% Solid% Brl% ICR
2025 BOS 46.7% 15.6% 28.9% 8.9% 28.9% 53.3% 31.1% 15.6% 19.8% 60.0% 31.1% 4.4% 4.4% 40.0%
2026 BOS 41.6% 22.3% 27.9% 8.1% 37.1% 43.9% 36.9% 19.2% 19.2% 62.0% 19.3% 8.1% 10.7% 37.9%
SP MLB Percentile 44 46 83 30 36 61 80 13 73 58 92 21 14 58
SP MLB AVG 43.1% 22.2% 24.4% 10.3% 35.7% 42.5% 33.0% 24.5% 18.1% 61.0% 24.5% 6.4% 8.2% 38.8%
Career 42.6% 21.1% 28.1% 8.3% 35.5% 45.7% 35.8% 18.5% 19.4% 61.6% 21.5% 7.4% 9.5% 38.3%

Connelly Early Batted Ball › Outcomes

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team AVG wOBA BABIP BACON xAVG xwOBA xBABIP xwoBACON EV FB EV LA HR/FB ICR IPA%
2025 BOS .230 .239 .378 .378 .166 .190 .273 .255 87.9 85.7 16.9 0.0% 40.0% 22.8%
2026 BOS .227 .316 .259 .305 .212 .311 .240 .353 89.6 92.2 13.0 21.8% 37.9% 25.0%
SP MLB Percentile 64 55 70 62 83 69 91 70 25 20 56 33 58 60
SP MLB AVG .246 .323 .287 .321 .246 .329 .285 .377 88.6 90.1 13.9 18.9% 38.8% 26.6%
Career .228 .301 .283 .318 .202 .286 .247 .335 89.3 91.0 13.8 17.6% 38.3% 24.5%

Connelly Early Approach › Plate Discipline

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Zone% Str% Swing% O-Sw% Whiff% Foul Str% Con% Z-Con% O-Con% CS% SwStr% CSW% BIP% PLUS% IPR Str-ICR
2025 BOS 44.9% 64.4% 51.1% 37.1% 33.9% 19.8% 66.1% 75.8% 51.5% 13.3% 17.3% 30.7% 13.9% 59.1% 0.62 53.3%
2026 BOS 43.0% 64.2% 46.9% 34.0% 23.1% 19.2% 76.9% 86.1% 63.8% 17.4% 10.8% 28.2% 16.8% 59.2% 0.51 51.5%
SP MLB Percentile 23 59 43 77 42 73 42 44 29 71 40 57 38 69 68 71
SP MLB AVG 44.9% 63.4% 47.2% 31.4% 24.3% 18.1% 75.7% 85.0% 59.8% 16.2% 11.5% 27.7% 17.7% 57.8% 0.47 49.7%
Career 43.4% 64.3% 47.8% 34.7% 25.6% 19.4% 74.4% 83.7% 61.0% 16.5% 12.2% 28.7% 16.2% 59.1% 0.54 51.9%

Connelly Early Approach › Locations

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Zone% aLoc% x-mLoc% gLoc% hiLoc% y-mLoc% loLoc% iLoc% oLoc% mmLoc%
2025 BOS 44.9% 42.4% 23.8% 33.7% 25.4% 27.9% 46.7% 32.2% 44.0% 6.5%
2026 BOS 43.0% 40.5% 24.5% 35.0% 35.3% 24.7% 40.0% 33.5% 42.0% 7.0%
SP MLB Percentile 23 82 90 43 49 19 38 83 40 66
SP MLB AVG 44.9% 35.7% 27.5% 36.8% 35.7% 22.6% 41.8% 29.2% 43.2% 6.6%
Career 43.4% 40.9% 24.4% 34.7% 33.2% 25.3% 41.5% 33.2% 42.4% 6.9%

Connelly Early Approach › Counts

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Early% Behind% 2-Str% Early BIP% F-Str% TF-Str% ECS% 2-Str O-Sw% PAR%
2025 BOS 59.4% 10.8% 29.7% 9.9% 59.5% 50.6% 15.6% 40.6% 30.2%
2026 BOS 58.1% 11.8% 30.3% 15.2% 61.3% 52.0% 22.6% 31.7% 19.3%
SP MLB Percentile 37 55 68 49 49 73 76 90 52
SP MLB AVG 58.7% 12.2% 29.3% 15.0% 60.9% 49.4% 20.8% 26.7% 18.8%
Career 58.3% 11.6% 30.1% 14.0% 60.9% 51.7% 21.1% 33.6% 21.6%

Connelly Early PLV

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team P PLV QP% AP% BP% Q-BP% MTK% HP HL PLA
2025 BOS 323 5.19 51.4% 18.3% 30.3% 21.1% 2.2% -1.9 +1 2.80
2026 BOS 1,180 4.93 46.8% 17.5% 35.7% 11.1% 3.8% 1.1 -4 3.55
SP MLB Percentile 80 31 53 50 56 56 71 57 75 34
SP MLB AVG 872 4.98 46.4% 17.4% 36.2% 10.2% 4.8% 2.8 +1 3.34
Career 1,503 4.98 47.8% 17.7% 34.5% 13.2% 3.5% -0.7 -3 3.39
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