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Every Angels Starting Pitcher Analyzed For 2025 (UPDATED!)

Angels Starting Pitcher Rotation for 2025. Updated 1/13

To prepare my Top 400 Starting Pitchers for 2025 article, I thoroughly review every team’s rotation and write the blurbs you see in February. I usually don’t share these publicly until then, but I wanted to give another benefit to those who support us with PL Pro. Y’all are the ones who keep the lights on for us. Y’all rock.

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You can also join me LIVE on playback.tv/pitcherlist throughout the off-season as I craft these articles by watching games together, displaying my research process, and chatting with our community.

Huge thanks to Josh Mockensturm for creating these tables and finding video for all these players.

This article was updated on January 13th to add Yusei Kikuchi and remove Davis Daniel.

 

Expected Starters

 

Yusei Kikuchi (LAA, LHP) – 1/13 UPDATE

2024 Stats Table & 2025 PL Projections
Pitch Repertoire Table VS RHB
Pitch Repertoire Table VS LHB
Stuff Metrics

You may look at the final marks and believe that was Kikuchi throughout 2024. Narrator: It was not. I adored his four-seamer adjustments entering the season as a top-half located pitch with elite shape and extension (so flat! Seven feet of extension at 95/96!), while his secondaries were a mess. He leaned into a terrible changeup while the slider went in-and-out constantly. It made me all kinds of stressed believing in his arsenal while the results simply didn’t arrive.

However, Kikuchi began to focus on the slider by the end of June and he was so close. There were some poor outings rooted in a few mistakes, but we felt on the precipice of a breakout. Then the phone call. Hey, its the Astros. We’ll fix this. And guess what? The first start was fantastic…WITH MORE CHANGEUPS THAN SLIDERS. Wait, what. Yeah, the Astros wanted Kikuchi to go more changeup at first while axing the curve, and while the change eventually fell to the wayside (phew), the curve stayed out of the picture for a heavy heater/slider approach.

I don’t fully agree with that choice – Kikuchi’s curve is a major stabilizer of a pitch to let his slider and heater do damage instead of being forced to be over the plate – and I have to believe we’ll see the curve return when the slider feel isn’t quite there in 2025.

In addition, I’m concerned the Angels’ coaching staff will not help him calibrate in-season as well as the Blue Jays and Astros did. Kikuchi is not a man of consistentcy. He goes through phases and feel more often than standard Top 100 SP and when those moments occur, the responsibility lies on the coaching staff to help make the necessary fixes to get on the right path. The Angels have a terrible track record for this.

Reading this should make you concerned about Kikuchi for the whole season, though there is a decent chance he comes out firing and keeps that rhythm for a good while. I’m hesitant to lean in hard in my drafts, but I see him as a productive play early who could be a quick drop if he’s not in a groove.

Quick Take: There will be highs-and-lows for Kikuchi in 2025, just like every year prior. I’m concerned the Angels will struggle to help Kikuchi recover when he falls out of rhythm, making for more of a HIPSTER arm than a Cherry Bomb who we can endure. Just have your high heater and reliable slider, please.

 

Tyler Anderson (LAA, LHP)

2024 Stats Table & 2025 PL Projections

Kyle Hendricks (LAA, RHP)

2024 Stats Table & 2025 PL Projections
Pitch Repertoire Table VS RHB
Pitch Repertoire Table VS LHB
Stuff Metrics

Hendricks to the Angels? Sure, I guess. The Angels don’t have the exciting crew of players to firmly place inside their rotation and Hendricks will eat innings for them across the year. Are they beneficial innings? Likely not most of the time. The curve isn’t a reliable #3 pitch, and the sinker hasn’t had a Mistake Rate under a 13% clip in ages (You never want above 10%). Yes, the changeup is still filth to LHB and I imagine we’ll see the pitch climb over 50% usage to both LHB and RHB in the year ahead, but that filth returned a 15% SwStr rate, not the 20%+ that would suggest any sort of strikeouts along the way.

A pick used on Hendricks is a desperate pick for a Quality Start or Win. On the Angels. Please trust in the Roundup and Daily Streamers instead of drafting Hendricks. But he was better when he returned from the IL in June! You mean the 4.73 ERA and 1.32 WHIP? …yeah? Uh huh. OKAY FINE.

 

José Soriano (LAA, RHP)

2024 Stats Table & 2025 PL Projections
Pitch Repertoire Table VS RHB
Pitch Repertoire Table VS LHB
Stuff Metrics

 

I think Soriano is underrated for 15-teamers, though he’s a streamer/in-season pickup for me in 12-teamers. His greatest skill is a 98 mph bowling ball sinker with legit sink at a steep attack angle (great for a sinker with 92nd percentile loLoc!), and I’m impressed by its ability to sit down-and-armside frequently. There’s room to grow with its low 62% strike rate (some games, he just couldn’t spot the thing), but one HR allowed on 802 thrown? That’s what’s up. Stop throwing that dang four-seamer. I don’t care if it’s at 99 mph, it had a 45-50% ICR rate with its dead zone movement. Ahem. I also adore his high 41% CSW curveball that earns all the called strikes and even had a stellar 27%+ putaway rate against both sides of the plate. It’s a proper #2 pitch and we should expect more success with its dramatic velocity gap to steal called strikes and inability to make a huge adjustment when geared up for upper-90s.

But wait, there’s more! The biggest gripe for sinkerballs is typically opposite-handed batters. Soriano’s sinker is more effective than others against it, but carrying a splitter with a 60%+ strike rate and 17%+ SwStr rate to play off of it? LOVELY. Don’t worry, I dig this as a #3 with the curve as the primary focus. It’s a luxury.

His four-seamer should be removed from the arsenal outside of two-strike counts as a surprise offering, as long as it’s well upstairs given Soriano’s dead-zone movement + steep angle that makes the pitch far more hittable upstairs than you’d think a 99 mph heater would be (its drop with steep angle falls right into late bats often). There is a slider he’s working on as well, which classifies as the hardest SP slider in the bigs at 91/92 mph, and I imagine its really more of a cutter that he can’t command at all (52% strike rate with sub 50% on the days he featured the pitch often. Yikes.). It’s fun to know there’s room to grow here on top of the one-two-and-a-half punch of sinkers, curves, and anti-social splittys.

I don’t buy into the Angels development as a coaching staff, sadly (you’ll hear me say that a lot when talking about the Angels SP), which puts the onus on Soriano to make these improvements on his own. That said, just throwing more sinker strikes as he gets more time on the bump this year could make him a Valdez-lite pitcher (8% walk rate starting May 3rd) at a 20%-23% strikeout and a sizeable leash to go six full constantly, with his arm fatigue and elbow discomfort a thing of the past (MRI was clean but he missed all of September). I just wish the Angels could get him more Wins.

 

On The Fringe

 

Jack Kochanowicz (LAA, RHP)

2024 Stats Table & 2025 PL Projections
Pitch Repertoire Table VS RHB
Pitch Repertoire Table VS LHB
Stuff Metrics

 

Ah yes, the Jack of One Trade. I have a soft spot for Kochanowicz, the lanky fella slingin’ true sinkers (95th percentile sink!) at 96 mph incessantly at 70-75% usage. Say what you want about that (low strikeouts, high H/9 with grounders, etc.), the fact a pitcher can be an extreme sinkerballer and return a 4.00 ERA across 65.1 IP in this day-and-age is a beautiful thing. Interesting how the Angels have two of the premier sinkerballers in Soriano and Kochanowicz…

What I’m about to say will shock you. The rest of his arsenal isn’t great. I know, such surprise for a guy who has to go 70% sinkers. His four-seamer is wisely saved for two-strike counts and utilized upstairs, where it has had a fair amount of success, while the changeup is terrible and the curve is far from a reliable #2. His lower arm-angle makes me wonder if a sweeper is the better move (think Schmidt, Singer, Houck, etc.), though he still needs a defiant weapon against LHB where the sinker returned a 41%+ ICR. Contrasted to its sub 25% ICR against RHB and you’ll quickly realize how close Kochanowicz is to actually being something. He already silences RHB, what if he found a LHB weapon? But the strikeouts. Yeah, fair. It’s gonna be low. A sweeper + a LHB weapon? Hey, it could happen.

 

Reid Detmers (LAA, LHP)

2024 Stats Table & 2025 PL Projections
Pitch Repertoire Table VS RHB
Pitch Repertoire Table VS LHB
Stuff Metrics

 

Detmers. Buddy. Pal. For three years, you showcased an elite slider in the spring. For three years, you had glimpses of that pitch during the season and failed to carry its command consistently. So much so, you returned to the minors multiple times. Last year felt a bit different as he showed up with a touch extra extension and two inches more of iVB on his four-seamer at 94/95 mph (17″ of vert is excellent and a huge step forward from 15″), leading to destruction across the first month of the year. But the command. He had the tools, even with a budding changeup that demoralized batters the third time through the lineup – they were finally ready to take on the new heat and were met with some glorious slowballs out of nowhere. But he couldn’t consistently locate and even with that vert, the low extension at 93/94 (the velo dropped to 92/93 mph by the end of the year), and mistakes on all four pitches did him in.

I still dream there will be a year when Detmers has feel for the back-foot slider all season (he did moreso than usual in 2024!) with a fastball he actually spots upstairs at 95 mph consistently, a changeup he can actually get down (50% zone rate is too dang high!), and a curve he can whip out of his back pocket with confidence. As of now, it’s a great slider (most of the time) and not enough pieces around it, paired with a coaching staff in Los Angeles that gives me little faith he’ll be able to make the adjustments across the season. Now if he gets traded…

Quick Take: Detmers has displayed the skills routinely in the spring – a slider well spotted down and in to RHB, a good vert four-seamer, and a curve + change to mix up batters. Sadly, I don’t have faith in the Angels to help Detmers recalibrate in-season when he loses the feel for his breaker.

    Nick Pollack

    Founder of Pitcher List. Creator of CSW, The List, and SP Roundup. Worked with MSG, FanGraphs, CBS Sports, and Washington Post. Former college pitcher, travel coach, pitching coach, and Brandeis alum. Wants every pitcher to be dope.

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