In 2016, I was on board with a man named Patrick Corbin in the preseason and he tore out my heart. "Never again," I told myself burning photos in the steel trash can in my backyard. You have one of those? Who doesn't? But things have been suddenly different in 2017, culminating in last night's 8.2 IP, 0 ER, 4 Hits, 1 BBs, 7 Ks against the Astros. The Astros! Across Corbin's last 12 starts, he's boasting a 3.13 ERA, 3.21 FIP, 3.30 xFIP, 9.75 K/9, 2.25 BB/9 and just 28.5% hard contact. His scFIP over his last four starts is well below 3.00 and his IPS sits right at 6.0. These are fantastic numbers for someone that we laughed off when he showed any signs of improvement earlier in the year, and this includes a 7 ER blowup against the Cubs! If you look at his whiff rates since June 16th, it's astonishing. After having just five games in 13 starts of a whiff rate above 8%, Corbin has held a 10%+ mark in all but one of his last twelve - good for a 13.8% mark. That's elite. Pitch type isn't the impetuts as he's throwing his Slider and Changeup slightly more at the cost of his Fastball, but the biggest indication I see is his F-strike rate which has jumped from 61% to 67%, getting swings off the plate nearly 10 points more. I'm buying that Corbin can help you a ton down the stretch and he may still be out there - under 30% owned! - just be warned that in two starts he has to face the Dodgers + Coors. After that it's smooth sailing, but take note if you are getting on the train.
Let’s see how every other SP did yesterday:
Are you going to be posting a grid like you have previously that shows a pitchers ROS matchups? I’ve found it very useful to plan my adds/drops for my 5th and 6th starting pitcher to help with my pitching stats the last 6 weeks of year while everyone else is focusing on football. Thanks
That’s the plan! Hoping to have that out next week for you guys.
Taillon was fine until it began pouring. It all came apart in the 5th when he couldn’t grip his curve. Lost control as the downpour came and the walks began. Raced to get out of the inning before the game was delayed. So, not as bad as appears.
Great point, totally slipped my mind that this was rain shortened.
Nick , you mentioned Conley for those that own Castillo, do u like anyone else Sunday or is Conley pretty much it?
Rest of season do you like Roark or Shark more? I see your rankings, but Shark has been very disappointing considering he has had some sweet matchups lately and has not faired well although he has a few Ws. Roark gets Houston next but has been doing better over the last month. Looking for W and QS here. Thanks