With two months of baseball already in the books, it's getting close to the time when managers begin looking ahead to their fantasy playoffs in August and September. With so many young pitchers dominating the SP scene, it's important to know who will still be around to provide value when you need it most.
Through the help of Pitcher List's statistics wizard Patrick Barnhart, we've compiled a list of young starters and projected when they would be shutdown this season. How it works is simple: We took the total innings across the minors + majors + playoffs from last season, added a 20% boost to project a 2017 limit, then calculated how many innings they have left to throw this season. By calculating their expected Innings Per Start (based on their historical data), we can determine a rough date for when they would hit their innings limit. In the chart below you'll see that list, followed by an overview of each pitcher involved, providing any insight and info from the organization about a possible innings limit.
There are a few things to note before we get started:
Thank you! very helpful.
Nice work!
Could you please take a look at James Paxton?
Sorry for the delay!
I didn’t add Paxton for two reasons: 1) Last season, they said he was “all set” to pitch without restriction and 2) He already missed a significant amount of time that would remove himself from being limited.
You’re safe to roll with him through September.