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Connelly Early

#71 - Starting Pitcher

Boston Red Sox

Bats / Throws Left / Left
Date of Birth 4/3/2002 (24)
Height, Weight 6'3", 195 lb
Hometown Midlothian, VA

2026 Season Stats

MLB Rank MLB Average
W-L IP ERA WHIP K% BB%
4-2 54.0 3.33 1.19 22.1% 8.4%
26th 2
W
49th 39.0
IP
60th 4.70
ERA
70th 1.37
WHIP
90th 21.3%
K%
93rd 9.5%
BB%
FB MPH SwStr% CSW% Str-ICR MTK% PLV PLA
93.8 10.0% 28.7% 52.2% 3.6% 4.93 3.49
119th 94.2
FB MPH
140th 11.4%
SwStr%
66th 27.6%
CSW%
47th 49.6%
Str-ICR
46th 4.7%
MTK%
127th 4.97
PLV
120th 3.33
PLA
The List
Rank
40th

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Connelly Early Overview

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Year Team G GS IP W-L QS ERA WHIP xERA FIP xFIP PLA K% BB% H/9 HR/9 BABIP HR/FB% LOB% ICR GB% SwStr% CSW% IPR PLV
2025 BOS 4 4 19.1 1-2 0 2.33 1.09 1.48 0.88 2.55 2.80 36.7% 5.1% 7.9 0.00 .378 0.0% 72.7% 40.0% 46.7% 17.3% 30.7% 0.62 5.19
2026 BOS 10 10 54.0 4-2 4 3.33 1.19 3.71 4.76 4.40 3.49 22.1% 8.4% 7.5 1.50 .252 20.9% 86.9% 36.2% 41.1% 10.0% 28.7% 0.52 4.93
SP MLB Percentile 58 68 75 76-43 72 70 63 66 37 43 39 54 51 60 29 69 38 92 71 39 29 64 73 34
SP MLB AVG 8 7 39.0 2-2 2 4.70 1.37 4.51 4.50 4.30 3.33 21.3% 9.5% 8.5 1.24 .286 19.0% 71.9% 38.7% 43.7% 11.4% 27.6% 0.47 4.97
Career 14 14 73.1 5-4 4 3.07 1.16 3.12 3.75 3.91 3.31 25.9% 7.5% 7.6 1.10 .282 16.1% 82.9% 37.1% 42.3% 11.9% 29.2% 0.55 5.00

Connelly Early Repertoire

2025 2026 All
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Connelly Early Game Log

Connelly Early Standard

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Year Team G GS IP W-L QS Sv Hld P Strikes Balls TBF H 1B 2B 3B HR K BB HB WP
2025 BOS 4 4 19.1 1-2 0 0 0 323 208 115 79 17 16 1 0 0 29 4 1 0
2026 BOS 10 10 54.0 4-2 4 0 0 891 575 316 226 45 29 7 0 9 50 19 5 3
SP MLB Percentile 58 68 75 76-43 72 0 0 80 83 21 76 32 35 45 42 9 73 22 2 4
SP MLB AVG 8 7 39.0 2-2 2 0 0 653 415 238 168 36 24 7 1 5 37 15 2 1
Career 14 14 73.1 5-4 4 0 0 1,214 783 431 305 62 45 8 0 9 79 23 6 3

Connelly Early Advanced

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Year Team K% BB% AVG SLG OPS wOBA BABIP BACON xAVG xwOBA xBABIP xwoBACON EV FB EV LA xERA
2025 BOS 36.7% 5.1% .230 .243 .521 .239 .378 .378 .166 .190 .273 .255 87.9 85.7 16.9 1.48
2026 BOS 22.1% 8.4% .224 .393 .698 .314 .252 .296 .204 .308 .223 .346 90.0 93.3 13.9 3.71
SP MLB Percentile 54 51 61 50 56 54 69 64 85 66 94 70 24 15 46 66
SP MLB AVG 21.3% 9.5% .244 .405 .727 .324 .286 .318 .246 .332 .285 .377 88.6 90.3 13.7 4.51
Career 25.9% 7.5% .225 .353 .651 .296 .282 .315 .194 .278 .235 .326 89.5 91.5 14.6 3.12

Connelly Early Pitch › Mix

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Year Team FF% (MPH) SI% (MPH) FC% (MPH) SL% (MPH) ST% (MPH) CB% (MPH) CH% (MPH) FS% (MPH) KN% (MPH) Fastball% Secondary%
2025 BOS 29.4% (94.0) 12.7% (93.0) - 12.1% (86.5) 5.3% (82.6) 21.1% (80.7) 19.5% (84.0) - - 42.1% 57.9%
2026 BOS 32.9% (93.8) 19.8% (92.2) - 7.1% (86.8) 6.4% (82.2) 12.5% (79.8) 21.4% (83.5) - - 52.6% 47.4%
SP MLB Percentile 50 (38) 56 (27) - 14 (58) 8 (48) 50 (46) 73 (17) - - 75.7% 23.8%
SP MLB AVG 33.2% (94.2) 20.5% (93.6) 17.1% (89.2) 18.7% (86.2) 16.0% (82.3) 14.6% (80.0) 16.9% (86.3) 20.5% (86.4) 27.6% (80.5) 46.7% 53.2%
Career 32.0% (93.9) 17.9% (92.3) - 8.4% (86.7) 6.1% (86.7) 14.7% (80.1) 20.9% (83.6) - - 49.8% 50.2%

Connelly Early Pitch › Results

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team FF CSW% SI CSW% FC CSW% SL CSW% ST CSW% CB CSW% CH CSW% FS CSW% KN CSW% Fastball CSW% Secondary CSW%
2025 BOS 30.5% (12) 39.0% (7) - 35.9% (6) 70.6% (9) 27.9% (13) 14.3% (9) - - 33.1% 28.9%
2026 BOS 28.0% (37) 36.4% (6) - 36.5% (6) 35.1% (10) 26.1% (8) 19.9% (22) - - 31.1% 26.1%
SP MLB Percentile 57 (84) 95 (53) - 83 (25) 85 (50) 30 (50) 26 (73) - - 85.6% 34.2%
SP MLB AVG 27.0% (21) 26.7% (7) 26.6% (11) 29.5% (17) 28.0% (13) 29.4% (12) 23.4% (16) 23.3% (22) 27.3% (11) 27.3% 27.7%
Career 28.6% (49) 36.9% (13) - 36.3% (12) 43.2% (19) 26.8% (21) 18.5% (31) - - 31.6% 26.9%

Connelly Early Batted Ball › Contact

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team GB% LD% FB% PU% SS% Pull% Cent% Oppo% Foul Str% PC% Fl&B% Solid% Brl% ICR
2025 BOS 46.7% 15.6% 28.9% 8.9% 28.9% 53.3% 31.1% 15.6% 19.8% 60.0% 31.1% 4.4% 4.4% 40.0%
2026 BOS 41.1% 21.9% 28.5% 8.6% 36.4% 46.1% 35.5% 18.4% 18.7% 63.6% 17.2% 6.6% 12.6% 36.2%
SP MLB Percentile 39 48 82 39 44 73 73 10 61 70 94 41 9 71
SP MLB AVG 43.7% 22.1% 23.8% 10.5% 35.3% 42.8% 32.5% 24.8% 18.1% 61.1% 24.4% 6.2% 8.4% 38.7%
Career 42.3% 20.4% 28.6% 8.7% 34.7% 47.7% 34.5% 17.8% 19.0% 62.8% 20.4% 6.1% 10.7% 37.1%

Connelly Early Batted Ball › Outcomes

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team AVG wOBA BABIP BACON xAVG xwOBA xBABIP xwoBACON EV FB EV LA HR/FB ICR IPA%
2025 BOS .230 .239 .378 .378 .166 .190 .273 .255 87.9 85.7 16.9 0.0% 40.0% 22.8%
2026 BOS .224 .314 .252 .296 .204 .308 .223 .346 90.0 93.3 13.9 20.9% 36.2% 24.3%
SP MLB Percentile 61 54 69 64 85 66 94 70 24 15 46 38 71 69
SP MLB AVG .244 .324 .286 .318 .246 .332 .285 .377 88.6 90.3 13.7 19.0% 38.7% 26.4%
Career .225 .296 .282 .315 .194 .278 .235 .326 89.5 91.5 14.6 16.1% 37.1% 23.9%

Connelly Early Approach › Plate Discipline

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Zone% Str% Swing% O-Sw% Whiff% Foul Str% Con% Z-Con% O-Con% CS% SwStr% CSW% BIP% PLUS% IPR Str-ICR
2025 BOS 44.9% 64.4% 51.1% 37.1% 33.9% 19.8% 66.1% 75.8% 51.5% 13.3% 17.3% 30.7% 13.9% 59.1% 0.62 53.3%
2026 BOS 43.7% 64.5% 45.8% 33.7% 21.8% 18.7% 78.2% 89.1% 62.7% 18.7% 10.0% 28.7% 17.1% 59.5% 0.52 52.2%
SP MLB Percentile 33 66 33 71 32 61 32 19 35 88 29 64 42 71 73 77
SP MLB AVG 44.7% 63.2% 47.0% 31.3% 24.2% 18.1% 75.8% 85.1% 59.9% 16.2% 11.4% 27.6% 17.5% 57.7% 0.47 49.6%
Career 44.0% 64.5% 47.2% 34.6% 25.3% 19.0% 74.7% 85.2% 59.6% 17.3% 11.9% 29.2% 16.2% 59.4% 0.55 52.5%

Connelly Early Approach › Locations

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Zone% aLoc% x-mLoc% gLoc% hiLoc% y-mLoc% loLoc% iLoc% oLoc% mmLoc%
2025 BOS 44.9% 42.4% 23.8% 33.7% 25.4% 27.9% 46.7% 32.2% 44.0% 6.5%
2026 BOS 43.7% 41.4% 23.9% 34.7% 34.5% 24.8% 40.7% 32.4% 43.7% 7.0%
SP MLB Percentile 33 82 88 36 47 21 39 75 58 63
SP MLB AVG 44.7% 35.5% 27.5% 37.1% 35.3% 22.7% 42.0% 29.5% 43.1% 6.6%
Career 44.0% 41.7% 23.9% 34.4% 32.0% 25.6% 42.3% 32.4% 43.7% 6.8%

Connelly Early Approach › Counts

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Year Team Early% Behind% 2-Str% Early BIP% F-Str% TF-Str% ECS% 2-Str O-Sw% PAR%
2025 BOS 59.4% 10.8% 29.7% 9.9% 59.5% 50.6% 15.6% 40.6% 30.2%
2026 BOS 58.5% 11.1% 30.5% 15.4% 62.8% 54.9% 25.3% 30.1% 18.4%
SP MLB Percentile 49 68 66 55 61 84 93 83 47
SP MLB AVG 58.5% 12.3% 29.3% 15.0% 60.9% 49.6% 20.9% 26.6% 18.7%
Career 58.7% 11.0% 30.3% 13.9% 62.0% 53.8% 22.7% 32.9% 21.5%

Connelly Early PLV

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team P PLV QP% AP% BP% Q-BP% MTK% HP HL PLA
2025 BOS 323 5.19 51.4% 18.3% 30.3% 21.1% 2.2% -1.9 +1 2.80
2026 BOS 891 4.93 47.6% 18.1% 34.3% 13.2% 3.6% 0.3 -4 3.49
SP MLB Percentile 80 34 63 60 70 70 75 60 77 39
SP MLB AVG 653 4.97 46.4% 17.3% 36.2% 10.2% 4.7% 1.9 +0 3.33
Career 1,214 5.00 48.6% 18.1% 33.3% 15.3% 3.2% -1.6 -3 3.31
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