Here are today and tomorrow’s daily SP Streamer rankings for fantasy baseball.
Every day of the 2024 baseball season, I’ll be looking at today and tomorrow’s slate of scheduled starting pitchers and ranking their matchups for your fantasy baseball streams.
There’s a lot that goes into this and you can hang out with me on Playback.tv/pitcherlist to talk about the specific ranks as I make them every weekday morning from 10am – 12pm ET. If you have questions about these ranks, please ask during the morning Playback AMA. Those are my office hours as I generally don’t answer comments on the site.
There are four tiers to these rankings with 12-teamers in mind:
Auto-Start – Just do it. Don’t overthink this, start the man. This includes “if I have them rostered, I’m starting them” pitchers.
Probably Start – I’m likely starting these arms, though I recognize there is more risk than we’d like there to be. Either it’s a tough matchup for a good-not-elite pitcher or a weak lineup for a volatile arm. These pitchers have a 50% or greater chance of performing well in my view and I’m starting them in the majority of situations.
Questionable Start – Think of this tier as “I don’t want to start these pitchers in a vacuum, but you could do worse.” Streamers found in this tier are not pitchers I’m targeting and are only if you are in dire need of one. To play it safe with streaming, just start the Probably Start streamers.
Do Not Start – The reward is not worth the risk. Don’t do it. Seriously, these pitchers have a very slim chance of success or sometimes none at all.
Obviously, there will be circumstances where pitchers should move between teams for your situation specifically and these new tiers should act as a little more help than the straight table from last year.
Please keep in mind that streaming is far from a perfect play. In fact, if they work out over half the time, I’d consider it a success. These matchup rankings & streamer picks are going to be wildly different than the actual results throughout the year, so please, have sympathy before the scathing comments and tweets. I’m only trying to help!
Make sure to read the notes if you’re wondering why I’m favoring certain pitchers over others – I won’t get to everyone and hopefully I answer what questions you will have.
There is a second table for tomorrow’s starting pitcher matchups as well, helping everyone get a jump on their nightly pickups. Please note that these matchups are subject to change, though, and there will be times when I have the incorrect pitcher going. I thank you for your future understanding.
Finally, there are my streaming picks of the day, and please keep in mind that I am forced to pick a streamer every day. Those highlighted in Green are that day’s streaming pick in the second tier and I’d roll with them everywhere. Those in Yellow are in the third tier and should be okay if you’re searching for something on a given day, but I don’t recommend streaming unless you’re in need. Finally, those are Red are those I really don’t want to start (they are labeled as “Do Not Start”, after all) but have no other choice. Don’t stream these guys until you are truly desperate. A streaming pick is defined as “rostered in 20% or fewer leagues according to Fantasy Pros. This really emphasizes the point that I’d be happy if over 50% of these worked. I could do the whole sub 30/40% rostered, but there’s no fun in that. You can use the rankings to realize who those picks would be instead.
(Opener) – Outlines that a pitcher is being opened for that day & the pitcher listed will follow the opener.
As I do my rankings, I thought it would be helpful to showcase a table of how we’re ranking offenses (in alphabetical order by tier):
I’m sure it’ll change through the year + there are differences to be made about teams vs. LHP or RHP, but it works as a general table that y’all should keep in mind.
Alright, let’s get to it.
To spice up these streaming recommendations, I’ve included our new daily fantasy baseball projections powered by PLV, and I’ll be competing against PL Bot to pick the best streaming option each day.
These projections are different from your typical projections as they incorporate our pitch quantifier, assessing pitcher and hitter skills at a much more granular level than your standard box score.
To get access to PL Bot’s picks each day, sign up for PL Pro here.
The streaming record is determined by “Was this a productive game for 12-teamers if I started them?” Roughly a PQS with a Win and a strikeout per inning with a sub 1.20 WHIP, with a minimum of 5 IP. Close calls are decided by Playback chat.
Nick’s 2024 Streamer Record: 40-28
My pick yesterday: Matt Waldron @ LAA – W
PL Bot’s 2024 Streamer Record: 38-30
PL Bot’s Pick yesterday: Andrew Abbott @ COL
Want PL Bot’s pick today? Sign up for PL Pro here.
My streaming pick of the day is Underlined and Italicized.
Today’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Auto Starts
Tyler Glasnow @ PIT – Aces gonna ace.
Corbin Burnes @ TOR – Aces gonna ace.
Shota Imanaga vs. CHW – Aces gonna ace.
George Kirby @ OAK – Aces gonna ace. These matchups are so good.
Max Fried @ BOS – Aces gonna ace.
Ryan Pepiot @ MIA – It’s a fantastic matchup and Pepiot’s four-seamer is legit.
Luis Gil vs. MIN – The Twins are getting better with Royce returning to the lineup, but Gil is on a ridiculous hot streak. Just. Throw. Strikes. The words of my high school travel coach ring through my head as if I didn’t already know that was the intention of pitching.
Jesús Luzardo vs. TBR – It’s a solid matchup, though Luzardo’s Cherry Bomb tendencies rooted in a poor fastball shape and inconsistent secondaries prevent him from an AGA label.
Seth Lugo @ CLE – He’s been cooking and you’re doing this. Even against the Guardians.
Probably Starts
Jack Flaherty @ TEX – He’s been so dang good, but it’s Texas. But Texas hasn’t been that great lately. Ehhhh, I think that’s a legit offense still.
Jared Jones vs. LAD – I personally want to put him in auto, though I recognize the results haven’t been there. He pitched far better than the line against the Tigers suggests.
Cristopher Sánchez vs. MIL – Milwaukee has been hawt but Sánchez whipped out 96 mph heaters last game.
Kutter Crawford vs. ATL – Atlanta isn’t the hot offense you think they are, and I expect Kutter to rebound.
Spencer Arrighetti vs. STL – Our streaming pick of the day is Arrighetti, who is starting to come together with his secondaries. The last piece is four-seamer location in the upper third of the zone, which could come through against the lowly Cardinals offense.
Questionable Starts
Bailey Ober @ NYY – It’s painful to put Ober here, but the Yankees are so hot right now. It’s risky.
Patrick Sandoval vs. SDP – He’s on a Vargas Rule run and there’s an argument to put him in the second tier given his season-long ratios are heavily impacted by just two clunkers.
Dane Dunning vs. DET – He’s a fringe Toby against the Tigers. That’s considerable.
Mitch Spence vs. SEA – Spence is the same as a fringe Toby against the strikeout-friendly Mariners. His cutter and slider could make for a quiet 5+ frames of value.
Triston McKenzie vs. KCR – Will his elbow let him come through against a tough Royals crew?
Trevor Williams vs. NYM – #NeverTrevor and I recognize he’s commanded low in the zone well with a sinker that has been stupid good at limiting Ideal Contact.
Do Not Starts
Kyle Harrison @ ARI – It’s not a terrible matchup, but Harrison just doesn’t do a whole lot and hasn’t improved this year. I just don’t want to go after this.
David Peterson @ WSN – He’s only had one start this season after recovering from a hip injury and it’s unclear whether he’ll get his old whiff-heavy slider back.
Blake Walston vs. SFG – Walston is a crafty LHP at 92 mph, a big hook, cutter, slider, sweeper, etc. He’s hoping to scrape 5/6 frames against the Giants and I won’t rule it out.
Adam Mazur @ LAA – Ayyy it’s an MLB debut! Unfortunately, I’m not seeing legit upside here from Mazur, but maybe he shocks us against the Angels. I don’t go for MLB debuts (too many jitters n all, look at Skenes!) but if you want to spec add, go ahead. I have my doubts.
Andre Pallante @ HOU – His four-seamer is really a cutter at 94/95 and it’s incredibly difficult to hit. If he’s able to find his slider or curve in this one, Pallante could turn into an Ashcraft/Rasmussen type overnight.
Frankie Montas @ COL – Montas is allowed to go six frames and at least he has that going for him.
Chris Flexen @ CHC – Hey, who knows. Maybe he’s Flexen at the beach and landing cutters perfectly on the edges.
Colin Rea (Opener) @ PHI – This is a stretch, though we have seen Rea pull off a magic act or two.
Ty Blach vs. CIN – Blach.
Bowden Francis vs. BAL – Hey, he’s back! And gets Baltimore and is likely limited!
Enjoy these rankings? Support my work and Pitcher List by getting PL+ or PL Pro! You’ll get an Ad-Free website, access to our incredible non-toxic baseball Discord community, my weekly PL Pro exclusive SP FAAB Forecast podcast, a full suite of fantasy baseball tools, and much more. Get 10% off yearly with code SPSTREAMERS here.
Tomorrow’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Auto Starts
Aaron Nola vs. MIL – Aces gonna ace.
Logan Gilbert @ OAK – He’s on the path to redemption. He can hear a voice through the breeze. Find the cutter…
Dylan Cease @ LAA – You’re still two-pitch and it shouldn’t matter against the Angels.
Paul Skenes vs. LAD – Aces gonna ace…and I’m awfully curious how he responds. Watch the game and have a ball – this is the fun!
Ronel Blanco vs. STL – He’s a steady Holly against a middling offense. You want this.
Probably Starts
Carlos Rodón vs. MIN – Trust in Rodón’s four-seamer and slider, even if the Twins are a bit better with Royce returning.
Zach Eflin @ MIA – I’d have him higher but it’s a Still ILL without a rehab assignment. He’ll likely have his innings limited.
Nick Pivetta vs. ATL – The sweeper returned last time out, though the cutter was oddly missing. Atlanta hasn’t been the strongest and I’d roll with Pivetta here.
Jordan Hicks @ ARI – Hicks has been generally solid (stupid Judge) and as long as one of his secondaries is there, he soars.
Jordan Montgomery vs. SFG – He’s a Toby against a weak opponent.
Jameson Taillon vs. CHW – He’s a Toby against a weak opponent.
James Paxton @ PIT – This is a solid play for a Win.
Questionable Starts
José Berríos vs. BAL – The Orioles scare me and Berríos isn’t overwhelming enough to make him a clear Tier 2 play.
Brady Singer @ CLE – He’s a textbook Cherry Bomb.
Braxton Garrett vs. TBR – It’s a solid matchup, but does Garrett have more than his sinker and slider?
José Soriano vs. SDP – He’s a Cherry Bomb with starts of 0/1 ER or 4 ER this season. All thanks to the sinker.
Erick Fedde @ CHC – Fedde has solid command and the Cubs aren’t too threatening at the moment.
Joey Estes vs. SEA – I was tempted to push Estes higher as I have a sense his four-seamer will perform well against the Mariners. The floor is low, though.
Spencer Schwellenbach @ BOS – I’m awfully curious how he looks in his second outing in the bigs. Will his command improve? Can he get those cutters gloveside? He could be a decent start to roll with as a potential hold past it.
Luis Severino @ WSN – He’s a borderline Toby going just fastballs/sweeper these days.
Albert Suárez @ TOR – Four-seamer whiffs are here to stay (hopefully), but are the secondaries good enough to steal a Win?
José Ureña vs. DET – It’s a desperate Win/QS shot against a poor Tigers lineup and the Rangers offense at his back.
Do Not Starts
Logan Allen vs. KCR – I don’t trust Allen these days and the Royals offense is looking solid.
Miles Mikolas @ HOU – Mikolas has a long leash. That’s lovely.
Kenta Maeda @ TEX – He’s a Cherry Bomb without a lot of sweet these days against a strong offense.
Dakota Hudson vs. CIN – Maybe the sinkers find gloves and his breakers are working?
Graham Ashcraft @ COL – His cutter and slider can find a way to get outs. Who knows.
Aaron Ashby @ PHI – He’s back! And likely limited. Against the Phils. Yikes.
Patrick Corbin vs. NYM – Not a chance.
Chris Paddack @ NYY – In this economy?!
Enjoy these rankings? Support my work and Pitcher List by getting PL+ or PL Pro! You’ll get an Ad-Free website, access to our incredible non-toxic baseball Discord community, my weekly PL Pro exclusive SP FAAB Forecast podcast, a full suite of fantasy baseball tools, and much more. Get 10% off yearly with code SPSTREAMERS here.
Photos Courtesy of IconSportswire | Adapted by Aaron Asbury (@aarongifs on Instagram)
Fedde’s splits 6 games at home .95 era .89 whp, 6 games on the road 5.74 era 1.53 whp. ironically still playing in Chicago. Wed night game then travel not too far to @CIN for a Thurs night game so presumably the umpires wouldn’t be squeezing the strikezone because everyone has a plane to catch.
can Fedde pitch on the road? stay tuned and lets find out. and so far there’s not much difference in the opponents strength except for BAL and maybe MIL they’ve all been weak hitting teams.
Ozuna has 6 homers (and no walks) in 26 at-bats against Pivetta. For Pete’s sake, just walk the man!