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Starting Pitcher Streamer Rankings Fantasy Baseball: 9/16 & 9/17

Nick Pollack ranks the starting pitcher streamers for today & tomorrow.

Here are Friday, Saturday’s, and Sunday’s daily SP Streamer rankings for fantasy baseball.

Every day of the 2024 baseball season, I’ll be looking at today’s and tomorrow’s slate of scheduled starting pitchers and ranking their matchups for your fantasy baseball streams.

There’s a lot that goes into this and you can hang out with me on Playback.tv/pitcherlist to talk about the specific ranks as I make them every weekday morning from 10am – 12pm ET. If you have questions about these ranks, please ask during the morning Playback AMA. Those are my office hours as I generally don’t answer comments on the site.

There are four tiers to these rankings with 12-teamers in mind:

Auto-Start – Just do it. Don’t overthink this, start the man. This includes “if I have them rostered, I’m starting them” pitchers.

Probably StartI’m likely starting these arms, though I recognize there is more risk than we’d like there to be. Either it’s a tough matchup for a good-not-elite pitcher or a weak lineup for a volatile arm. These pitchers have a 50% or greater chance of performing well in my view and I’m starting them in the majority of situations.

Questionable Start – Think of this tier as “I don’t want to start these pitchers in a vacuum, but you could do worse.” Streamers found in this tier are not pitchers I’m targeting and are only if you are in dire need of one. To play it safe with streaming, just start the Probably Start streamers.

Do Not Start – The reward is not worth the risk. Don’t do it. Seriously, these pitchers have a very slim chance of success or sometimes none at all.

Obviously, there will be circumstances where pitchers should move between teams for your situation specifically and these new tiers should act as a little more help than the straight table from last year.

Please keep in mind that streaming is far from a perfect play. In fact, if they work out over half the time, I’d consider it a success. These matchup rankings & streamer picks are going to be wildly different than the actual results throughout the year, so please, have sympathy before the scathing comments and tweets. I’m only trying to help!

Make sure to read the notes if you’re wondering why I’m favoring certain pitchers over others – I won’t get to everyone and hopefully I answer what questions you will have.

There is a second table for tomorrow’s starting pitcher matchups as well, helping everyone get a jump on their nightly pickups. Please note that these matchups are subject to change, though, and there will be times when I have the incorrect pitcher going. I thank you for your future understanding.

Finally, there are my streaming picks of the day, and please keep in mind that I am forced to pick a streamer every day. Those highlighted in Green are that day’s streaming pick in the second tier and I’d roll with them everywhere. Those in Yellow are in the third tier and should be okay if you’re searching for something on a given day, but I don’t recommend streaming unless you’re in need. Finally, those are Red are those I really don’t want to start (they are labeled as “Do Not Start”, after all) but have no other choice. Don’t stream these guys until you are truly desperate. A streaming pick is defined as “rostered in 20% or fewer leagues according to Fantasy Pros. This really emphasizes the point that I’d be happy if over 50% of these worked. I could do the whole sub 30/40% rostered, but there’s no fun in that. You can use the rankings to realize who those picks would be instead.

(Opener) – Outlines that a pitcher is being opened for that day & the pitcher listed will follow the opener.

As I do my rankings, I thought it would be helpful to showcase a table of how we’re ranking offenses (in alphabetical order by tier):

Nick’s Loose Team Offense Rankings (Updated 9/9)

I’m sure it’ll change through the year + there are differences to be made about teams vs. LHP or RHP, but it works as a general table that y’all should keep in mind.

To spice up these streaming recommendations, I’ve included our new daily fantasy baseball projections powered by PLV, and I’ll be competing against PL Bot to pick the best streaming option each day.

These projections are different from your typical projections as they incorporate our pitch quantifier, assessing pitcher and hitter skills at a much more granular level than your standard box score.

To get access to PL Bot’s picks each day, sign up for PL Pro here.

The streaming record is determined by “Was this a productive game for 12-teamers if I started them?” Roughly a PQS with a Win and a strikeout per inning with a sub 1.20 WHIP, with a minimum of 5 IP. Close calls are decided by Playback chat.

 

Nick’s 2024 Streamer Record: 88-77

My pick yesterday: Cade Povich @ DET – W

PL Bot’s 2024 Streamer Record: 93-72

PL Bot’s Pick yesterday: David Festa vs. CIN – L

Want PL Bot’s pick today? Sign up for PL Pro here.

My streaming pick of the day is Underlined and Italicized.

 

Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

Auto Starts

 

Paul Skenes @ STL – Aces gonna ace.

Shota Imanaga vs. OAK – Aces gonna ace.

Seth Lugo vs. DET – Aces gonna ace. Yes, after cruising through three tough lineups, he deserves it.

Pablo López @ CLE – Aces gonna ace.

Sean Manaea vs. WSN – He’s been unreal.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto @ ATL – How long will Yamamoto go?

 

Probably Starts

 

Reid Detmers vs. CHW – He’s been solid with his slider and it’s a LHP against the CrySox.

Matthew Boyd vs. MIN – Boyd’s changeup has been fantastic, he survived against the Dodgers with a BSB intact, and his start against the White Sox was interrupted by an error.

Max Fried vs. LAD – It’s the Dodgers and Fried doesn’t have his changeup. Still a solid chance of success.

 

Questionable Starts

 

Yu Darvish vs. HOU – I’m not expecting 80 pitches, making this a tough gamble for five innings of production.

Spencer Arrighetti @ SDP – Save for a chaotic first frame in Cincinnati, The Pasta Pirate has found a way across the last month and change. However, the Padres are elite at the moment.

Andre Pallante vs. PIT – His last two starts have been rough. The Pirates should make for an easier time, though, and he has a better chance of boring production than those below.

Merrill Kelly @ COL – It’s Coors. Kelly’s command has improved lately, though, and I can still see him making through six frames with a Win.

Ranger Suárez @ MIL – Suárez is not in the groove you want him to be in. However, his Win chance is higher than others and if he finds his changeup, he’ll make it work.

Aaron Civale vs. PHI – His breakers are still not where we want them to be, making this a difficult sell against the strong Philadelphia crew.

Jake Irvin @ NYM – He found a way with just heaters (mostly) against Atlanta and I don’t have confidence he can replicate those results.

Joey Estes @ CHC – Estes survived once, I would hate to rely on him doing it again.

 

Do Not Starts

 

Jonathan Cannon @ LAA – Cannon has his moments when he avoids the heart of the plate consistently and at least it’s the Angels. This is a desperate QS play.

Reese Olson @ KCR – He’s back! And failed to hit 50 pitches in his final rehab start…We’ve seen guys go five innings in 60 pitches before, right?

Antonio Senzatela vs. ARI – Absolutely not.

 

Enjoy these rankings? Support my work and Pitcher List by getting PL+ or PL Pro! You’ll get an Ad-Free website, access to our incredible non-toxic baseball Discord community, my weekly PL Pro exclusive Sit/Start Grid, a full suite of fantasy baseball tools, and much more. Get 10% off yearly with code SPSTREAMERS here.

Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

Tuesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

Auto Starts

 

Zack Wheeler @ MIL – Aces gonna ace.

Cole Ragans vs. DET – Aces gonna ace.

Blake Snell @ BAL – Aces gonna ace.

Luis Gil @ SEA – This is too juicy of a matchup.

Michael King vs. HOU – Aces gonna ace.

Nathan Eovaldi vs. TOR – The Jays aren’t a team to run away from.

Bryan Woo vs. NYY – Aces gonna ace in Seattle.

 

Probably Starts

 

Nick Pivetta @ TBR – The Rays are exactly who you want Pivetta to be facing.

Shane Baz vs. BOS – Baz has done well with his curve and the Sawx in the Trop is a great scenario.

Albert Suárez vs. SFG – It’s possible rain interferes with this one in Camden, but if all is clear, Suárez should be able to take advantage.

Hunter Brown @ SDP – He’s been cruising save for his last start and I have a little more faith in Brown than I do The Pasta Pirate. Absolutely understand playing this one safe.

Chris Bassitt @ TEX – He’s starting to look more like classic Bassitt and now gets the Rangers.

 

Questionable Starts

 

Tylor Megill vs. WSN It’s a tempting one and I could see him being pushed into the second tier.

Gavin Williams vs. MIN – Does Williams have enough with his breakers to complement the heater? The Twins are healthier now as well.

Bobby Miller @ MIA – Ugggggh. How long will he go? Can last five for the Win? Will he have enough command to exploit the Marlins as he should?

Lance Lynn vs. PIT – He’s been on a mini-run, separated by his IL stint, though he did have that single 10 ER start…

Griffin Canning vs. CHW – It’s the CrySox. It’s also Canning, who has failed us many times despite easy lineups.

Mitchell Parker @ NYM – Parker is a Toby against a decent offense.

Davis Martin @ LAA – Martin’s change and slider could propel him through the Angels. It could be five frames of mediocrity, though.

Frankie Montas vs. PHI – Montas has increased his velocity and performed far better as of late. That said, it’s the Phils, y’all. Completely different than the giants he pummeled last time out.

Bailey Falter @ STL – Ehhhh, he’ll need his four-seamer and slider both cooking. It’s possible, just not the stream I want.

Mitch Spence @ CHC – Spence has his moments with the cutter and slider, especially when he can spot them gloveside in concert with an armside sinker. The Cubs kinda scare me, though.

 

Do Not Starts

 

Jordan Wicks vs. OAK – We haven’t seen him have that start yet and I’d prefer to wait for it to arrive first. It could very well be this one against the Athletics, though.

Casey Mize @ KCR – Mize just doesn’t do enough to warrant the time on your roster.

Brandon Williamson vs. ATL – Williamson was let loose by the Reds and had changeups and cutters…but it’s Atlanta. And the ceiling is pretty capped as it is.

Zebby Matthews @ CLE – Matthews. I really liked what you brought to the table. The Twins aren’t pushing him and it’s too tough of a matchup.

Ian Anderson @ CIN – Whoa! There’s a name. He’s been awfully blegh without any growth during his time in the minors, granting very low expectations for the week ahead.

Jordan Montgomery @ COL – With Ryne on the IL, The Bear has returned to zero fanfare. Obviously.

Ryan Feltner vs. ARI – It’s Coors against one of the hottest offenses.

Darren McCaughan vs. LAD – Oh dear.

 

Enjoy these rankings? Support my work and Pitcher List by getting PL+ or PL Pro! You’ll get an Ad-Free website, access to our incredible non-toxic baseball Discord community, my weekly PL Pro exclusive Sit/Start Grid, a full suite of fantasy baseball tools, and much more. Get 10% off yearly with code SPSTREAMERS here.

Tuesday Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

Photos Courtesy of IconSportswire | Adapted by Aaron Asbury (@aarongifs on Instagram)

Nick Pollack

Founder of Pitcher List. Creator of CSW, The List, and SP Roundup. Worked with MSG, FanGraphs, CBS Sports, and Washington Post. Former college pitcher, travel coach, pitching coach, and Brandeis alum. Wants every pitcher to be dope.

One response to “Starting Pitcher Streamer Rankings Fantasy Baseball: 9/16 & 9/17”

  1. Matty Boy oh Boy says:

    Matthew Boyd vs. MIN – Boyd’s changeup has been fantastic, he survived against the Dodgers with a BSB intact, and his start against the White Sox was interrupted by an error.

    hahahahhahahhhhahhaha

    He went 2.2 IP. Way to go Nicky Boy, we are so proud of your analysis. You might want to hop on Reddit. You and this site are getting buried.

    xoxo

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