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Every Cincinnati Reds Starting Pitcher Analyzed 2025 – PL Pro Early Access

Reds Starting Pitcher Rotation for 2025. Every SP analyzed.

To prepare my Top 400 Starting Pitchers for 2025 article, I thoroughly review every team's rotation and write the blurbs you see in February. I usually don't share these publicly until then, but I wanted to give another benefit to those who support us with PL Pro. Y'all are the ones who keep the lights on for us. Y'all rock.

With PL Pro, you'll get access to these articles, an ad-free experience, access to our 1,000+ member Discord (the best place to take baseball on the internet!) our 2025 player projections infused with PLV (Pitch modeling!), our incredible PLV Apps, including Live PLV data in-season and rolling charts for Process+, and so much more.

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You can also join me LIVE on playback.tv/pitcherlist throughout the off-season as I craft these articles by watching games together, displaying my research process, and chatting with our community.

Huge thanks to Josh Mockensturm and community member hanzo for creating these tables for all these players.

 

Expected Starters

Hunter Greene (CIN, RHP)

2024 Stats Table & 2025 PL Projections
Pitch Repertoire Table VS RHB
Pitch Repertoire Table VS LHB
Stuff Metrics

2024 has all the signs of a peak season from Greene. A stupid low 5.7 hit-per-nine with classic minute .239 BABIP behind it, a home run rate cut in half to just 0.72 HR/9 (and 7.2% HR/FB!), an 80% LOB rate (oh snap, the full "HOTEL" in effect!), and improvements in ICR rate against all hitters with his four-seamer and slider.

And it doesn't make a whole lot of sense. His four-seamer did gain an extra inch of "iVB" to 16" from 15" with a slight uptick in extension to 6.5 (that's fine, not stellar, but fine), but is that enough to warrant 60% decline in HRs allowed on the heater? But he added a splitter! He barely touched it to RHB (it was terrible) and it held a paltry 14% putaway rate to LHB with an 11% SwStr rate a horrible strike just above 50%. It wasn't good y'all.

It's possible I'm undervaluing the small gains on the heater merged with a focus on increased lateral break on the slider at the cost of drop. And yet, we all know regression is coming to some degree (that is, his pitch results are still not representative of a 5.7 hits per nine. That's unheard of), and I'm not confident we're a sizeable distance away from the 4.82 ERA, 1.42 WHIP days of 2023. This is all without mention his massive injury risk with his ultra velo and 26 starts marking his career high last year, nor the coiled HR rate ready for liftoff in Cincinnati.

Quick Take: Greene's 28% strikeout rate with glorious ratios in 2024 is sure to prop him in drafts, though the lack of a third pitch merged with clear regression across performance has me labeling Greene as a high bust candidate for 2025. I'd wait until the productive workhorses are off the board for consideration.

 

Brady Singer (CIN, RHP)

2024 Stats Table & 2025 PL Projections

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Nick Pollack

Founder of Pitcher List. Creator of CSW, The List, and SP Roundup. Worked with MSG, FanGraphs, CBS Sports, and Washington Post. Former college pitcher, travel coach, pitching coach, and Brandeis alum. Wants every pitcher to be dope.

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