The basic difference between DK & FD is that DK has both ATL@NYM games (one early, one on main) and FD has neither (1st game is only on the All Day slate).
DraftKings – Early slate (5 games) – starts 1:10 PM EDT; Main slate (10 games) – starts 7:05 PM EDT.
FanDuel – Early Only slate (4 games) – starts 3:07 PM EDT; Main slate (9 games) – starts 7:05 PM EDT.
MIN@PHI falls between both slates and isn’t on Early or Main on either site.
No Coors or GABP, but plenty of warm temps to go around.
CHC@TOR is good for both HRs and XBH – winds out to right.
The early ATL@NYM game on DK has winds out to left-center.
DET@BOS should be good for XBH off the monster, as winds are swirling towards it.
CIN@PIT has a PPD risk- check for updates.
MIL@CWS has winds blowing in, but high humidity could carry hard hit balls out of the park.
OAK@WAS is going to be hot with winds out to left.
COL@LAD has winds out to right-center.
The late ATL@NYM game on DK also has winds out to left-center and might even have more carry than the early game.
CIN@PIT, SD@ARI & STL@KC are all good spots for XBH & runs.
BAL@SEA & TEX@SF are the safer pitching spots for the slate.
Early options aren’t great for pitching. Sandy Alcantara has been tough to trust, but he has been better at home and the Yankees have rarely put solid back-to-back games together this season. Chris Bassitt is even more scary vs a Cubs offense that is usually good for multiple HRs per game, and the Rogers Centre is one of the top hitting spots on the small early slate. Brayan Bello will likely be the popular SP2 vs the Tigers – and his GB contact rates are decent enough to pull it off at Fenway – but his K rates aren’t anything to get excited about. Gavin Williams is a little intriguing given his 12 K start vs TOR last time – but the Rays are still dangerous at home. Allan Winans might see some ownership after the Mets were blanked at home yesterday, but you’re not getting him at a bargain on DK at $7500. Gavin with the cheaper price tag and lower rostership might be the better tournament play.
ATL@NYM (DK only)
It’s unclear how long Denyi Reyes plans to pitch the first game of the doubleheader today, but given his 2.45 HR/9 rate and the opponent, it may not matter. Allan Winans has some #revengegame narrative vs his former team, but in his first start vs MIL he survived 4.1 innings more than anything. The Mets get Strider in the afternoon game, so if they’re going to show any heart in this doubleheader, it’s going to have to come vs Winans.
Stack/GPP plays: Pete Alonso (NYM)
Justin Steele’s last two starts have been rough, but they were against ATL & CIN, which could be justified. Since he pitched in the All-Star Game, he’s only had two decent starts both vs STL but the Ks have been there (along with hits allowed). Chris Bassitt is somewhat similar, but the Cubs are still hitting well, Rogers Centre can play small, and Kiermaier isn’t in the outfield to make grabs over the fence. This could easily end up being a back-and-forth type of ballgame.
Matt Manning’s last three starts: at least seven hits allowed, at least four ERs, and an average of two HRs allowed. He’s actually had reverse splits problems (will BOS stick with a mostly L lineup?) – but BOS is more than happy to hit HRs in their home park if he’s going to queue up non-competitive pitches. Brayan Bello on the other hand, keeps most of his hits down, but he is prone to lefty LDs which cause problems in Fenway.
Josh Lowe (TB) – GPP
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) – All formats
Josh Bell (MIA) – GPP
Steven Kwan (CLE) – GPP
Spencer Strider (DK only) – don’t overpay for him as he’s had issues with walks and his PLV ratings are down vs both L/R, but the Mets are really not a competitive team right now.
Cole Ragans – Everybody has Ragans fever and his ultra low price on both sites suggests regression is in order, but it’s likely more that STL isn’t striking out a ton vs Ls. His stuff may be good enough that you take advantage of the price anyway and play the hot hand.
Andrew Heaney – has put two solid starts together lately and is in a relatively safe spot for pitching.
Base plays: Sal Frelick (MIL)
Stack/GPP plays: Brice Turang (MIL)
Base plays: Jake Cronenworth (SD)
Base plays: Freddy Fermin (KC)
Stack/GPP plays: Bobby Witt Jr. (KC)
Base plays: Julio Rodríguez (SEA)