DFS Plays of the Day – 8/12/23

Optimal DFS plays on DK/FD for Sat Aug 12

Slate Details

The basic difference between DK & FD is that DK has both ATL@NYM games (one early, one on main) and FD has neither (1st game is only on the All Day slate).

DraftKings – Early slate (5 games) – starts 1:10 PM EDT; Main slate (10 games) – starts 7:05 PM EDT.

FanDuel – Early Only slate (4 games) – starts 3:07 PM EDT; Main slate (9 games) – starts 7:05 PM EDT.

MIN@PHI falls between both slates and isn’t on Early or Main on either site.

Weather Impact 

No Coors or GABP, but plenty of warm temps to go around.

Early Slate:

CHC@TOR is good for both HRs and XBH – winds out to right.

The early ATL@NYM game on DK has winds out to left-center.

DET@BOS should be good for XBH off the monster, as winds are swirling towards it.

Main Slate:

CIN@PIT has a PPD risk- check for updates.

MIL@CWS has winds blowing in, but high humidity could carry hard hit balls out of the park.

OAK@WAS is going to be hot with winds out to left.

COL@LAD has winds out to right-center.

The late ATL@NYM game on DK also has winds out to left-center and might even have more carry than the early game.

CIN@PIT, SD@ARI & STL@KC are all good spots for XBH & runs.

BAL@SEA & TEX@SF are the safer pitching spots for the slate.

Pitching (Early)

PLV Pitching (Early) Aug 12 23

Early options aren’t great for pitching. Sandy Alcantara has been tough to trust, but he has been better at home and the Yankees have rarely put solid back-to-back games together this season. Chris Bassitt is even more scary vs a Cubs offense that is usually good for multiple HRs per game, and the Rogers Centre is one of the top hitting spots on the small early slate. Brayan Bello will likely be the popular SP2 vs the Tigers – and his GB contact rates are decent enough to pull it off at Fenway – but his K rates aren’t anything to get excited about. Gavin Williams is a little intriguing given his 12 K start vs TOR last time – but the Rays are still dangerous at home. Allan Winans might see some ownership after the Mets were blanked at home yesterday, but you’re not getting him at a bargain on DK at $7500. Gavin with the cheaper price tag and lower rostership might be the better tournament play.

Pitcher Pricing (Early) Aug 12 23

Batting (Early)

ATL@NYM (DK only)

It’s unclear how long Denyi Reyes plans to pitch the first game of the doubleheader today, but given his 2.45 HR/9 rate and the opponent, it may not matter. Allan Winans has some #revengegame narrative vs his former team, but in his first start vs MIL he survived 4.1 innings more than anything. The Mets get Strider in the afternoon game, so if they’re going to show any heart in this doubleheader, it’s going to have to come vs Winans.

Base plays: Matt Olson, Michael Harris II & Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL)

Stack/GPP plays: Pete Alonso (NYM)


Justin Steele’s last two starts have been rough, but they were against ATL & CIN, which could be justified. Since he pitched in the All-Star Game, he’s only had two decent starts both vs STL but the Ks have been there (along with hits allowed). Chris Bassitt is somewhat similar, but the Cubs are still hitting well, Rogers Centre can play small, and Kiermaier isn’t in the outfield to make grabs over the fence. This could easily end up being a back-and-forth type of ballgame.

Base plays: Alejandro Kirk & Davis Schneider (TOR); Cody BellingerMike Tauchman (CHC)

Stack/GPP plays: Daulton Varsho & Santiago Espinal (TOR); Seiya Suzuki & Miguel Amaya (CHC)


Matt Manning’s last three starts: at least seven hits allowed, at least four ERs, and an average of two HRs allowed. He’s actually had reverse splits problems (will BOS stick with a mostly L lineup?) – but BOS is more than happy to hit HRs in their home park if he’s going to queue up non-competitive pitches. Brayan Bello on the other hand, keeps most of his hits down, but he is prone to lefty LDs which cause problems in Fenway.

Base plays: Rafael Devers, Triston Casas & Jarren Duran (BOS)

Stack/GPP plays: Adam Duvall & Pablo Reyes (BOS); Kerry Carpenter (DET)

Other Plays

Josh Lowe (TB) – GPP

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) – All formats

Josh Bell (MIA) – GPP

Steven Kwan (CLE) – GPP

Batter Pricing (Early) Aug 12 23

Pitching (Main)

PLV Pitching (Main) Aug 12 23

Cash pitchers:

Spencer Strider (DK only) – don’t overpay for him as he’s had issues with walks and his PLV ratings are down vs both L/R, but the Mets are really not a competitive team right now.

Cole Ragans – Everybody has Ragans fever and his ultra low price on both sites suggests regression is in order, but it’s likely more that STL isn’t striking out a ton vs Ls.  His stuff may be good enough that you take advantage of the price anyway and play the hot hand.

Brandon Woodruff – the safer option for FD since Strider isn’t on FD Main.  No Luis Robert Jr. is a plus.

GPP pitchers:

Andrew Heaney – has put two solid starts together lately and is in a relatively safe spot for pitching.

Zac Gallen – as long as he can limit hard contact allowed to Juan SotoJake Cronenworth, he could do well as other bats on SD are striking out at 30% or higher rates.

Pitcher Pricing (Main) Aug 12 23


Base plays: CJ Abrams & Keibert Ruiz (WAS)

Stack/GPP plays: Ildemaro Vargas (WAS); Seth Brown (OAK)


Base plays: Freddie Freeman & Max Muncy (LAD)

Stack/GPP plays: James Outman & Jason Heyward (LAD); Nolan Jones (COL)


Base plays: Sal Frelick (MIL)

Stack/GPP plays: Brice Turang (MIL)


Base plays: Jake Cronenworth (SD)

Stack/GPP plays: Ketel Marte, Christian Walker & Carson Kelly (ARI)


Base plays: Freddy Fermin (KC)

Stack/GPP plays: Bobby Witt Jr. (KC)


Base plays: Julio Rodríguez (SEA)

Stack/GPP plays: Dylan Moore & Tom Murphy (SEA)

Batter Pricing (Main) Aug 12 23


Justin Wainwright

Originally from the Midwest, but moved to Colorado almost 10 years ago for the sun & Red Rocks. My lifelong aspiration is to either build the perfect analytical simulation tool for MLB players & games or be the head writer for a hit TV show that changes the medium for the next generation. Unofficial president of the Bartolo Colon & Danny Trejo Fan Clubs

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