Here are today’s daily SP Streamer rankings.
Every day of the 2023 baseball season, I’ll be looking at today and tomorrow’s slate of scheduled starting pitchers and ranking their matchups for your fantasy baseball streams.
There’s a lot that goes into this and you can hang out with me on Twitch.tv/pitcherlist to talk about the specific ranks as I make them every weekday morning from 10am – 12pm ET. If you have questions about these ranks, please ask during the morning Twitch AMA. Those are my office hours as I generally don’t answer comments on the site.
There are four tiers to these rankings with 12-teamers in mind:
Auto-Start – Just do it. Don’t overthink this, start the man. This includes “if I have them rostered, I’m starting them” pitchers.
Probably Start – I’m likely starting these arms, though I recognize there is more risk than we’d like there to be. Either it’s a tough matchup for a good-not-elite pitcher or a weak lineup for a volatile arm. These pitchers have a 50% or greater chance of performing well in my view.
Questionable Start – Think of this tier as “I don’t want to start these pitchers in a vacuum, but you could do worse.” Streamers found in this tier are not pitchers I’m targeting and are only if you are in dire need of one. To play it safe with streaming, just start the Probably Start streamers.
Do Not Start – The reward is not worth the risk. Don’t do it. Seriously, these pitchers have a very slim chance of success or sometimes none at all.
Obviously, there will be circumstances where pitchers should move between teams for your situation specifically and these new tiers should act as a little more help than the straight table from last year.
Please keep in mind that streaming is far from a perfect play. In fact, if they work out over half the time, I’d consider it a success. These matchup rankings & streamer picks are going to be wildly different than the actual results throughout the year, so please, have sympathy before the scathing comments and tweets. I’m only trying to help!
Make sure to read the notes if you’re wondering why I’m favoring certain pitchers over others – I won’t get to everyone and hopefully I answer what questions you will have.
There is a second table for tomorrow’s starting pitcher matchups as well, helping everyone get a jump on their nightly pickups. Please note that these matchups are subject to change, though, and there will be times when I have the incorrect pitcher going. I thank you for your future understanding.
Finally, there are my streaming picks of the day, and please keep in mind that I am forced to pick a streamer every day. Those highlighted in Green are that day’s streaming pick in the second tier and I’d roll with them everywhere. Those in Yellow are in the third tier and should be okay if you’re searching for something on a given day, but I don’t recommend streaming unless you’re in need. Finally, those are Red are those I really don’t want to start (they are labeled as “Do Not Start”, after all) but have no other choice. Don’t stream these guys until you are truly desperate. A streaming pick is defined as “rostered in 20% or fewer leagues,” which really emphasizes the point that I’d be happy if over 50% of these worked. I could do the whole sub 30/40% rostered, but there’s no fun in that. You can use the rankings to realize who would be those picks, instead.
(Opener) – Outlines that a pitcher is being opened for that day & the pitcher listed will follow the opener.
As I do my rankings, I thought it would be helpful to showcase a table of how we’re ranking offenses (in Alphabetical order):
I’m sure it’ll change through the year + there are differences to be made about teams vs. LHP or RHP, but it works as a general table that y’all should keep in mind.
Alright, let’s get to it.
This year, with our new daily fantasy baseball projections powered by PLV, I’ll be competing against PL Bot to pick the best streaming option each day.
To get access to PL Bot’s picks each day, sign up for PL Pro here.
Nick’s 2023 Streamer Record: 40-31
My pick yesterday: Braxton Garrett vs WSH
PL Bot’s 2023 Streamer Record: 36-35
PL Bot’s Pick yesterday: Hayden Wesneski @ SFG
Want PL Bot’s pick today? Sign Up for PL Pro here.
With the new formatting for the notes, I’ve made the streaming pick of the day Underlined and Italicized.
Today’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Auto-Starts
James Paxton vs. COL – Look at that, Paxton earns the top spot as he gets Rockie Road. I don’t think he was at his command peak last time out, but the four-seamer is working well inside the zone and the Rockies will have trouble.
Logan Webb @ STL – The Cardinals aren’t terrifying and Webb has harnessed his changeup.
Zach Eflin @ OAK – It’s the Athletics and Eflin is cruising.
Bryce Miller vs. MIA – Miller received the gift of starting against the Marlins instead of the Angels and while I have a temptation to put him at the top, let’s see him rebound first.
Jesús Luzardo @ SEA – He’s fresh off his best start of the year and I don’t think the Mariners are enough to deter a start.
Probable Starts
Charlie Morton @ DET – Despite the matchup, Morton has been hot and cold all year.
Jack Flaherty vs. SFG – He’s in a much better place than I thought he’d be, but the Giants are solid and Flaherty could show his floor instead of his peak.
Questionable Starts
NONE – It’s just one of those days. I don’t slot pitchers in tiers just to have someone be in each one. You’re welcome.
Do Not Starts
Luke Weaver @ KCR – It’s the bottom tier, which means you shouldn’t be chasing Weaver as a stream to kick off your week. That said, if he has his cutter and changeup spotted, he could squeeze out production in 5+ frames. Maybe.
Dane Dunning vs. LAA – I don’t think Dunning does enough with his repertoire and the Angels can punish pitchers in a hurry.
UPDATE: Matthew Liberatore vs. SFG – I haven’t seen enough growth from Liberatore to trust him here + the velocity dipped in his last outing.
Zack Greinke vs. CIN – It’s Greinke, he does what he pleases without a whole lot of upside.
Connor Seabold @ BOS – Connor has had some random magic here and there and hey, it’s outside of Coors! That’s the best I’ve got, don’t do this.
James Kaprielian vs. TBR – Jimmy Hat has a chance if he’s able to toss enough four-seamers & sliders for strikes. He’ll likely struggle and the Rays will jump him.
Tyler Anderson @ TEX – It’s the Rangers and Anderson “boasts” a sub-15 % strikeout rate.
Tommy Henry vs. PHI – Henry could be out in fewer than four frames here…or have one of those “Phillies” nights where he finds a way to carve them up for 5+ frames. Highly unlikely it’s the latter.
Dylan Covey @ ARI – Covey isn’t the answer for Philadelphia and I’m really sad Andrew Painter got hurt in the spring.
UPDATE: Matt Strahm @ ARI – Strahm isn’t the answer for Philadelphia and I’m really sad Andrew Painter got hurt in the spring.
Tigers Bullpen vs. ATL – I’m not sure what the Tigers are planning to do for Tuesday. Whatever it is, you avoid it.
Tomorrow’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Auto-Starts
Spencer Strider @ DET – Aces gonna ace. He’ll rebound, don’t wory.
Corbin Burnes @ MIN – He’s looking more like his old self, let’s hope it holds against Minnesota.
Max Scherzer vs. NYY – Aces gonna ace. This should be a fun game.
George Kirby vs. MIA – The Marlins should fall down to Kirby’s heater. Solid 6+ inning potential here.
Pablo López vs. MIL – López found his change in the last start (he always bounces back) and the Brewers aren’t scary.
Zack Wheeler @ ARI – I had him higher, but I can’t ignore his volatility.
Joe Musgrove vs. CLE – It’s the Guardians and Musgrove has improved his approach.
Chris Bassitt @ BAL – You start Bassitt. Stop overthinking it.
Hunter Brown vs. WSN – I like the matchup, but Brown has the young man’s floor.
Jon Gray vs. LAA – The Angels are a tougher squad than what Gray usually faces, but he’s on too good of a run to stop now.
Probable Starts
Luis Severino @ NYM – The last two starts have been concerning for Severino with a drop in velocity, but if he’s not injured, we have to hope it’s just a blip on the season.
Tony Gonsolin vs. CHW – He was served the regression we expected last time out and let’s believe he’ll get back on the horse against a poor offense.
Alex Cobb @ STL – Will the splitter be there? It’s there more times than not and after recovering it in his previous start, Cobb should be started against the oscillating St. Louis offense.
Jack Flaherty vs. SFG – Flaherty has been trending upward across the last month, though the Giants can be a tough endeavor.
Tanner Bibee @ SDP – Bibee hasn’t put it all together quite yet and the Padres are a strong team. That said, he often has enough in the tank to fight through 5-6 innings, even against tough lineups.
Edward Cabrera @ SEA – He was removed early last time with a blister and here’s to hoping it doesn’t open up in this one. Just survive five frames while chucking heaters for strikes, please.
Questionable Starts
Jameson Taillon vs. PIT – I don’t love this streaming pick as I’d prefer to wait at least one more start before jumping on the Taillon train, but it’s a blegh selection of Questionable Start options on Tuesday and Taillon has the best matchup with 5-6 inning potential.
Lance Lynn @ LAD – It’s boom or bust with Lynn against a strong Dodgers crew. Good luck.
Luis L. Ortiz @ CHC – His fastball is too hittable and the slider can’t be depended upon to dominate each night. There’s a chance he comes through, but it’s not enough for me to chase it.
Brandon Williamson @ KCR – If Williamson can get his cutter inside to right-handers effectively, he could surprise, especially against a lineup missing its biggest bat in Vinnie P.
Do Not Starts
Zach Davies vs. PHI – If the changeup is there, Davies has a shot. If it’s not, this could get ugly.
Jaime Barría @ TEX – The Rangers are too dang good. If only Barria was facing a mediocre lineup…
Kutter Crawford vs. COL – Did you know Crawford’s four-seamer is one the best PLV pitches in the majors? There’s a ton of potential here as he’s moved on the rubber this season and suddenly nailed his heater in the upper half of the zone, but the Red Sox haven’t stretched him out – he has yet to go more than sixty pitches this season. I really hope they let him do it.
Yonny Chirinos @ OAK – Chirinos has been shockingly productive as of late and now gets the Athletics. I still really dislike what he brings to the table with a super hittable slider and a sinker that hopes to induce outs and…that’s about it. The ceiling isn’t as high as you think it is.
Reese Olson vs. ATL – There is sneaky value in Olson if he gets more starts for the Tigers, but Atlanta is not what you want.
Dean Kremer vs. TOR – It’s the Jays and Kremer’s ceiling relies on low ratios and a Win chance. This ain’t it.
Chase Anderson @ BOS – He keeps surprising us and I acknowledge he’s not the worst option out there. Certainly not one to consider in the heavy majority of leagues, though.
Patrick Corbin @ HOU – Corbin, you had your fun.
Hogan Harris vs. TBR – There was hope before in Harris with decent matchups, but now it’s the Rays and the upside isn’t there.
Jordan Lyles vs. CIN – Lyles has the highest ERA of all qualified pitchers in the majors.
Featured Image by Kurt Wasemiller (@KUWasemiller on Twitter / @kurt_player02 on Instagram)
Even if Crawford is only going to go 60(ish) pitches, are the ratios and safe + a few Ks?