Welcome back to our Expected SP Schedules series!
Every single Tuesday the Expected SP Schedules article will provide you with what you need to know regarding each starting pitcher’s upcoming matchups over the upcoming weeks. Who has a two-start week? Who is facing a few favorable lineups in a row with the opportunity to get into a real groove? Who can we safely ignore for the foreseeable future due to an upcoming gauntlet? This column will aim to get you the answers you need for those questions, and more.
Before we get into it, remember the glossary for this article:
- (OFF) means the team has an off-day before they play that team.
- (DH) indicates a doubleheader that day.
- ??? represents an unclear rotational spot, and the notes will explain the options. Given that the season just got underway, most rotations are currently pretty set, though there is some shuffling that will be done over the next few weeks when several frontline starters return from injury.
And finally, we have our PLV-based offensive rankings, which incorporate our Process+ metric to project future offensive performance. These rankings, which are in alphabetical order by tier and were last updated on April 6, will continue to be updated regularly to reflect the offensive skills that teams are projected to achieve in the coming weeks, based on PitcherList’s internal PLV metrics.
AL East
Orioles’ Expected Starters
Having confirmed that Zach Eflin underwent Tommy John surgery on April 8 and will be out for the remainder of the year, the Baltimore Orioles are essentially holding auditions for their fifth rotation spot at the moment. Cade Povich pitched very well (6.2 IP, 1 ER, 5 K, 5 H, 0 BB) in his turn back in the rotation recently against San Francisco, but was subsequently sent back down to the minors to make room for Dean Kremer to start in the April 13 game against the Diamondbacks. Povich will likely be recalled before week’s end to pitch again in a good matchup against left-handed heavy Cleveland. Keep an eye on that one, as Povich has the potential to become a solid back-end rotation piece if he can out duel Kremer and lock down the spot in the rotation for the rest of the season.
Boston starters in theory have a great matchup to start off this week against the Minnesota Twins, but Garret Crochet’s performance Monday night (1.2 IP, 10 ER, 0 K 9 H, 3 BB) already put a damper on that. He will get another chance later this week against the Detroit Tigers. It will be interesting now to see how Sonny Gray and Connelly Early handle that same Minnesota lineup, especially Early. He has had some mixed results overall to start the season but has shown all the signs of an arm on the verge of a breakout. He’ll want to get right in this next outing before having to face the Yankees and the suddenly-hot Aaron Judge.
Speaking of the Yankees, they get a good matchup themselves to start this week against the relatively light-hitting Los Angeles Angels. Look for Ryan Weathers (two-start week) to continue the momentum gained from his last outing, where he was excellent, and for Luis Gil to try to establish some kind of rhythm after a shaky first start of the year after starting the season in the minors. Cam Schlittler is also looking to rebound after a pair of decent-but-not-great starts where he did not make it into the sixth inning in either outing.
Shane McClanahan is still looking for length in his starts as well, having not made it out of the fifth inning in either of his first two starts of the year. He gets the relatively weak hitting Chicago White Sox to start off his two-start week and it’s a great chance for him to earn his first win since 2023. Steven Matz should be rostered in all but the most shallow leagues at this point after a trio of excellent starts — his 3.94 ERA is a little misleading due to a poor first start of the year, as his 0.94 WHIP and 3-0 record better represent the quality that he’s been putting out. Finally, Drew Rasmussen is on the heels of a masterclass outing (6 IP, 0 ER, 7 K, 0 BB, 1 H) against the Yankees and should continue to thrive against Pittsburgh, Minnesota and Cleveland. He’s a great trade target right now, especially if his current owner is still concerned about the five-inning leash put on him last season that seems to be mostly removed this year.
Blue Jays’ Expected Starters
Toronto is still awaiting the return of Trey Yesavage, the 22-year-old who shined in last year’s postseason. He likely needs one more rehab start and then will enter the rotation with a great matchup against the Los Angeles Angels, allowing him to ease back into action a bit. Yesavage’s return could not come soon enough for the club. Kevin Gausman and Dylan Cease are still matchup-proof studs, both with with two-start weeks — but the rest of the rotation is very shaky at the moment.
AL Central
The big news here is that Noah Schultz, the No. 2 prospect for the organization, is being called up by the Chicago White Sox to make his MLB debut (tonight!) and will likely have a two-start week. The 6’10 left-hander is an imposing presence on the mound and has been on a tear in AAA to start this year, going 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA while striking out 19 and allowing only four hits. His development was halted a bit last season due to an ongoing bout of tendinitis in his right knee, leading to poor results and frequent missed time. Now that he’s healthy, though, expectations are once again sky-high for the former first round pick. Anthony Kay is also an interesting name here, especially with a good matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays coming up.
Gavin Williams has looked great for the Guardians to start the year and gets a two-start week with solid matchups. Joey Cantillo (also two-start week) and Parker Messick both appear to be in the midst of breakout seasons, and get decent matchups this week to continue their momentum. Cantillo takes on a Cardinals lineup that currently ranks 23rd in the league in hits per game, while Messick will get a Baltimore lineup that has not found its stride yet, although Pete Alonso has shown major signs the past few days of what could be the beginning of a serious hot streak. It will be interesting to see how Messick navigates that Baltimore lineup, and Cantillo as well later in the week.
Keider Montero likely gets one more turn through the rotation before Justin Verlander hopefully returns from the IL next week. He would get a tough assignment against Milwaukee in his projected return, however, and would not be a recommended start there. Casey Mize also has tough matchups ahead of him with a trip to Fenway to take on the Red Sox, and then the aforementioned Milwaukee lineup after that. His 1.44 WHIP through his first three outings of the year do not inspire much confidence for either matchup.
Kansas City Royals‘ ace Cole Ragans has had a tough start to the year, with one great outing in which he came away with a loss despite giving up only one unearned run, sandwiched in between a rough season opener and a most-recent start that saw him exit in the first inning with a bruised thumb on his pitching hand after being hit by a comebacker off the bat of Jose Ramirez. He says he is good to go moving forward, however, and will look to right the ship in two tough upcoming road matchups this week in Detroit and then the Bronx.
Taj Bradley (5.0 IP, 1 ER, 7 K, 5 H, 4 BB) struggled with his command in his latest outing at the Toronto Blue Jays, but still came away with his third win of the early season. He takes a 1.25 ERA and identical 1.25 WHIP into two pretty good matchups against the Cincinnati Reds and Tampa Bay Rays. Mick Abel will look to build off a good outing against the Detroit Tigers last week, in which he threw six innings of shutout ball with six strikeouts. With at least three walks in all three of his outings to begin the year, Abel will need to harness his command to maintain some consistency in some tough upcoming matchups against the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets.
AL West
Astros’ Expected Starters
With Tatsuya Imai hitting the IL (right arm fatigue) to begin this week, Houston will have to fill a gap in their rotation considering they have no off days this week. However, they already were in the process of shifting to a six-man rotation that included Colton Gordon and Spencer Arrighetti, so the likelihood is that Lance McCullers Jr. and Cody Bolton move up a spot in the chart and this becomes a regular five-man rotation again. That doesn’t affect Bolton’s matchup, but it would move McCullers Jr. from a matchup against the St. Louis Cardinals into one against the Colorado Rockies instead. Either way he is a questionable start based on recent shaky performances.
None of the Los Angeles Angels‘ starters are recommended starts in their four-game trip to Yankee Stadium, with José Soriano (4-0, 0.33 ERA, 0.67 WHIP) not starting again until the following series against San Diego. Soriano is arguably the hottest pitcher in the entire league right now, and while his past resume is much more inconsistent than this season’s small sample size, he is pitching too well to be put on your bench despite two tough upcoming matchups.
Jeffrey Springs gets a two-start week fresh off of an outing in Yankee Stadium where he went seven scoreless innings while giving up only one hit. Springs will first take his 1.47 ERA and 0.76 WHIP into a decent matchup with the Texas Rangers — although it is in the Athletics‘ relatively tiny temporary home park in Sacramento. Springs then gets a theoretically easier matchup against the Chicago White Sox later in the week and could be getting into a nice groove here.
Emerson Hancock takes his 2.04 ERA and 0.74 WHIP into a tough road matchup against San Diego this week, and Luis Castillo faces the same tough assignment. Both are questionable starts in that scenario. The other three Mariners’ starters are all matchup-proof aces, with George Kirby and Bryan Woo getting two starts a piece this week.
Jacob deGrom shook off a minor health scare last week after an MRI on his right knee came back clean, and proceeded to dominate the Dodgers a few nights later. He will look to keep that dominance rolling with great matchups at pitcher-friendly Seattle, followed by a home matchup against the Pirates. Nathan Eovaldi and MacKenzie Gore have also been dominant to start the season, and both have two-start weeks, with the first taking place in hitter-friendly Sacramento and the latter taking place in pitcher-friendly Seattle.
The Atlanta staff leads the league in just about every major pitching category at the moment, despite widespread preseason concerns that they lacked reliable starters behind Chris Sale with the absences of Spencer Strider and Spencer Schwellenbach. It does not appear that Strider is returning before the end of this month, and with Atlanta recently DFA’ing Martín Pérez, there is a clear opening for Didier Fuentes to join the rotation. The 20-year-old is Atlanta’s No. 3 overall prospect and threw an impressive four-inning relief appearance in a March 29 game against Kansas City, giving up only one run with four strikeouts. He was sent back down to the minors after that appearance to build up his pitch count and now appears ready. He would get a tough assignment later this week at Philadelphia, but he is worth the stash to see what happens after that. It’s possible he is removed from the rotation once Strider returns, but there is no guarantee that the rest of Atlanta’s non-Sale staff will perform well enough to ensure Fuentes is the odd-man out at that point.
Miami’s Eury Pérez continues to search for command after another shaky outing at Atlanta to begin this week. He gets a second start later in the week, albeit in a tough matchup against Milwaukee. Sandy Alcantara, on the heels of three dominant outings, stumbled recently in Detroit. He faces that tough Milwaukee lineup as well this week, before getting a much better matchup at San Francisco next week.
David Peterson is the only Met to get a two-start week, but is not recommended in Dodger Stadium and is a questionable start at Wrigley Field. Nolan McLean will face that gauntlet of a Dodger lineup as well, and has been too good to bench despite the matchup.
The big news here is that Zack Wheeler is expected to return for Philadelphia later this week against Atlanta. Wheeler has shown decreased velocity in his recent rehab outings, sitting at around 92-93 mph instead of his usual 95-96, but his track record of an elite ace is too long to ignore, making him a probable start right away. Andrew Painter looked good in an unexpected relief appearance this past weekend (he was supposed to start the game, was a late scratch due to migraines, and ended up pitching an extended relief outing) and will look to keep his momentum going against Atlanta this week, followed by a trip to Wrigley Field next week.
The Washington rotation is a bit of a mess at the moment, with opening-day starter Cade Cavalli showing no signs of becoming the rotation-leading ace that they hoped he could be. Cavalli’s disappointing start to the season includes a week-opening clunker at Pittsburgh (1.1 IP, 4 ER, 2 K, 3 H, 3 BB), and he remains a questionable start in his next outing later this week against the San Francisco Giants.
Javier Assad likely gets one more start for Chicago before Matthew Boyd comes back from a brief IL stint. Boyd is projected for a tough slate of matchups upon his return, but should be slotted into lineups regardless. Edward Cabrera also has a pair of tough matchups ahead, and will need to harness some of the command issues that have seen him allow eight walks in his last two outings combined.
Nick Lodolo should finally return to the Cincinnati rotation next week after dealing with a reoccurring blister issue, and in the meantime Brandon Williamson will likely get two more starts before becoming the odd-man out. His six walk performance last time out makes him a very questionable start in either of those spots, though. Andrew Abbott, coming off a stellar 2025 in which he was an NL All-Star, has gotten off to a horrible start and will look to take advantage of a decent matchup at Minnesota to begin to lower his bloated 5.85 ERA.
The Milwaukee staff has been solid to start the year, and budding ace Jacob Misiorowski leads them here with a two-start week. He faces an ice-cold Toronto team before heading to Miami to face a pesky Marlins lineup, albeit one that he should have success against. The same goes for Brandon Woodruff, who is coming off of a quality start in which he gave up one run in six innings with six strikeouts against Washington. It’s also worth noting that, though Brandon Sproat had his turn in the rotation skipped last week, the Brewers have stated that he is not being removed long-term. He has struggled to begin the year, but Sproat remains a young prospect with intriguing stuff and is worth keeping an eye on.
Pirates’ Expected Starters
The highlight here is that Paul Skenes gets a two-start week, so my condolences to anyone going up against him. Bubba Chandler has lacked consistency to start the year and takes a 1.57 WHIP into two solid matchups against Tampa Bay this week and Texas next week. Look for him to try and finally establish an early-season rhythm in those starts. Braxton Ashcraft, on the other hand, is already in a groove, and takes his sparkling 2.12 ERA and 1.00 WHIP into a nice upcoming matchup with Washington.
St Louis’ entire rotation is currently matchup-dependent streamer candidates, with this week offering up a decent matchup against Cleveland before a tough road matchup in Houston.
Ryne Nelson highlights a two-start week for Arizona, in which the underrated right-hander will look to keep his 1.03 WHIP intact.
As is typically the case with Rockies’ pitching, this staff can safely be ignored for fantasy purposes for the time being, regardless of the matchups.
The Dodgers are shifting to a six-man rotation for the foreseeable future that now includes Justin Wrobleski. A questionable start going into Monday night, Wrobleski went on to spin eight shutout innings against the New York Mets. His next test comes at Coors Field next Monday against the Colorado Rockies. In his latest outing, Emmet Sheehan finally looked like the guy who posted a 2.82 ERA and 0.87 WHIP last season, going six innings against Texas and giving up three earned runs on only four hits, while striking out six. He gets the same tough assignment as Wrobleski in Coors later this week.
San Diego’s Michael King gets a two-start week in which he will look to build upon his early season success with two solid matchups. Randy Vásquez, also pitching very well to start the year, gets a nice matchup this week against Seattle before heading to Coors Field next week for an interesting test.
San Francisco’s ace Logan Webb is still looking to find his form, and will get a good chance against Washington before having to take on the Dodgers next week. Landen Roupp heads to a tough hitter-friendly park in Cincinatti, but on the heels of a six inning one-run performance against Baltimore, should remain in lineups before showing a bit more caution next week against the Dodgers.
