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Starting Pitcher Streamer Rankings Fantasy Baseball: 9/21 & 9/22

Nick Pollack ranks the starting pitcher streamers for Saturday & Sunday

Here are Saturday’s and Sunday’s daily SP Streamer rankings for fantasy baseball.

Every day of the 2024 baseball season, I’ll be looking at today’s and tomorrow’s slate of scheduled starting pitchers and ranking their matchups for your fantasy baseball streams.

There’s a lot that goes into this and you can hang out with me on Playback.tv/pitcherlist to talk about the specific ranks as I make them every weekday morning from 10am – 12pm ET. If you have questions about these ranks, please ask during the morning Playback AMA. Those are my office hours as I generally don’t answer comments on the site.

There are four tiers to these rankings with 12-teamers in mind:

Auto-Start – Just do it. Don’t overthink this, start the man. This includes “if I have them rostered, I’m starting them” pitchers.

Probably StartI’m likely starting these arms, though I recognize there is more risk than we’d like there to be. Either it’s a tough matchup for a good-not-elite pitcher or a weak lineup for a volatile arm. These pitchers have a 50% or greater chance of performing well in my view and I’m starting them in the majority of situations.

Questionable Start – Think of this tier as “I don’t want to start these pitchers in a vacuum, but you could do worse.” Streamers found in this tier are not pitchers I’m targeting and are only if you are in dire need of one. To play it safe with streaming, just start the Probably Start streamers.

Do Not Start – The reward is not worth the risk. Don’t do it. Seriously, these pitchers have a very slim chance of success or sometimes none at all.

Obviously, there will be circumstances where pitchers should move between teams for your situation specifically and these new tiers should act as a little more help than the straight table from last year.

Please keep in mind that streaming is far from a perfect play. In fact, if they work out over half the time, I’d consider it a success. These matchup rankings & streamer picks are going to be wildly different than the actual results throughout the year, so please, have sympathy before the scathing comments and tweets. I’m only trying to help!

Make sure to read the notes if you’re wondering why I’m favoring certain pitchers over others – I won’t get to everyone and hopefully I answer what questions you will have.

There is a second table for tomorrow’s starting pitcher matchups as well, helping everyone get a jump on their nightly pickups. Please note that these matchups are subject to change, though, and there will be times when I have the incorrect pitcher going. I thank you for your future understanding.

Finally, there are my streaming picks of the day, and please keep in mind that I am forced to pick a streamer every day. Those highlighted in Green are that day’s streaming pick in the second tier and I’d roll with them everywhere. Those in Yellow are in the third tier and should be okay if you’re searching for something on a given day, but I don’t recommend streaming unless you’re in need. Finally, those are Red are those I really don’t want to start (they are labeled as “Do Not Start”, after all) but have no other choice. Don’t stream these guys until you are truly desperate. A streaming pick is defined as “rostered in 20% or fewer leagues according to Fantasy Pros. This really emphasizes the point that I’d be happy if over 50% of these worked. I could do the whole sub 30/40% rostered, but there’s no fun in that. You can use the rankings to realize who those picks would be instead.

(Opener) – Outlines that a pitcher is being opened for that day & the pitcher listed will follow the opener.

As I do my rankings, I thought it would be helpful to showcase a table of how we’re ranking offenses (in alphabetical order by tier):

Nick’s Loose Team Offense Rankings (Updated 9/9)

I’m sure it’ll change through the year + there are differences to be made about teams vs. LHP or RHP, but it works as a general table that y’all should keep in mind.

To spice up these streaming recommendations, I’ve included our new daily fantasy baseball projections powered by PLV, and I’ll be competing against PL Bot to pick the best streaming option each day.

These projections are different from your typical projections as they incorporate our pitch quantifier, assessing pitcher and hitter skills at a much more granular level than your standard box score.

To get access to PL Bot’s picks each day, sign up for PL Pro here.

The streaming record is determined by “Was this a productive game for 12-teamers if I started them?” Roughly a PQS with a Win and a strikeout per inning with a sub 1.20 WHIP, with a minimum of 5 IP. Close calls are decided by Playback chat.

 

Nick’s 2024 Streamer Record: 91-79

My pick yesterday: Richard Fitts vs. MIN – W

PL Bot’s 2024 Streamer Record: 97-73

PL Bot’s Pick yesterday: David Festa @ BOS – W

Want PL Bot’s pick today? Sign up for PL Pro here.

My streaming pick of the day is Underlined and Italicized.

 

 

Saturday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

Auto Starts

 

Max Fried @ MIA – Aces gonna ace.

Ronel Blanco vs. LAA – Looks like the Astros wanted to limit him for just a skipped start. Works for us, let it ride.

Pablo López @ BOS – Fenway isn’t fun, but you can’t deny this one.

Carlos Rodón @ OAK – Rodón’s changeup is in a good place and he sat 96 mph (not 95!) last time out.

Sean Manaea vs. PHI – Manaea has been too dang good to bench.

Jared Jones @ CIN – Jones’s stuff is everything we want, but will his curve find strikes? Can he separate his heater and slider?

Max Scherzer vs. SEA – He’d be higher up if I believed he was properly stretched out.

 

Probably Starts

 

Matthew Boyd @ STL – Boyd had a weird outing against the Twins and I’d still roll with this against the Cardinals. The BSB approach is intact, while the changeup looks better than pre-TJS.

Martín Pérez vs. CHW – He’s a great streaming option as a LHP against the CrySox, with my only worry that the Padres will give him a quick hook before completing six if the Padres don’t give him a decent lead.

Cade Povich vs. DET – I dig this for Povich, though the Orioles bats need to wake up. Give this man a Win, please.

Walker Buehler vs. COL – My confidence in Buehler is iffy at best, but it’s Rockie Road. Surely he can go five and grant a Win, right?

 

Questionable Starts

 

Brady Singer vs. SFG – Singer is a Cherry Bomb, even against the Giants. He is the same man he’s always been.

Rhett Lowder vs. PIT – Lowder is a decent Toby, but the Shag Rug is still present, preventing him from elevating into the second tier. I don’t trust the fastballs yet.

Merrill Kelly @ MIL – Kelly has improved his command lately and I wish this wasn’t in Milwaukee.

Kutter Crawford vs. MIN – He’s become more cutter/four-seamer, which is fine, but not overly dominating + the Twins are a bit scary.

Ranger Suárez @ NYM – I’m not sure I’m a big believer in Suárez at the moment and the Mets have Grimace magic.

MacKenzie Gore @ CHC – Gore is a Cherry Bomb against a decent offense.

Taj Bradley vs. TOR – You know the drill. Good luck.

JP Sears vs. NYY – Sears has his moments and hey, it could come out against the Yankees.

Adam Oller vs. ATL – Oller didn’t come through against poor lineups, but was a touch unlucky and as long as his curve finds the zone enough, he has a decent shot of production.

Reid Detmers @ HOU – Detmers let us all down against the White Sox, but he could rebound and take down the Astros with his slider akin to José Suarez on Thursday.

 

Do Not Starts

 

Emerson Hancock @ TEX – Hancock could throw enough sinkers and changeups to find his way through five innings. Yay.

Aaron Civale vs. ARI – It’s the Diamondbacks, even if Civale finally went 65% cutters + curves.

Yariel Rodríguez @ TBR – How long is he going to go?

Landen Roupp @ KCR – Roupp is a fastball/curve arm and it could work as he goes against another fastball/breaker arm (Singer). Not sure he has the leash you want, though.

Reese Olson @ BAL – Olson isn’t stretched out + it’s Baltimore.

Kyle Hendricks vs. WSN – Hendricks just came through. Do you really believe in that? Really?!

Miles Mikolas vs. CLE – Mikolas had a rare start of survival against the Jays. Don’t push it.

Chris Flexen @ SDP – The man found the beach in a big way last time. It was fun and now it’s the Padres. Nooooope.

Cal Quantrill @ LAD – Absolutely not.

 

 

Enjoy these rankings? Support my work and Pitcher List by getting PL+ or PL Pro! You’ll get an Ad-Free website, access to our incredible non-toxic baseball Discord community, my weekly PL Pro exclusive Sit/Start Grid, a full suite of fantasy baseball tools, and much more. Get 10% off yearly with code SPSTREAMERS here.

Saturday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

Sunday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

Auto Starts

 

Zack Wheeler @ NYM – Aces gonna ace.

Paul Skenes @ CIN – Aces gonna ace. Please don’t limit him…

Blake Snell @ KCR – Aces gonna ace.

Shota Imanaga vs. WSN – Aces gonna ace.

Seth Lugo vs. SFG – After three dominant starts against strong opponents, Lugo was poor against a weak opponent. Fun. Expect a rebound.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs. COL – The only question is how long he goes. Should be at least five for a strong outing.

Yu Darvish vs. CHW – It’s the CrySox and he’s stretched out enough.

Spencer Arrighetti vs. LAA – Arrighetti hasn’t fully stumbled yet. Let it ride.

Luis Gil @ OAK – Gil is a little more volatile than I like, but it’s a solid matchup here. He may be getting a bit fatigued as well.

Bryan Woo @ TEX – Despite the Yankees beating him up, Woo’s skills are still elite.

 

Probably Starts

 

Chris Bassitt @ TBR – Bassitt didn’t produce in his first good outing this week, and don’t let that deter you from jumping on the second.

Shane Baz vs. TOR – Baz has looked far better as of late with his curve and four-seamer mix.

Grant Holmes @ MIA – It’s a great Win chance for Holmes after throwing nearly 80 pitches earlier this week.

Albert Suárez vs. DET – Suárez has the ability to earn strikeouts and steal a Win.

Gavin Williams @ STL – I dig Gavin’s four-seamer and cutter/slider approach. The Cardinals aren’t scary enough to bench, opening the door for a solid 5-6 frames and a Win.

 

Questionable Starts

 

Nick Pivetta vs. MIN – Pivetta’s four-seamer gets tagged by RHB as batters can identify it relative to the sweeper he pairs it with. The Twins right-handers scare me in this matchup.

Andrew Heaney vs. SEA – Heaney is a bit volatile and this one is in Texas, not Seattle.

Jake Irvin @ CHC – Irvin’s fastballs have been far better lately, though I’m skeptical they can keep up their results. It’s also the Cubs, not the hot/cold Mets.

Tylor Megill vs. PHI – The Phillies have lost some of their sheen, but Megill’s secondaries aren’t at a place where I feel comfortable. Throw in inconsistent fastball locations and I’m hesitant to trust this outing.

Andre Pallante vs. CLE – He shocked us with nine strikeouts against the Pirates and it’s possible he can find some of that magic for another start. At least the Guardians aren’t at home…

UPDATE: Brant Hurter @ BAL – I’m stunned by Hurter’s sinker effectiveness (5.92 PLV against LHB?!) and he just flirted with perfection against said Orioles. It’s strange and I guess we’re doing it…but then again, he was moved from Friday to Sunday out of nowhere and could be properly starting instead of following, lowering his potential for a Win (and he performs better as a follower).

Frankie Montas vs. ARI – I want to like this start, but it’s the Diamondbacks. That’s too difficult of a matchup to blindly trust, even if Montas has been killing it.

Hunter Greene vs. PIT – He’s apparently returning from the IL for this one and the matchup is great (despite the home park), but how long will he go? It’s a Still ILL save for those in need of strikeout upside.

 

Do Not Starts

 

Joey Estes vs. NYY – He was rough to start the week and it could be more of the same. That said, Estes throws enough strikes and can be difficult to string hits against at times.

Zebby Matthews @ BOS – Zebby has a short leash and while I’m happy he had a productive start last time out, Fenway makes this a tough gamble for a limited ceiling.

Keider Montero @ BAL – He survived against the Orioles in his last start, but can he actually do it again?

Griffin Canning @ HOU – I know he was super productive against the CrySox, but the Astros are far different.

Sean Burke @ SDP – I kinda dug what Burke brought to the table in his first MLB start and it’s frustrating he has to deal with the Padres now.

Jordan Montgomery @ MIL – You really don’t want The Bear near your stash.

UPDATE: Ryan Yarbrough (Opener) @ TBR – The Blue Jays are not sure what the plan is for Sunday. It could be a random callup or a bullpen game with The Fratty Pirate as the bulk arm. Really unfortunate for those leaning on Bassitt’s two-step matchups, especially given he didn’t come through in the first one.

Darren McCaughan vs. ATL – Darren ain’t it.

Antonio Senzatela @ LAD – Senz-A. We (don’t) meet again.

 

Enjoy these rankings? Support my work and Pitcher List by getting PL+ or PL Pro! You’ll get an Ad-Free website, access to our incredible non-toxic baseball Discord community, my weekly PL Pro exclusive Sit/Start Grid, a full suite of fantasy baseball tools, and much more. Get 10% off yearly with code SPSTREAMERS here.

Sunday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

 

Photos Courtesy of IconSportswire | Adapted by Aaron Asbury (@aarongifs on Instagram)

Nick Pollack

Founder of Pitcher List. Creator of CSW, The List, and SP Roundup. Worked with MSG, FanGraphs, CBS Sports, and Washington Post. Former college pitcher, travel coach, pitching coach, and Brandeis alum. Wants every pitcher to be dope.

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