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Connelly Early

#19 - Starting Pitcher

Washington Nationals

Bats / Throws Left / Left
Date of Birth 4/3/2002 (24)
Height, Weight 6'3", 195 lb
Hometown Midlothian, VA

2026 Season Stats

MLB Rank MLB Average
W-L IP ERA WHIP K% BB%
7-5 91.2 3.44 1.25 23.8% 8.7%
67th 6
W
121st 101.0
IP
51st 4.33
ERA
82nd 1.30
WHIP
65th 21.6%
K%
118th 8.5%
BB%
FB MPH SwStr% CSW% Str-ICR MTK% PLV PLA
94.0 11.1% 28.4% 51.9% 3.4% 4.93 3.54
111th 94.3
FB MPH
108th 11.6%
SwStr%
63rd 27.7%
CSW%
54th 50.1%
Str-ICR
26th 4.9%
MTK%
130th 4.97
PLV
136th 3.27
PLA

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Connelly Early Overview

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Year Team G GS IP W-L QS ERA WHIP xERA FIP xFIP PLA K% BB% H/9 HR/9 BABIP HR/FB% LOB% ICR% GB% SwStr% CSW% IPR% PLV
2025 BOS 4 4 19.1 1-2 0 2.33 1.09 1.48 0.88 2.55 2.80 36.7% 5.1% 7.9 0.00 .378 0.0% 72.7% 40.0% 46.7% 17.3% 30.7% 0.62 5.19
2026 BOS 17 17 91.2 7-5 7 3.44 1.25 3.84 4.60 4.17 3.54 23.8% 8.7% 8.0 1.47 .277 23.1% 86.4% 37.0% 44.8% 11.1% 28.4% 0.52 4.93
SP MLB Percentile 28 43 39 58-57 60 74 57 65 36 55 32 67 41 60 27 60 21 98 68 64 45 65 72 31
SP MLB AVG 20 18 101.0 6-6 6 4.33 1.30 4.37 4.28 4.21 3.27 21.6% 8.5% 8.5 1.25 .287 19.0% 72.8% 38.5% 42.9% 11.6% 27.7% 0.47 4.97
Career 21 21 111.0 8-7 7 3.24 1.23 3.43 3.95 3.89 3.41 26.0% 8.1% 7.9 1.22 .293 19.2% 84.0% 37.5% 45.1% 12.2% 28.8% 0.54 4.98

Connelly Early Repertoire

2025 2026 All
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Connelly Early Game Log

Connelly Early Standard

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team G GS IP W-L QS Sv Hld P Strikes Balls TBF H 1B 2B 3B HR K BB HB WP
2025 BOS 4 4 19.1 1-2 0 0 0 323 208 115 79 17 16 1 0 0 29 4 1 0
2026 BOS 17 17 91.2 7-5 7 0 0 1,528 981 548 390 81 54 12 0 15 93 34 9 4
SP MLB Percentile 28 43 39 58-57 60 0 0 40 41 59 39 64 59 71 74 33 52 49 6 17
SP MLB AVG 20 18 101.0 6-6 6 0 0 1,650 1,056 594 426 93 60 18 1 13 93 35 4 3
Career 21 21 111.0 8-7 7 0 0 1,851 1,189 663 469 98 70 13 0 15 122 38 10 4

Connelly Early Advanced

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team K% BB% AVG SLG OPS wOBA BABIP BACON xAVG xwOBA xBABIP xwoBACON EV FB EV LA xERA
2025 BOS 36.7% 5.1% .230 .243 .521 .239 .378 .378 .166 .190 .273 .255 87.9 85.7 16.9 1.48
2026 BOS 23.8% 8.7% .235 .401 .720 .319 .277 .320 .214 .308 .250 .352 89.5 91.8 12.3 3.84
SP MLB Percentile 67 41 63 55 53 53 60 50 87 65 92 74 23 18 66 65
SP MLB AVG 21.6% 8.5% .246 .410 .726 .319 .287 .321 .246 .324 .285 .374 88.5 89.9 14.0 4.37
Career 26.0% 8.1% .234 .373 .685 .306 .293 .329 .206 .288 .253 .338 89.3 90.8 13.0 3.43

Connelly Early Pitch › Mix

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Year Team FF% (MPH) SI% (MPH) FC% (MPH) SL% (MPH) ST% (MPH) CB% (MPH) CH% (MPH) FS% (MPH) KN% (MPH) Fastball% Secondary%
2025 BOS29.4% (94.0)12.7% (93.0)-12.1% (86.5)5.3% (82.6)21.1% (80.7)19.5% (84.0)-- 42.1% 57.9%
2026 BOS35.1% (94.0)19.9% (92.4)-8.1% (87.1)7.9% (82.5)10.9% (80.0)18.3% (83.7)-- 55.0% 45.0%
SP MLB Percentile 55 (42) 56 (26) - 22 (65) 22 (54) 43 (48) 59 (19) - - 84.0% 15.5%
SP MLB AVG 33.8% (94.3) 19.6% (93.8) 16.6% (89.3) 17.3% (86.1) 16.6% (82.2) 13.8% (80.0) 16.7% (86.1) 17.3% (86.4) 29.6% (80.7) 46.6% 53.3%
Career34.1% (94.0)18.6% (92.5)-8.8% (86.9)7.4% (82.5)12.6% (80.2)18.5% (83.7)-- 52.7% 47.3%

Connelly Early Pitch › Results

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team FF CSW% SI CSW% FC CSW% SL CSW% ST CSW% CB CSW% CH CSW% FS CSW% KN CSW% Fastball CSW% Secondary CSW%
2025 BOS30.5% (12)39.0% (7)-35.9% (6)70.6% (9)27.9% (13)14.3% (9)-- 33.1% 28.9%
2026 BOS28.7% (66)30.9% (14)-35.0% (16)35.0% (25)26.5% (15)20.4% (34)-- 29.5% 27.0%
SP MLB Percentile 67 (74) 85 (54) - 87 (39) 86 (59) 27 (47) 28 (60) - - 80.5% 38.5%
SP MLB AVG 27.1% (53) 26.7% (17) 27.1% (23) 28.0% (35) 27.7% (26) 29.5% (25) 23.3% (35) 22.2% (42) 24.7% (16) 27.2% 28.0%
Career29.0% (78)31.9% (21)-35.2% (22)39.4% (34)26.9% (28)19.3% (43)-- 30.0% 27.4%

Connelly Early Batted Ball › Contact

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team GB% LD% FB% PU% SS% Pull% Cent% Oppo% Foul Str% PC% Fl&B% Solid% Brl% ICR%
2025 BOS 46.7% 15.6% 28.9% 8.9% 28.9% 53.3% 31.1% 15.6% 19.8% 60.0% 31.1% 4.4% 4.4% 40.0%
2026 BOS 44.8% 20.2% 25.8% 9.1% 34.5% 43.7% 37.4% 18.9% 19.2% 62.7% 21.0% 6.3% 9.9% 37.0%
SP MLB Percentile 64 72 67 39 64 63 88 6 71 68 90 44 11 68
SP MLB AVG 42.9% 22.2% 24.7% 10.3% 35.8% 42.4% 33.2% 24.4% 18.3% 61.3% 24.8% 6.2% 7.6% 38.5%
Career 45.1% 19.5% 26.3% 9.1% 33.7% 45.2% 36.5% 18.4% 19.3% 62.4% 22.6% 6.1% 9.1% 37.5%

Connelly Early Batted Ball › Outcomes

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team AVG wOBA BABIP BACON xAVG xwOBA xBABIP xwoBACON EV FB EV LA HR/FB ICR% IPA%
2025 BOS .230 .239 .378 .378 .166 .190 .273 .255 87.9 85.7 16.9 0.0% 40.0% 22.8%
2026 BOS .235 .319 .277 .320 .214 .308 .250 .352 89.5 91.8 12.3 23.1% 37.0% 24.1%
SP MLB Percentile 63 53 60 50 87 65 92 74 23 18 66 21 68 74
SP MLB AVG .246 .319 .287 .321 .246 .324 .285 .374 88.5 89.9 14.0 19.0% 38.5% 26.5%
Career .234 .306 .293 .329 .206 .288 .253 .338 89.3 90.8 13.0 19.2% 37.5% 23.9%

Connelly Early Approach › Plate Discipline

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Zone% Str% Swing% O-Sw% Whiff% Foul Str% Con% Z-Con% O-Con% CS% SwStr% CSW% BIP% PLUS% IPR% Str-ICR
2025 BOS 44.9% 64.4% 51.1% 37.1% 33.9% 19.8% 66.1% 75.8% 51.5% 13.3% 17.3% 30.7% 13.9% 59.1% 0.62 53.3%
2026 BOS 43.4% 64.2% 46.9% 32.8% 23.7% 19.2% 76.3% 86.6% 60.6% 17.3% 11.1% 28.4% 16.6% 58.9% 0.52 51.9%
SP MLB Percentile 27 58 39 64 46 71 46 39 44 75 45 65 27 66 72 73
SP MLB AVG 44.8% 63.8% 47.7% 31.7% 24.3% 18.3% 75.7% 85.2% 59.4% 16.1% 11.6% 27.7% 17.8% 58.1% 0.47 50.1%
Career 43.7% 64.2% 47.6% 33.6% 25.6% 19.3% 74.4% 84.6% 58.9% 16.6% 12.2% 28.8% 16.2% 58.9% 0.54 52.1%

Connelly Early Approach › Locations

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Zone% aLoc% x-mLoc% gLoc% hiLoc% y-mLoc% loLoc% iLoc% oLoc% mmLoc%
2025 BOS 44.9% 42.4% 23.8% 33.7% 25.4% 27.9% 46.7% 32.2% 44.0% 6.5%
2026 BOS 43.4% 39.7% 24.5% 35.8% 34.9% 24.7% 40.4% 33.2% 42.2% 6.9%
SP MLB Percentile 27 74 87 46 45 16 41 86 36 62
SP MLB AVG 44.8% 36.1% 27.4% 36.5% 35.3% 22.8% 41.9% 28.9% 43.7% 6.6%
Career 43.7% 40.1% 24.4% 35.4% 33.3% 25.2% 41.5% 33.1% 42.5% 6.9%

Connelly Early Approach › Counts

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Year Team Early% Behind% 2-Str% Early BIP% F-Str% TF-Str% ECS% 2-Str O-Sw% PAR%
2025 BOS 59.4% 10.8% 29.7% 9.9% 59.5% 50.6% 15.6% 40.6% 30.2%
2026 BOS 58.0% 11.8% 30.2% 15.0% 61.0% 51.0% 22.5% 30.3% 20.1%
SP MLB Percentile 33 49 64 46 46 64 77 89 66
SP MLB AVG 58.7% 11.9% 29.5% 15.2% 61.4% 49.7% 20.8% 26.8% 18.8%
Career 58.3% 11.7% 30.1% 14.1% 60.8% 51.0% 21.3% 32.1% 21.9%

Connelly Early PLV

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team P PLV QP% AP% BP% Q-BP% MTK% HP HL PLA
2025 BOS 323 5.19 51.4% 18.3% 30.3% 21.1% 2.2% -1.9 +1 2.80
2026 BOS 1,528 4.93 46.2% 18.1% 35.7% 10.5% 3.4% 3.8 -1 3.54
SP MLB Percentile 40 31 55 53 58 58 85 55 60 32
SP MLB AVG 1,650 4.97 45.9% 17.9% 36.2% 9.7% 4.9% 4.9 +1 3.27
Career 1,851 4.98 47.1% 18.1% 34.8% 12.3% 3.2% 1.9 +0 3.41
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