March 13th EDIT: Both lists (SV-Only/Closers and SV+HLDs) have been updated.
Welcome to the definitive guide for navigating the most stress-inducing position in fantasy baseball. After weeks of poring through data and tracking a whirlwind offseason, my “Way Too Early” rankings have officially evolved into this: the initial 2026 Top 300 Relievers.
With Opening Day less than two months away, the bullpen landscape remains a “beautiful,” volatile mess. This winter’s player movement has flipped several team hierarchies upside down, leaving us with a list of “safe” anchors that is surprisingly thin. Right now, there are only about eight, maybe nine closers I’m truly comfortable rostering as my RP1. Beyond that elite tier, the league is a minefield of murky committees and “if they…” gambles.
If you haven’t already, it’s time to embrace the chaos. The reliever position remains the most volatile in the game, which is exactly why I advocate for SV+HLD formats. In this format, you aren’t forced to chase a shaky closer on a basement-dwelling team; instead, you can find immense value in elite setup men who are often more talented and reliable than many “official” ninth-inning closers.
When building these rankings, I focus on the arm, not the jersey. It’s a common trap to assume that a team’s winning percentage correlates with save and hold chances, but the data consistently tells a different story:
- Last year, the Tigers and Astros won 87 games each and made the postseason, but finished in the bottom third of the league in save opportunities. In 2024, the Phillies had just 56 save chances, fourth lowest in all of baseball despite winning 95 games.
- Sub-.500 teams like the Angels and Diamondbacks finished in the top five for save chances last season. In 2024, the Pirates finished fourth in save chances, while winning just 76 games, and the Rays were third after finishing the year 80-82.
Because bullpen usage is also very fluid, I derive these ranks mainly from bat-missing ability and pure “stuff,” prioritizing things like strikeout-minus-walk rates (K-BB%) and pitch metrics (like PLV) over the perceived safety of a role.
As far as this year’s draft strategy goes, in save-only, Roto formats especially (could apply to certain H2H leagues as well), securing one of those top-tier anchors is no longer a luxury…it’s borderline essential. From there, it’s about navigating the Tier 2–3 question marks and throwing a late-round dart at some high-upside arm or two.
In SV+HLD, I prioritize upside over safety. I’d much rather take a swing at the elite ceiling of someone like Mason Montgomery, whose peripherals suggest a breakout, than settle for a specialist like Tyler Rogers, who offers zero strikeout help and is not guaranteed another 30-hold campaign. When you bet on elite talent, the counting stats usually find a way to follow.
In points leagues, I’d lean more towards safety over upside. One blowup from a reliever could tank your week for you, so here is where dependability is important from your relievers. Points leagues tend to always have different scoring caveats, so be sure to know your settings before you draft, but if you can stream relievers on a daily/weekly basis here to get the best matchups, that may be the best course of action.
As we wait for more clarity from Spring Training, here is my comprehensive look at the Top 300 Relievers for the 2026 season. Stay tuned for updates throughout the winter and into the spring as we navigate the chaos together.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Co-Closer | Kevin Ginkel | 30% |
| Co-Closer | Paul Sewald | 20% |
| Setup Role | Ryan Thompson | 10% |
| Middle Relief | Taylor Clarke | 10% |
| Middle Relief | Kade Strowd | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Jonathan Loáisiga | 5% |
Kevin Ginkel – Ginkel only managed 25.2 innings this past year, and they weren’t good innings as he battled injuries all year, but he has the most closer experience amongst his fellow bullpen mates, I guess? His 24% strikeout and 13.2% swinging-strike rates (SwStr%) could have been worse, and there was definitely some poor BABIP luck involved with last year’s results (.360 BABIP vs. a .258 xBABIP and .224 xBA). The dip in velocity (1 MPH on his fastball, 2.5 MPH on his slider) is also worth monitoring, but I think just being healthy and shoring up his command next year could go a long way to get Ginkel back on track. I’d pencil him in for saves next year until A.J. Puk returns, but I wouldn’t be excited about drafting him outside of the deepest of save-only Roto leagues (or NL-only’s).
Taylor Clarke – Clarke may not be a big-time swing-and-miss reliever, but he doesn’t walk anyone and just finds ways to get outs. I was surprised to see him non-tendered after finishing with the fourth-best WHIP amongst all qualified relievers last season (0.85), but I guess the 11% swinging strike rate was just too low for the Royals to ignore (Carlos Estévez was at 9% btw). A pitch mix change may be responsible for Clarke’s breakout last year, as he threw his four-seamer less, changeup more, added a sinker, and ditched his sweeper. The fastballs aren’t great, but the slider is a legit plus pitch, one that he should probably throw even more than 40% of the time. The sinker does help alleviate some pressure off the four-seam, and he should be ok throwing each one 20% (or less) of the time. The changeup is fine against lefties, too, no complaints there. This may not look like your typical closer, and he isn’t getting paid like one, but given the current options here, Clarke should at least be considered a co-favorite to open the season in the role.
Jonathan Loáisiga – Loáisiga labored through 29.2 IP last season, and did not have much success with a 1.48 WHIP and 17.9% strikeout rate, but it’s also easy to see why the Diamondbacks are taking a flier on the 31-year-old. The strikeouts weren’t there, but Loáisiga still showed bat missing stuff with a 42.4% Z-Contact minus O-Swing rate (Z-O%), as well as a 114 Stuff+. Every pitch in his arsenal moves a ton, and he still showed promising velocity last year, averaging nearly 97 MPH. Now he just needs to remain healthy and command his stuff better (41% Zone rate last year), which, if he can, he could climb up the leverage ladder here rather quickly.
Ryan Thompson – Thompson’s a veteran reliever, one who Torey Lovullo trusts, but there just isn’t much upside here. He’s likely in the closer mix, but you really need to pick and choose your spots with Thompson, as he does not have anything in his arsenal to combat lefties. He threw two splitters last year, perhaps trying to find that pitch he could use against lefties, but both were against Shohei Ohtani in the 9th inning of a tie game back in May…with the second splitter going 426 FT for a go-ahead home run. His sinker/slider combo is still great against righties, and he’s had effective seasons in the past against lefties, basically as long as he’s commanding the sinker well he can at least get them to roll over the pitch.
Kade Strowd / Drey Jameson – Strowd has a fascinating arsenal (the cutter and breakers in particular), but his minor league strikeout numbers didn’t translate to the MLB level. He’s still an intriguing name to keep an eye on here if he cracks the opening day roster. Jameson totaled just 17 innings last year (14 of which were at AAA) after returning from Tommy John Surgery that kept him out all of 2024, but the plus stuff Jameson has always flashed (especially out of the pen) seems to have returned. The command may remain a work in progress, but in a bullpen lacking upside, at least there’s someone like Jameson to dream on.
A.J. Puk / Justin Martinez – Puk only lasted 8 innings last year, but he looked great when healthy (28.6% K-BB, 17.3% SwStr, 5.26 PLV) and barring any setbacks will return a few months before Martinez does. Puk should be back around June, and Martinez sometime before the end of the year. Puk could take over the closer role for June and July, get traded at the deadline (free agent in 2027), and reopen the door for Martinez to move into the closer role to finish the season.
Brandyn Garcia / Juan Morillo / Andrew Hoffmann / Juan Burgos – Younger bullpen names to keep an eye on (each with multiple options), with at least one likely making the opening day roster. There’s some intriguing stuff in this group, but the command/control remains an issue.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Co-Closer | Justin Sterner | 35% |
| Co-Closer | Mark Leiter Jr. | 25% |
| Setup Role | Scott Barlow | 15% |
| Middle Relief | Elvis Alvarado | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Hogan Harris | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Michael Kelly | 5% |
Justin Sterner – If I HAD TO pick someone on this roster to close out games this year, I’d lean toward Sterner, especially after how he finished the season (2.73 SIERA, 16,3% SwStr in the second half). There’s a fun, yet not overpowering three-pitch mix here, that is led by a 93.5 MPH four-seamer that holds a -4.1 Vertical Approach Angle and 19.4″ of total break. The key here is that Sterner can live at the top of the zone (61.4% hiLoc%) with that four-seamer, and while 7 of the 14 hits he allowed on the pitch resulted in home runs, 4 of those 7 were located either middle of the zone or lower. The cutter, which is more like a hard slider as it breaks a ton (and has a spin rate of 2700 rpm), and sweeper are the swing and miss getters, although it’d be nice to have a little higher zone rate on the pair. In fact, none of Sterner’s pitches held a zone rate better than 48%, with his 42.1% overall Zone rate ranking in the 8th percentile amongst relievers. Right now, Sterner gets a lot of chase, which helped keep his walk rate below 8%, but what happens when hitters become more patient in their approach against him?
Mark Leiter Jr. – It was a down 2025 for Leiter Jr., who was non-tendered by the Yankees this offseason, but wound up signing rather quickly with the A’s, the team’s only bullpen addition this winter. Despite the terrible ratios (4.84 ERA, 1.53 WHIP), there were still some numbers that give us a glimmer of hope (3.44 SIERA, 17% K-BB, 30.4% CSW, 33.3% Hard-Hit rates). The fastball (sinker) is the big issue here, and has been for the past two-three seasons. I’m not really sure what the answer is there, but he did throw this cutter a little bit last year at 91 MPH, which, maybe if he feels comfortable with that, could be his primary “fastball”? He threw the pitch 23% of the time with the Cubs in 2023, but only 8% in 2024 (mostly with Chicago) and 3% last season. The splitter and curveball can be big swing and miss pitches for Leiter Jr., but he needs some sort of fastball he trusts to round out the arsenal.
Elvis Alvarado – Alvarado definitely has high leverage stuff with a 99 MPH fastball and power slider, and his swing and miss metrics were favorable last year (27.3% K, 15.8% SwStr rates), but there are a couple of things that stand in his way from being a lockdown closer. The command/control is the first thing that jumps out as being an issue, as a 12% walk rate likely won’t cut it. Alvarado threw his four-seamer 53% of the time last year, and his sinker 10% of the time, and I wonder, based on the movement profile and arm slot, if he’s more destined to be a sinker/slider reliever. The other issue is that slider, which has a weird (not necessarily bad…but is it good?) movement profile, and I’m not sure Alvarado can throw it for strikes consistently enough. He’ll get plenty of chances in this bullpen as a guy who can throw 99+ MPH with a ton of arm side run, but can he throw enough strikes and improve the slider to become a legitimate closing option?
Hogan Harris – Harris finished the year with four saves, so he may be the de facto incumbent, but there just aren’t closer traits here (10% SwStr/96 Stuff+). He did a good job suppressing hard contact, though, and his deep arsenal can still be useful as a left-handed reliever. I’d be curious to see how he’d fare with more even usage between his four-seam, curveball, and changeup, as all three graded out well last year (lots of movement on those pitches). As the team’s top (only?) left-handed reliever, I can’t see Harris seeing a ton of save chances, but there’s a path for him to stay relevant in holds leagues.
Michael Kelly / Tyler Ferguson – Kelly and Ferguson are the “veterans” in this A’s bullpen, but neither looked particularly appealing from a fantasy standpoint last year. Kelly held 6.1% strikeout minus walk and 9.6% swinging strike rates, while Ferguson was a tad bit better with 8.2% strikeout minus walk and 27.8% CSW rates. However, they both possess positive Stuff+ metrics (Kelly at 107, Ferguson at 109) and were able to limit hard contact at an above average rate (35.9% for Kelly and 31.8% for Ferguson). We can likely attribute the high walk rates to each of these guys having bad fastballs, but they both have good breaking stuff, so perhaps a pitch usage change or fastball tweak can lead to some sort of breakout in 2026?
Grant Holman / Eduarniel Núñez – Holman only threw 23 innings at the MLB level, but there’s some intrigue with his splitter and plus extension (7.2″), and if he could just improve the fastball a bit (either shape or velocity), there could be a late-inning reliever here. Núñez throws hard (98 MPH) and has a wicked slider (2905 spin rate), but has massive command issues with both pitches. We’ve seen guys with similar skill sets make big strides in fixing their command/control (Abner Uribe this year), but it’s never a guarantee.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Raisel Iglesias | 50% |
| Setup Role | Robert Suarez | 40% |
| Setup Role | Dylan Lee | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Tyler Kinley | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Aaron Bummer | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Dylan Dodd | <5% |
Raisel Iglesias – Iglesias had a rough first half in 2025 but bounced back nicely in the second half to finish with 29 saves and an overall great season (21.4% K-BB, 33.6% CSW). Iglesias made a big pitch mix change in the second half, throwing his fourseam 16.4% more, and honestly, it’s weird to me that this worked because it’s a fairly average fastball at best. It did hold a 33.6% CSW for the year, as I guess most hitters were just sitting offspeed against him. In fact, Iglesias gave up 9 hits, 6 of which were home runs, on just 95 sliders thrown last year, while the changeup was a little better, allowing 14 hits on 271 pitches, but 9 of those hits went for extra bases. Between his fastball and sinker (thrown 598 times), Iglesias allowed only 19 total hits, with just 5 being extra base hits.
Even the sinker held a ridiculous 39.6% CSW, mostly due to a 34.6% called strike rate. Again, it’s not a crazy moving sinker or one that he even locates at an elite level, but hitters just didn’t want to swing at it for some reason (everyone was just waiting on hanging sliders?). The changeup does remain his best pitch (26.2% SwStr, 52.6 O-Swing, 5.08 PLV), but it did get hit around last year, so I have to wonder “what happens if hitters just start being aggressive against his fastballs (which he threw 68.9% of the time in the second half) instead of waiting on his offspeed stuff?” Will Iglesias be able to adjust back?
His closer experience in Atlanta may give him the first shot at saves, but if Iglesias gets off to a rocky start again (it happened not only in 2025, but also in the first two months of 2024 as well), the team could quickly move to Suarez in the closer role. Keep in mind, even after bringing back Iglesias, Atlanta made an aggressive offer to sign Edwin Diaz (offering 5 years), who would be the closer right now had he chosen more years (Atlanta) over a higher AAV (Dodgers). While the team considers Iglesias their closer right now, they clearly don’t have the most faith in him to lock down the role, and neither do I.
Robert Suarez – Coming off a fantastic 2025 (2.98 SIERA, 21.9% K-BB), Suarez was able to cash in this offseason, as Atlanta was willing to give him 3 years and $45 million to eventually be the team’s closer. His bread and butter is still the four-seamer, which sat 98.6 MPH last year with 17.3″ of Induced Vertical Break (iVB), and for the first time in his career, he was able to locate it more than 50% of the time at the top of the zone. Suarez also doubled his changeup usage last year (which we had been begging for on In the Pen), and it led to what I’d consider the best season of his career. The changeups not the biggest swing and miss getter, but it just helps keep hitters from sitting on his fastball. Suarez also mixes in a power sinker to right-handed batters, with the pitch holding an impressive 44.6% O-Swing last year. The odds of Suarez taking over the closer role at some point during the season are quite high, so if you are drafting a reliever from this bullpen, I’d suggest waiting for Suarez while avoiding Iglesias.
Dylan Lee – Lee is Atlanta’s top left-handed reliever, and he almost got a shot at closing out games last year while Raisel Iglesias struggled. Lee was the team’s most consistent reliever, finishing with an impressive 2.85 SIERA, a 23.3% strikeout-minus-walk rate, and a 33.2% CSW rate. Lee’s slider is his best pitch amongst an impressive three-pitch mix, but the slider once again was a swing and miss machine (50% O-Swing, 28% SwStr), even with a 55% usage rate. The four-seamer has come a long way for Lee also, increasing his velocity from 92 MPH over the previous two seasons to 94 MPH last year. With the 18.7″ of iVB and 20.7″ of total break and a 60.2% Zone rate, the pitch grades out as one of the best four-seamers in the game (5.49 PLV). Could he do a better job locating it up in the zone, sure (43.9% hiLoc%), but the pieces are there for the pitch to have more success if he can just command it better. The changeup is also really good, and keeps right-handed batters at bay, but it still doesn’t compare to his slider.
Tyler Kinley – Kinley was much better after getting out of Colorado, posting 22.1% strikeout-minus-walk and 32.2% CSW rates in the second half, so it was surprising when the Braves declined his $4.75 million option. The team ultimately gave him $4.25 million to return (plus a team option for 2027), so I guess they made the right call there, and Kinley should be a big part of this high-leverage unit, especially while Jiménez is out. Kinley’s slider is awesome, and it makes sense that it’s his primary offering with a 64% usage rate. In fact, that usage went up to 74.2% once traded to Atlanta, dropping his fastball usage to 14%. The fastball is an issue, as it sits around 95 MPH and the pitch has neither the shape (5.6′ extension, 14.6″ Total Break, 0.3 HAVAA) nor the metrics (46% Zone, 22.5% CSW, 43.2% Str-ICR rates) you’d hope for. It’s really bad, and the less he throws it, the better. He also mixes in a curve as his two-strike chase pitch, mostly to lefties.
Aaron Bummer – Bummer had another mediocre year on the surface and, since moving to Atlanta two years ago, has just four holds over 109.2 IP. But there are still some things that make me not totally out on him yet, as his 3.39 SIERA (3.38 pCRA was top 20 amongst relievers), 31% CSW rate, and 111 Stuff+ still give some hope. One of the big concerns is that Bummer lost over 2 MPH on his fastballs last year, but the sinker was still effective (30.9% CS and 68.9% GB rates), and unless the velocity comes back, he may want to just ditch the four-seamer. He went heavy with the curveball usage last year (up 33%) with the sweeper usage coming down 24%, and neither one really stood out as being a plus pitch (the curve was better, but historically it’s been the sweeper).
Dylan Dodd – The third lefty in this bullpen should also not be forgotten, as Dodd managed a 0.94 WHIP, 3.16 SIERA, and 16.8% swinging strike rate over 35 innings pitched out of the bullpen last year. As a reliever, Dodd started throwing this 87 MPH cutter last year, his most used pitch at 54%, and it got great results with a 18.1% swinging strike rate. The four-seamer was also much more effective as he threw it up in the zone more often (54.5% hiLoc) and it wound up being one of the most effective fastballs in baseball (66.8% PLUS rate; CSW+Fouls+BIP outs/Total Pitches).
Joe Jiménez – Jiménez wound up missing all of 2025 following knee surgery, and won’t be ready for spring training this year as he had a follow-up surgery this offseason. He’ll be a big wild card for this bullpen, but if he comes back and looks like he did in 2024, then this bullpen could be looking like one of the best in all of baseball. EDIT: Recent reports seem to indicate his knee injury is a lot more serious than expected, and he may miss all of the 2025 season as well.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Ryan Helsley | 80% |
| Setup Role | Andrew Kittredge | 15% |
| Setup Role | Rico Garcia | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Dietrich Enns | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Keegan Akin | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Yennier Cano | <5% |
Ryan Helsley – Those drafting Helsley in 2026 will need to forget about what happened after last year’s trade deadline, as he struggled mightily with the Mets. He was still able to show that his pure stuff hasn’t completely disappeared, though (15.6% SwStr, 127 Stuff+), and I can see a path for him to bounce back in a big way this season. That starts with him fixing his pitch-tipping issues last year (which he seemed to have figured out over the last week of the 2025 season) and improving his fastball command. The high location on his fastball was down 8% last year (40%, just 13th percentile overall) while the low location on the pitch was in the 94th percentile (34.2%). His overall first pitch strike percentage was also down 8.4%, while his slider PutAway% fell 10%. If Helsley can fix the “tipping” issue, locate his fastball up in the zone, and get ahead of hitters more often, the slider should go back to being a PutAway pitch again, and we’ll get a bounce-back 2026 campaign.
Andrew Kittredge – After starting the year on the IL for the Orioles, Kittredge still wound up with 53 innings pitched and got progressively better as the season went along, especially after being dealt to the Cubs. His numbers might indicate he’d be a better closer option than Helsley (2.62 xFIP, 25.5% K-BB, 32.8% CSW), and I wouldn’t rule him out for that role if Helsley struggles early or misses time. Kittredge’s slider is an elite offering (5.50 PLV, 24.1% SwStr), and the sinker/four-seam combo (four-seam probably deserves more love) is good enough to set up that slider for success.
Dietrich Enns – Enns’ return stateside last year was mostly productive, especially after moving to Baltimore and becoming a full-time reliever. For the season, Enn’s finished with a respectable 3.42 xFIP, and also showed some bat missing potential with a 46.7% Z-O% rate. He and Akin will be the two lefties in this bullpen to open the year, but if we are looking solely at 2025, I’d give the edge to Enns in that battle. His four seamer (94 MPH, 17″ iVB and a very low spin rate) is a very solid primary offering, and his two secondaries (changeup and cutter/slider) are effective as well.
Keegan Akin – Akin finished as the de facto closer, but it was a down year for him overall (4.44 SIERA, 9.7% K-BB), and he’ll now contend with Dietrich Enns as the team’s top left-handed setup option. Akin’s arsenal is somewhat similar to Enns but not quite as sharp. The four-seamer should be better than it was last year; there were just a lot of misses in the middle of the zone.
Rico Garcia – Coming off an intriguing season (3.28 xFIP, 19.7% K-BB, 15.4% SwStr), Garcia’s fastball is loved by PLV (5.41) with its 19.3″ iVB. The secondaries are good enough to complement the four seam, and with no options remaining, Garcia should make the Opening Day roster, although his role is still to be determined.
Yennier Cano – It was a down year for Cano, who dealt with some bad luck, but that can happen when you don’t have big swing-and-miss numbers. I can still see him bouncing back as his three-pitch mix is more than good enough, but he’s still likely to be competing for a roster spot and won’t be guaranteed any high-leverage chances early in the season.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Aroldis Chapman | 85% |
| Setup Role | Garrett Whitlock | 10% |
| Setup Role | Justin Slaten | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Zack Kelly | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Greg Weissert | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Jovani Morán | <5% |
Aroldis Chapman – No one was expecting a career year at age 37, but Chapman was able to drop his walk rate by 8% last season while maintaining his 99+ MPH velocity. The command gains actually started for Chapman in 2024, as he was able to throw his four-seamer in the zone 56.2% of the time. Last year, he upped it to 57.3% while also improving the high location 14%, up to 48%. The pitch also gained .6 MPH and 1.3 inches of iVB (plus a career high spin rate). He was still throwing a two-seamer/sinker as well, which also added 1.4″ of iVB with Chapman throwing it at the top of the zone 60.4% of the time, again up nearly 14% from last season. The slider and splitter had some slight tweaks as well, as both had more horizontal break, as well as better command, and both were huge swing and miss offerings once again. There will undoubtedly be some negative regression this year, but as long as the velo is still there and the command gains stick (there’s no reason they shouldn’t), he’s still a top ten closer.
Garrett Whitlock – Whitlock had a fantastic bounce-back campaign as a full-time reliever again, especially in the second half (2.06 SIERA, 30% K-BB, 18.5% SwStr over final 32 IP) as he settled in. His “sinker” velocity was back up to 96 MPH out of the bullpen, and it plays up even more with his 7.3 feet of extension. The slider is still his primary offspeed pitch, and still effective (20.2% SwStr, 60% Str-ICR), but the changeup has always been my favorite Whitlock offering, as that’s what helps him be so dominant against lefties. He didn’t throw the sweeper a lot last year, but it’s still in his back pocket for when he’s facing tougher right-handed hitters. Whitlock should remain locked into a set-up role next year and remains a top ten non-closer holds option.
Justin Slaten – After the top two names, things get a bit dicey, but Slaten still showed he has plus bat-missing ability (15% SwStr) during his injury-plagued 2025. The fastball and cutter remained more or less the same; the command could have been tighter for both, but these weren’t the pitches that regressed last year. Slaten decided to go with his more 12-6 breaking curveball last year (8% to 18%) over his sweeper (25% to 11%), but I think the sweeper is better. The curveball tends to miss middle-up too often, whereas the sweeper, when he misses, it’s typically down. The curveball gives up much louder contact and gets less swing and miss, but I get why Slaten would want it to combat lefties as opposed to throwing his sweeper into lefties (maybe just go back to 2024’s usage?).
Zack Kelly – The Red Sox haven’t added any help to this bullpen, so between Weissert and Kelly, one of the two will likely be forced into high-leverage action, with Kelly having the overall “stuff” advantage (114 Stuff+, 5.18 PLV past two seasons). Kelly developed a cutter two years ago, and last year it took over as his primary offering, and why not? He can throw it for strikes at 91-92 MPH, and it has a solid movement profile. Kelly’s four-seamer is vulnerable when left middle-down, but he did a better job elevating the pitch last season (59% hiLoc). The sweeper was his top secondary offering last year, and while it took a step back in 2025, it’s still a plus pitch. The changeup used to be Kelly’s calling card, but he threw only 12% last year as he had trouble locating it. I’d love to see him regain that feel for his changeup again, but overall, I like the profile here for Kelly, who could finally get a chance to be a mainstay in this bullpen after years of shuffling back and forth between Boston and Worcester.
Greg Weissert – Weissert finished with great ratios in 2025 (2.82 ERA, 1.16 WHIP), but I’m a little concerned about his chances to repeat last year’s success. Given his arm angle, a heavy sinker/two-seam approach might seem to make more sense for Weissert, but he threw his four-seamer more often last year, and it was ultimately effective for him as he did a better job locating it. He isn’t throwing that big breaking sweeper as much as he used to anymore, which is good because while it may have had the most horizontal break in baseball, it was not effective at all. He instead opted to go with his harder slider last year as his main breaking ball, which is a good pitch and one he can throw for strikes more, but it’s still not much of a swing and miss offering (11.6%). He did rework a new curveball into the mix as well, which could perhaps be that swing-and-miss pitch he’s missing.
Jovani Morán – Morán only totalled 4 innings last year, but the lefty has a decent three pitch mix and put together a fantastic 2022 that had me hyped for him back in early 2023. Things haven’t worked out since, but if Morán is healthy and throws well this March, he has a fairly easy path to an opening day roster spot in this thin Red Sox bullpen.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Daniel Palencia | 65% |
| Setup Role | Phil Maton | 20% |
| Setup Role | Hunter Harvey | 10% |
| Middle Relief | Caleb Thielbar | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Jacob Webb | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Hoby Milner | <5% |
Daniel Palencia – Palencia was finally able to turn his nasty stuff into results last season (3.06 SIERA, 20.9% K-BB, 116 Stuff+) and eventually took over the closer role, tallying 22 saves. The biggest change for Palencia last year was just his ability to find the zone more often, with a 50.3% Zone rate as well as a 50.7% True First Strike rate (TF-Str%). That should help keep his walk rate under 10%, and the pure stuff is good enough to dominate from there. His four-seamer averaged 99.6 MPH last year with a -4 VAA, so Palencia sat at the top of the zone over 60% of the time with the pitch. He did allow five home runs on the pitch, four of which were in the lower half of the zone, though (the fifth was middle high to Cal Raleigh). He was also able to throw the slider consistently for strikes, although I wonder if it may have been just a little too much in the zone? The slider should be more of a chase/whiff-getter for Palencia. He missed time with a shoulder injury towards the end of the season, but he looked more or less like his normal self in October and should be in line to reclaim the closer role this spring.
Phil Maton – Maton had a major bounce-back campaign in 2025 (32.3% K, 34.8% CSW), and while he does not throw hard, he’s got a ton of funk in that arsenal due to his ability to spin the ball. He threw his curveball more than any other pitch last year (38%) with the pitch (like all of his pitches) being unique with 23″ of total break (97th percentile) thanks to a wild 3,180 rpm spin rate. With that type of profile it’s not surprising to see the pitch finish the year with a 23.6% swinging strike rate. His “cutter” is also unique as it’s basically his four-seamer that just has glove side break to it. Still, again the shape is incredible (12.4″ total break, 7.1′ extension, -4.4 VAA) and he does a great job locating it at the top of the zone (59.5%). The sweeper turned into something of a get-me-over offering early in counts (79.1% Early rate), with a 25% called strike rate and 52.2% Zone rate. I love this pitch mix, even if there is no elite velocity present, and would feel comfortable with him in a closer role if something happens with Palencia.
Hunter Harvey – Harvey was able to make it through 156.1 innings between 2022 and 2024, so there was some hope he was finally shedding that “injury-prone” label after being severely limited for his first 9 professional seasons. Alas, he only made it through 10.2 innings last year, dealing with a teres major muscle strain in April and then a right adductor strain in August. Harvey pitched well over the small sample, but his fastball velocity was down about 2 MPH, possibly injury-related, but it will be worth monitoring this spring. If he can get back to where he was in 2023, that’s a huge plus for the Cubs and someone that needs to be rostered in holds leagues, but until we see signs of that from Harvey, I’m going to be a bit skeptical.
Caleb Thielbar – Thielbar was a revelation for the Cubs last year, as the veteran lefty turned in the best season of his career with a 2.64 ERA (3.24 SIERA) and 0.88 WHIP. The strikeout rate did come down from where it was from 2021-2023, but he still finished with a 19.5% strikeout-minus-walk rate, and what he did do exceptionally well was limit hard contact (31.8% HardHit). Thielbar has one of those low velo, elite shape left handed fastball’s you’ll see mentioned in this article quite a few times. He sits around 93 MPH but gets 18.4″ of iVB on the pitch, and also held a 73.1% Strike rate with it. After that, he features three separate breakers, all at different velocities (the curve at 76, sweeper at 81, and slider at 88), which keep hitters even more off balance. He mostly throws the curve against righties and the sweeper against lefties, mixing the slider against either side. It’d be hard to post similar ratios going into his age 39 season, but I wouldn’t expect a return to his 2024 form, and we know he’s good for at least double-digit holds.
Jacob Webb – Webb was fairly consistent in 2025, but never really factored into high-leverage situations, and the Rangers ultimately decided he wasn’t worth the $1.5-2 million he would have received in arbitration. He improved over the second half (3.16 SIERA, 22.4% K-BB rate), did a great job limiting hard contact, and has three pitches that all grade out as above average. He’s been pretty consistent over the past three seasons despite pitching for five organizations since 2022, and while the BABIP could regress and bring his ratios down with him, I’d still expect Webb to be a solid middle relief arm who mixes in some wins and holds.
Hoby Milner – Milner had an OK 2025 season, but the two things that stand out about him are his 87.5 MPH velocity and his 6.7% swinging strike rate being the worst in baseball. Despite that, he still managed a 19.8% strikeout rate based on a high called strike rate (21.7%). That called strike rate is not a fluke either, as he’s actually averaged a 21.7% called strike rate throughout his career. He throws his sweeper as a strike getter (50.4% Zone, 26.7% called strike vs. 5.4% SwStr rate), trusting it earlier in counts (69.4% Early rate) vs. with two strikes (25.4% 2-Str rate), throwing the sinker and changeup more often with two strikes. All three pitches grade out positively, and the backwards approach seems to be working for Milner, so we could see double-digit holds again from him in 2026 as the Cubs secondary left-handed reliever.
Porter Hodge / Ben Brown – Hodge had a chance to take over the closer role early last season following Ryan Pressly’s struggles, but Hodge couldn’t get right himself and wound up in AAA for a large chunk of the year. He looked a little bit better in the second half, but it could still be an uphill climb for him to get back into high-leverage usage. It may be time for the Cubs to commit to Ben Brown as a full-time reliever, as he actually looked promising in the role last season. In 30.1 relief innings, Brown finished with a 2.86 xFIP, as well as 23.7% strikeout-minus-walk and 15.2% swinging strike rates. He’s a two-pitch pitcher after all. Both are projected to begin the season in AAA.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Seranthony Domínguez | 60% |
| Setup Role | Jordan Leasure | 20% |
| Setup Role | Grant Taylor | 10% |
| Middle Relief | Brandon Eisert | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Wikelman González | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Jordan Hicks | <5% |
Seranthony Domínguez – Seranthony has always flashed intriguing upside (30.3% K, 114 Stuff+), and while I’m not sure if the command is good enough for a full-time closer role, he’ll like get a shot in Chicago. He continues to throw his fastball at the bottom of the zone too much, although the four-seamer has been relatively effective despite this. He basically re-worked his slider to be more of a sweeper last season, which had mixed results as it did get a ton of swing and miss (49.5% Whiff rate) but also just a 31.8% Zone rate. Domínguez also added a splitter last year, which had a 24.7% swinging strike rate, but again, the command is a bit wonky at the moment. He also mixed in a lower velocity curveball about 5% of the time as a get-me-over breaker to combat lefties. It’s a deep five-pitch mix for a reliever, but he’ll need to take steps forward with his command to regain that 2018 or 2022 form when he was at his best.
Jordan Leasure – A popular sleeper in March of 2024, Leasure struggled mightily that season after breaking camp with the team, and well, he didn’t get off to the most dominant start in 2025 either. But he was awesome over the second half (2.68 SIERA, 28.3% K-BB% in the second half) and would have been the favorite for saves heading into 2026 (even with Grant Taylor looming), if the team didn’t sign Domínguez. Leasure’s four-seamer came back with 18.3″ of iVB this past year, up 1.5″ from 2024. He ditched the curveball and threw his slider more often, becoming a two-pitch pitcher in the second half. He doesn’t possess the same upside as Taylor, but he can still be a pretty good closer if given the opportunity to run with the job at some point in the season.
Grant Taylor – The big question with Taylor this offseason was whether or not he would move back to the rotation, as he was very impressive last season despite the rough ratios, finishing with a 2.54 xFIP and 34.4% strikeout rate. There’s still hope for Taylor as a starter in the long term, which may impact him taking over the closer role at some point this year, but the stuff certainly plays up out of the pen. The fastball sat at 98.7 MPH last year, and plays up with 7.4 feet of extension (1.3 HAVAA), but he could definitely improve his location (45.5% hiLoc). He throws his cutter at 95.3 MPH, 75% of the time middle-down in the zone, and between the cutter and fastball, he allows a lot of hard contact. The curveball had a 40% CSW rate and is likely his best pitch right now, that’s overtaken his slider as his primary breaking pitch. The pure stuff could easily put Taylor in the closer role right now, but the command needs improvement to help limit all that hard contact, and potentially lower his walk rate too.
Brandon Eisert – Eisert had a rocky 2025 with a 1.44 WHIP, but a 15% swinging strike rate as his slider and changeup (especially the changeup at 20.6%) were big swing and miss pitches. The slider is only about 4 MPH slower than his four-seam (is it more of a cutter?), and he had trouble commanding it where he wanted at times (too much middle), but it was also his strike-getter pitch, with a 52.4% Zone rate. The fastball is pretty questionable, as it averaged 89.7 MPH and it held just a 39.9% Zone rate last year, but given his plus extension (7.1′) and VAA (-3.9″) as well as Eiserts ability to locate up in the zone (66.6% hiLoc), the pitch actually fared pretty well last season (although xStats suggest it deserved much worse). Eisert feels like a solid left-handed reliever option at the moment, the best one in this White Sox bullpen, but is there a path for him to become a viable holds league option?
Jordan Hicks – Hicks made some starts early last year for the Giants, but ultimately shifted to the bullpen between his time in San Francisco and Boston, finishing with a 7.77 ERA, 1.95 WHIP, and 0.9% strikeout-minus-walk rate over 22 relief innings. That’s obviously terrible, there’s no sugar coating it, but given his contract situation, he should open the season in the Red White Sox bullpen. The stuff that earned him that contract is still present; he had a 111 Stuff+ as a reliever and was sitting 98 MPH, but he has a tendency to miss middle too often, and his secondaries just have never really caught up with his fastball/sinker. His best year was probably the second half of 2023 and 2019 (if we can combine them), the two times he averaged 100+ MPH, and he may need to get back there to find success again. Hicks now has 250 innings as an MLB reliever with a 4.07 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and 11% strikeout-minus-walk rate, so I’m not sure if we can expect some sort of breakout here without some big change (velo increase, new pitch, different usage, better shape, etc.).
Wikelman González – Another starter turned reliever, González finished with 28.7% strikeout and 30.7% CSW rates over his first 20.1 MLB innings. His four-seamer was very effective last year, and it was great to see González find the zone with it nearly 56% of the time. He’s by no means an iVB darling (13.3″), but he does get some arm side run on the pitch, and his plus extension (6.8″) and HAVAA (1.6″) help the pitch play up so González could afford to live up in the zone more if he wanted to. He backs up his fastball with a big breaking curveball that sits in the upper 70’s, and held a 45% Whiff rate last year despite the command being all over the place. He still has trouble commanding his changeup, but you can see the upside with the pitch based on the 47.8% Whiff rate and overall movement profile. If he can master his command (or just continue to improve it) theres a really, really good reliever profile here, maybe even a starter profile if the White Sox had interest in moving him back into the rotation at some point.
Alexander Alberto – Alberto was the last player taken in the MLB portion of this past December’s Rule 5 draft, and while he may be a long shot to make the White Sox roster, this guy is oozing with late-inning talent and feels ready to contribute. His 70-grade fastball sits 96-98 MPH but touches 101 at times, and actually has natural glove side movement to it. It will get hitters to chase out of the zone, but also give them issues hitting the pitch in the zone, and last year, he was able to improve his command drastically, with the fastball having a 56.1% zone rate. Given that he’s 6’8″ (getting almost 7″ of extension), everything comes in downhill, but he also has kind of a funky low three-quarters arm slot, so Alberto is better locating at the bottom of the zone and racking up groundballs (54.4%) for now when he isn’t missing bats. His 60 grade slider sits in the mid to high 80’s, which features more sweeping life than downward movement, and it plays well off the fastball. He finished 2025 with 15.7% swinging strike, 30.6% strikeout, and 10% walk rates (improvement!), and while he should be starting 2026 in AA, if he can show that his control improvements from last year are sticky, he should stick around the MLB bullpen and could surprise a lot of people. After all, teammate Jordan Hicks had a 21% K and 10% BB rate in 2017 between low-A and high-A (mostly low-A) and became an impact reliever for the Cardinals in 2018.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Emilio Pagán | 70% |
| Setup Role | Tony Santillan | 15% |
| Setup Role | Graham Ashcraft | 10% |
| Middle Relief | Connor Phillips | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Pierce Johnson | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Zach Maxwell | <5% |
Emilio Pagán – Pagán had his best season since 2019 last year (21.9% K-BB, 15.5% SwStr) and was essentially the Reds’ closer from start to finish. Pagan was able to add back the MPH he lost on his fastball in 2024, and also was able to improve his high location on the pitch by 10% to 55.5%. At 95.8 MPH with great shape (17.6″ iVB, 6.8′ extension, and a 2600 rpm spin rate), the four-seamer is a plus pitch for Pagán, and a pitch he can lean on in any count or situation. He also reworked his splitter last season, not only throwing it slightly more but changing the shape (less break, less spin), and it actually led to more chase (46% O-Swing). The cutter (really more of a slider) took a step back last year, but it’s been a mostly positive pitch for him in the past and is still a solid secondary offering to combat righties. Even if Pagán’s ratios regress to his ERA indicators (3.75 xFIP, 3.18 SIERA), he should be able to hang on to the closer role here all year long as long as the stuff remains intact.
Tony Santillan – Santillan had a great 2025 start to finish, but he really impressed enough over the second half (3.14 SIERA, 31.4% K, 30.4% CSW) that I think I might be OK with him as the Reds’ closer if Pagán were to stumble out of the gate. Santillan’s velocity was down a tick last year (96.2 MPH), and while the pitch doesn’t have the best shape, he was able to locate the pitch well enough (55.7% Zone and 59.3% hiLoc rates) for it to be highly effective. He added a curveball (slurve?) this year, and dropped his original slider usage 14%, but both breakers can be above average offerings for Santillan. Santillan’s upside is capped as long as his velocity remains at 96 MPH (or lower), but if he can regain some velocity from 2024 and miss some more bats (like he did in the second half again), then he may be able to continue being an elite setup option.
Graham Ashcraft – Ashcraft is the other veteran bullpen returner who could maybe make some noise in the closer race if it were to open up. He didn’t rack up a ton of strikeouts, and the ratios don’t look great, but he did finish with some solid numbers (3.29 xFIP, 122 Stuff+, 32.3% Hard-Hit%) that suggest his Clase-lite arsenal could make a bigger jump. The cutter, which sits at 97 MPH but can run up to 99 MPH, has a chance to be a dominant primary offering, but he’ll need to command it better (46.3% Zone rate) to get better results. The slider, on the other hand, did rack up a 22.4% swinging strike rate and is a plus, maybe plus-plus offering, one that should give Ashcraft a chance to improve his strikeout rates. Anthony Licciardi wrote about Ashcraft’s ability to determine his own luck recently, and again, it’s hard not to see some similarities to Emmanuel Clase here in that regard, as Ashcraft’s ability to limit hard contact is legit.
Connor Phillips – Phillips made the transition from starter to reliever last season and really showed out in the second half, where he held a 37.3% strikeout rate and a 37.1% CSW rate, along with an impressive 120 Stuff+. It’s a small sample, sure, but he’s definitely a name to keep an eye on this spring to see what kind of role he opens the year in. His four-seamer sat at 98.2 MPH and has solid shape/metrics, but he could definitely improve his command (48.9% Zone and 45.7% hiLoc are both just 29th percentile) with the pitch. The sweeper was his big swing and miss pitch, though (24.1% SwStr), and the duo (assuming his fastball command improves) could definitely be good enough to dominate the later innings.
Pierce Johnson – Johnson put together another solid season, and his bat-missing ability was still evident (24.8% K, 32.7% CSW rates). He may not have the same upside as the rest of this bullpen, but his veteran presence (and contract) should give him a chance to stick around all season. Johnson’s best pitch is his curveball, which he throws 72% of the time now, although it did allow 7 home runs last year. The four-seamer isn’t great, but it also hasn’t burned him too much as he only throws it 23% of the time and is at least able to locate it at the top of the zone (68.5%).
Brock Burke / Caleb Ferguson – Steady but low upside left-handed reliever options for the Reds bullpen, both are likely upgrades over Sam Moll, though (although Moll’s sweeper is really tough against lefties). Burke and Ferguson both had double-digit holds last year and will likely be in a position to do so again in Cincinnati.
Zach Maxwell – Maxwell made his well-anticipated debut in August and looked just as advertised as he finished with a 30.2% strikeout rate and a 16.4% swinging-strike rate over 10 MLB innings. There’s definitely closer upside here if he can ever shore up his command. The four-seamer averaged 99.6 MPH with 17.1″ of iVB and a -5.1 VAA, but it only found the zone 45.3% of the time, and with just a 30.1% high location (1st percentile bad). Maxwell also possesses a wicked cutter and a slider that should be a major whiff pitch for him, so again, there’s huge upside here as long as his command and control improve.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Cade Smith | 85% |
| Setup Role | Hunter Gaddis | 5% |
| Setup Role | Shawn Armstrong | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Erik Sabrowski | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Matt Festa | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Connor Brogdon | <5% |
Cade Smith – Smith followed up his 2024 breakout with another fantastic season in 2025 (2.32 SIERA, 28.3% K-BB), finishing the year in the closer role. It was actually a small step back from 2024 if we are nitpicking, but both seasons were incredibly consistent, all things considered. Smith’s fastball might look less than compared to the other top closers out there, but it plays up due to his 7.4″ of extension, and the threat of two plus secondaries in his splitter and sweeper certainly doesn’t hurt. I have some concerns about his workload over the past two seasons (162 appearances, 162.1 IP including postseason), but if he can remain healthy, he should be a top-10 closer option for 2026.
Hunter Gaddis – Gaddis leaned into his slider more last year, which led to more swing and miss (23.6% K, 16.4% SwStr rates). In fact, he’s upped his slider usage every season (32% to 45% to 54%), and why wouldn’t he, as it’s clearly his best offering. Despite his ratios taking a small step back, his estimators actually liked him more in 2025 than in 2024, which looks like an outlier season. We’ll take what he gave us in 2025, though (35 holds), and it looks like Gaddis has settled in as a solid, yet lower-upside set-up option.
Shawn Armstrong – Armstrong was the Rangers’ most consistent reliever this past season (3.36 SIERA, 19% K-BB), and wound up closing out games down the stretch, almost reaching double-digit saves. Armstrong incorporated his sweeper more often this past year (usage was up 17.7%), and despite not having a true dominant offering, he kept hitters off balance, mixing in all four pitches almost equally (between 23.5% and 29% usage for each). The Guardians signed the veteran to a $5.5 million contract in December, likely for him to pitch in some sort of setup/high-leverage role.
Erik Sabrowski – Sabrowski got a late start to the 2025 season, only finishing with 29.1 innings, but the big lefty flashed that tantalizing upside we saw in 2024 (34.7% K, 18.1% SwStr rates), and he should return as the Guardians’ top left-handed reliever. The fastball is just dominant here, and not because of the velocity. Sabrowski’s four seamer sits at a respectable 94 MPH, but he gets 19 inches of induced vertical break (iVB) and 21.5 inches of total break on the pitch with high spin rates (2,634 RPM). Now, if he could just locate it more consistently at the top of the zone, it should benefit his two breaking balls. The slider overtook the curve as Sabrowski’s top secondary last year (as it should have), although he still prefers the curveball against right-handed hitters. The slider finished 2025 with a 27.4% swinging strike rate (98th percentile) while the curve sat at 13.2% (61st percentile).
Matt Festa – Festa was a pleasant surprise down the stretch for the Guardians, especially considering the team had lost Emmanuel Clase, as Festa held a 2.95 xFIP and a 25.4% strikeout-minus-walk rate over the second half. Festa doesn’t throw hard (92 MPH average fastball velocity), but it has some funky shape (Phil Maton “cutter”-ish), and he locates it well. The sweeper is his swing and miss offering, although he’s able to locate it for strikes when needed as well. He should remain in a middle relief role to open 2026.
Tim Herrin – Following up 2024’s breakout campaign (1.92 ERA, 0.97 WHIP), Herrin took a step backward in 2025, finishing with a 4.85 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. The curveball can still be a weapon for him, but he needs to command it better, as his fastball can not be the only pitch he can locate in the zone consistently. The fastball is pretty bad and predictably gets hammered. The slider is probably the make-or-break offering here, as it is a pitch Herrin can throw for strikes AND get Whiffs with, but that being said, it was hit harder this past season, resulting in him using it 10% less. There’s still some bat missing ability here from the big lefty (30.5% CSW), but Sabrowski should still be seen as the team’s top left handed set up option until further notice.
Connor Brogdon – Brogdon’s velocity saw a boost last year after missing most of 2024 with plantar fasciitis. His 95.5 average fastball velocity was up almost three ticks from last year and was Brogdon’s highest mark since 2021. Plus horizontal break and extension make up for the lack of elite velocity and lower iVB on the pitch. Brogdon’s changeup is actually his primary offering and his highest swing-and-miss offering, as you might expect. I like the changeup (it gets a ton of break and has a 10 MPH velocity difference from the fastball), but so didn’t left-handed hitters somewhat surprisingly (.360 batting average against). The cutter is a third wrinkle and a solid offering, one perhaps he could throw more often (he rarely uses it against left-handed hitters despite having success with it against lefties).
Brogdon was able to secure an MLB deal despite his 5.55 ERA and 1.34 WHIP last season, as the under-the-hood metrics did seem more promising. He finished with a 48.7% Z-O%, and 14.4% swinging strike for the season, and finished the year strong with a 30.2% strikeout rate from July on (24.2 IP). He won’t open the year in a high-leverage role for the Guardians, but this could be one of the better bargain deals of the offseason (think Brad Keller 2025), so don’t be surprised if Brogdon winds up fantasy relevant over the second half of 2026.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Co-Closer | Seth Halvorsen | 30% |
| Co-Closer | Victor Vodnik | 25% |
| Setup Role | Juan Mejia | 10% |
| Middle Relief | Jimmy Herget | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Pierson Ohl | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Jaden Hill | 5% |
Seth Halvorsen – Halvorsen throws really hard and has swing-and-miss stuff (14.2% SwStr, 110 Stuff+), but he hasn’t been consistent enough to hold on to the closer role despite finishing with 11 saves last season. He may be better off throwing his two-seamer/sinker as his primary fastball, as his four-seamer almost has more iHB (10.6″) than iVB (11.9″), and he had a low location with the pitch almost 31% of the time. This did result in a 61% GB rate for his fastball, but also a hard hit rate of 54.3% and a .346 xwOBA. His heavier sinker approach in 2024 definitely seemed to work better for him. The splitter and slider are both solid or better, and can be big swing and miss offerings if Halvorsen can improve his fastball efficiency.
Victor Vodnik – Vodnik also throws hard and finished last season with 10 saves, but it came with just a 10.7% strikeout-minus-walk and 25.7% CSW rate. His fastball doesn’t move much, but at 99 MPH, it should be able to be effective, especially if he can locate at the top of the zone more consistently (44.6% hiLoc). The pitch held a 54% Hard-Hit rate last year and a .477 xSLG, so something needs to change. His changeup was his big swing and miss pitch last year (20.8% SwStr) with his slider being a big called strike offering (21.2% CS), but just like with Halvorsen, the fastball is going to need to be better for Vodnik to truly take off.
Juan Mejia – Mejia may actually have been the Rockies best reliever last season, as he finished with a respectable 26.1% strikeout rate and a 14.6% swinging-strike rate on the year. Mejia only throws two pitches, starting with a 96-97 MPH fastball that doesn’t move much despite a high spin rate. It was very effective last year, but the slider is clearly Mejia’s best pitch (-14.6″ iHB and 2827 rpm spin rate) and one that may even be more dominant with some better fastball command.
Jimmy Herget – Herget finished with the best ratios in this bullpen last year (2.48 ERA, 1.18 WHIP), and the team had even considered stretching him out to be a starter this year. He can definitely spin a breaking ball and has some deceptive funk with his low arm angle. His sinker survived last season, but he’s definitely a spin doctor with the two princes pitches that he trusts the most being his curveball and slider. The curve is the swing and miss offering with the slider being more of an early in the count strike getter, but both are effective, and I wonder if he could even up the usage rates on each one while throwing his fastballs less.
Pierson Ohl – Ohl could be a guy that rises in this bullpen if he can command his fastball better because his changeup is in double-plus territory. Ohl doesn’t throw hard (92 MPH), but that fastball gets nearly 18″ of iVB and 20.2″ of Total Break, but he did not locate it well (31.4% loLoc and just 37.2% hiLoc), which led to the pitch having a .362/.432/.588 expected slash line (xBA/xwOBA/xSLG). Funny enough, the changeup was responsible for all five home runs Ohl allowed last year, as hitters were clearly sitting on the pitch, hoping he’d hang one to them. He mixed in a curveball and cutter as well; neither was great, and while ideally he would develop a third pitch here, something that breaks preferably, I think he can make the fastball/changeup mix work with improved command of the two (especially the fastball). EDIT: Ohl was traded to Colorado, and while Coors is obviously a downgrade, there’s plenty of opportunity.
Jaden Hill – Another talented young reliever in this organization, Hill has a starter’s repertoire and has been mentioned as a potential future closer in the not-so-distant past. He throws hard, sitting in the upper 90’s with his fastball, but the secondaries are lagging behind at the moment. Hill’s one of the higher upside reliever arms in this organization, along with lefty Welinton Herrera.
RJ Petit – The first pick in the Rule 5 Draft, Petit is listed at 6’8″, 300 lbs (bigger than Félix Bautista) and can touch 98 MPH with his fastball, which generates more armside run than vertical break. His slider is his best secondary, and one he can throw in any count. As a fastball (sinker)/slider relief specialist, there’s some appeal in Petit, but dealing with the conditions in Colorado will be a tough mountain to climb.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Kenley Jansen | 50% |
| Setup Role | Kyle Finnegan | 25% |
| Setup Role | Will Vest | 15% |
| Middle Relief | Tyler Holton | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Brant Hurter | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Brenan Hanifee | <5% |
Kenley Jansen – Jansen still proved he could hang in this league as a closer (114 Stuff+), and he enters 2026 needing just 3 saves to surpass Lee Smith as third all-time and is just 24 saves away from 500. Just like it did for Mariano Rivera, Jansen’s cutter has carried him in the later stages of his career, and while the strikeout rates have declined over the past nine years (from 42.2% in 2017 to 24.4% in 2025), Jansen is still capable of giving you average or better ratio help and has had at least 25 saves every year since 2012 (excluding 2020). For someone who allows a ton of hard contact, especially in the air, the fit in Detroit is ideal for Jansen, and the only question that remains is what exactly his role will be?
Kyle Finnegan – Finnegan was much better in the second half last year after moving to Detroit (2.33 xFIP, 31.8% K), as the Tigers were able to unlock a side of Finnegan we had never seen just by upping his splitter usage 25%. The splitter is not exactly amazing either, but it beats throwing his four-seamer 70% of the time, which, despite relatively good shape on the pitch while sitting 96+ MPH, he doesn’t locate ideally (42% hiLoc%), which contributed to poor HardHit (42.9%) and average exit velocity marks (90.4%). Finnegan’s role in Detroit this season remains uncertain, but the consensus is that Jansen will be the primary closer, leaving Finnegan in an eighth-inning/next man up spot.
Will Vest – Vest was the Tigers’ most consistent reliever throughout the entirety of last season, finishing with a 3.03 xFIP and 18.7% strikeout-minus-walk rate, as well as a surprising 59% ground-ball rate as he featured his sinker more. Despite a four-seamer (still his primary despite the sinker usage increase) that could play up at the top of the zone, Vest only had a 43% high location on the pitch, which could be the reason behind the hard hit metrics being so high on the pitch. A.J. Hinch likes flexibility in his bullpen, so it’s possible Vest can still break double-digit saves, but I’d only be comfortable drafting in holds leagues for the time being.
Tyler Holton – Holton is a fine Swiss Army Knife left-handed reliever (3.57 xFIP), but from a fantasy standpoint, there really isn’t much to get excited about here. He has a six-pitch mix, led by his cutter and sinker (which, with a 5.62 PLV, ranks in the 99th percentile) that keeps hitters off balance, and the sinker command keeps his floor high. Despite the lack of strikeouts, he should be good for another 15 or so holds again this season with ratios that won’t hurt you.
Brant Hurter – Hurter functions as the secondary utility lefty, starting some games and can usually go more than one inning in an outing. He finished with respectable numbers last season (30.1% CSW%, 113 Stuff+, 3.43 pCRA), but the strikeout upside still feels capped, and he’s not a consistent holds option (just five last season).
Brenan Hanifee – Hanifee’s sinker/slider combo is good enough to get by, and his low walk rates (5.4%) and high groundball rates (57.8%) keep his floor rather high, but there’s next to no strikeout upside here (15.4% K, 6% SwStr).
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Josh Hader | 80% |
| Setup Role | Bryan Abreu | 10% |
| Setup Role | Bennett Sousa | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Steven Okert | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Bryan King | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Enyel De Los Santos | <5% |
Josh Hader – The big question with Hader heading into 2026 is how healthy is that left shoulder of his? He was his normal dominant self before hitting the IL (37% K, 22.3% SwStr rates), and as long as he is healthy in March (and it should be a normal spring for him), I’d expect him to be a top-five closer in baseball. Hader’s fastball (it registers as a sinker, it’s not really) is still elite, sitting 95-96 mph as he gets nearly 17.7″ iVB while locating it at the top of the zone 60% of the time. The slider has come a long way since his rookie season, and he upped the usage on it last year by 14% (is this related to his shoulder issue?), now mixing his sinker/slider at about a 55/40 usage rate. It doesn’t break a ton, but it certainly gets the job done (28.5% SwStr rate) and complements his fastball nicely. He did make an effort to make his changeup a thing last year as well, throwing 37 of them, with his 4.4% usage rate the highest it’s been since 2017 (his rookie year). It’s not great, but not particularly terrible either, so if he mixes it in now and then against a tough right-handed hitter, that should be fine.
Bryan Abreu – The Abreu/Hader combo is one of the best, most consistent duos in baseball when healthy, and Abreu was once again elite in 2025, finishing with 35.5% strikeout and 19.1% swinging-strike rates. The four-seamer isn’t exactly dominant despite 97+ MPH velocity, but the slider is, both at creating swing and miss (21.7%) and also his ability to get called strikes with it (19.1%). It’s truly a unique pitch with a ton of break (12.2″, 2918 rpm spin rate too). He should return as Hader’s top setup man before hitting free agency in 2027, where he should get plenty of interest to close out games.
Bennett Sousa – Sousa was one of three left-handed Astro relievers to break out in 2025 (22.1% K-BB, 19.5% SwStr), but he, like Hader, failed to finish the season healthy as Sousa finished the year on the IL with an elbow injury. Sousa upped his slider usage to 58% last year, which makes sense; it’s his best pitch. His four-seamer sat at 95 MPH, but he missed middle/down way too often with it. He got lucky with the pitch last year, and he’ll need to locate better moving forward.
Steven Okert – Okert also broke out in a big way (23.6% K-BB, 16.8% SwStr), but he only finished with ten holds. He has essentially the same pitch mix and usage as Sousa (Slider: 58%, Fastball: 42%), but his slider is a little bit better than Sousa’s, while the fastball is…not so much. The slider has always been a big swing and miss pitch for Okert (22% SwStr rate), but the fastball location last year definitely helped him take a step forward as he finished with career high 52.5% Zone and 58% high location rates.
Bryan King – The third lefty in this breakout group, King finished with 27 holds, a 3.03 SIERA, and a 21.1% strikeout-minus-walk rate, and should remain in some sort of setup role next season. King breaks the mold from the other two here, as he actually throws his four-seamer 62% of the time, with the sweeper coming in at just 27%. King’s fastball doesn’t have the best shape and sits at just 92 MPH, but thanks to 59.2% Zone and 58% high location rates, it was highly effective. The sweeper breaks a ton left to right, but surprisingly didn’t get a ton of Whiffs (25.2%) and instead was actually more of a called strike getter (17.6%).
Enyel De Los Santos – De Los Santos didn’t do anything last year to put himself on the map in holds leagues, but his 15.5% swinging strike rate proved he could still miss bats at a high rate. His fastball sat at a career high 96.2 MPH last year, but was vulnerable to hard contact and allowed five home runs (all located at the middle-bottom part of the zone). The slider and changeup were the swing and miss offerings, with the changeup in particular looking like a pitch De Los Santos may want to break out more this year.
Nate Pearson / Roddery Muñoz – There’s some fun upside in both Pearson and Muñoz (the rare Rule 5 draft pick with 93.2 MLB innings already). Pearson can still sit 98 MPH with his fastball, and the slider has flashed at times, but his command for both pitches remains a work in progress (way too much middle-middle). Muñoz can probably be an effective sinker/slider middle reliever, and maybe better if he too can shore up his control/command issues.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Carlos Estévez | 85% |
| Setup Role | Lucas Erceg | 10% |
| Setup Role | Matt Strahm | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Nick Mears | <5% |
| Middle Relief | John Schreiber | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Alex Lange | <5% |
Carlos Estévez – Estévez led the league in saves with 42 and finished with a 2.45 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. He also ranked 142nd in xFIP, 135th in SIERA, 120th in strikeout rate, 136th in swinging-strike rate, and 142nd in CSW amongst 147 qualified relievers. I talk about the bad in Estévez’s profile all the time, so let’s focus on the positives here. Estévez still managed a 1.06 WHIP, which is impressive no matter how much luck we factor in. His HardHit rate at 38.1% is on the above average side, and while he never gets ground balls, his outfield defense should be fine as long as Kyle Isbel remains in centerfield. His 53.7% Z-O% in the second half also wasn’t the worst; it’s actually close to league average. Estévez actually has a pretty OK fastball too; he can sit 96 MPH, and it has solid shape, but he just has trouble locating it at the top of the zone. The slider is OK as well, an average secondary is better and more useful than a poor secondary, right? The changeup ain’t great, but it’s just a third offering anyway. It’s not impossible for Estévez to find the same luck again this season, but that being said, I can’t endorse this (especially with Kauffman’s new dimensions), so draft at your own risk.
Lucas Erceg – Erceg took a step back in 2025 with his strikeout-minus-walk rate dropping 10.1% all the way to 12%, and he did see diminished velocity as well. After missing some time in May/June with a lower back strain, Erceg returned and averaged 97.4 MPH on his fastball, down 1.2 MPH from 2024. From that point on, Erceg compiled a 4.08 SIERA, 1.39 WHIP, and just a 9.4% strikeout-minus-walk rate. The four-seamer has never had great shape, but the velocity and ability to locate it at the top of the zone have helped it play up in the past. The sinker’s actually been the better fastball option for Erceg, as it gets plenty of weak contact (23.6% ICR). The slider (the pitch basically doesn’t break horizontally) and changeup are OK, but I actually think I like his sinker and changeup the best of his four pitches, and those are the two he throws the least. He’ll likely return in a setup role if healthy (finished the year on the IL with a shoulder impingement), but there’s also a potential starter profile here if the Royals were ever interested in exploring that.
Matt Strahm – Strahm wasn’t as dominant this past season as he had been the previous two with the Phillies, but overall, he was still solid in a setup role there. Strahm’s xERA almost matched his ERA (2.75 xERA, 2.74 ERA), but his other ERA estimators were not as bullish (4.22 xFIP, 3.60 SIERA). After posting a 28.7% strikeout-minus-walk in 2024, that number came all the way down to 19.5% this past season, which is a respectable number, but I think it shows that we are starting to see Strahm’s stuff slip a little bit. The fastball lost a MPH this past year, and now is down almost 2 ticks from 2022, but it’s still a good offering, one that gets a lot of ride and pretty good rise as well. Strahm threw his slider a career high 31.4% last year, up 12.5% from 2024, and you’d think that would have led to better strikeout and whiff rates, but the slider has never been a huge swing-and-miss pitch for him. Even with the declining stuff, Strahm should be fairly safe in Kansas City now and get plenty of hold opportunities as the team’s top left-handed reliever.
Nick Mears – Despite a sub-one WHIP on the season, I’d qualify Mears’ 2025 as a disappointment as the strikeouts disappeared as he lost some velocity last year. The velocity did come back a little bit in the second half (96.1 MPH, up from 95 MPH in the first half), but was still lower than where he was sitting in 2024 (96.7 MPH). The swinging strike rate did make a comeback in the second half (15%) with that increase in velocity, so perhaps we see an increase in his strikeout rate in 2026. The fastball is a good pitch, even with the lower velocity, as it has great shape (17.5″ iVB) and Mears did a better job locating it at the top of the zone last year. The slider is the big bat missing pitch here, a pitch he threw almost 20% more last season as he scaled back his curveball to throw his slider more (which was smart). The slider held a 48.4% chase rate and 38.5% CSW on the year, both top 10 percent amongst sliders. I think a 50/50 pitch mix with the fastball/slider, while maybe throwing the slider off the plate a little bit more (Zone rate went from 38% to 48% in 2025), could be the ticket to sustained success for Mears here. Now in Kansas City, the path to potential saves gets a lot easier, as he may just need a poor start from Estévez to get a chance.
John Schreiber – Schreiber’s profile at this point is pretty basic, but his second season in Kansas City was better than his first. He located his four-seam better last year, locating it up in the zone more often, which led to a 10.8% swinging strike increase with the pitch. It almost switched roles with his sweeper, which became an early strike getter and held just a 17.2% Whiff rate. It’s an interesting change to his approach, and however he goes about attacking hitters, Schreiber’s 22+ holds in three of the past four seasons have him at least on the radar in holds leagues.
Alex Lange – Lange only appeared in one MLB game last year, but he still showed he has swing-and-miss stuff at the AAA level, and he should be in line for a bullpen spot in Kansas City. Can he get back to 2022 Lange territory again? If so, I’ll definitely be in on his comeback story.
Steven Cruz – Cruz has a big frame and features plus stuff (119 Stuff+), but I’d like to see some more swing and miss from him, especially if his walk rate is going to hover around 10%.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Co-Closer | Robert Stephenson | 35% |
| Co-Closer | Kirby Yates | 25% |
| Setup Role | Jordan Romano | 20% |
| Middle Relief | Drew Pomeranz | 10% |
| Middle Relief | Ryan Zeferjahn | 5% |
| Middle Relief | José Fermin | <5% |
Robert Stephenson – Stephenson has only been able to throw 10 innings over the past two seasons since signing with the Angels. He had issues staying healthy once again last year, but when he was on the mound, he did (at times) show the upside he brings and why the Angels gave him $33 million after the 2023 season. In his first game back last year, Stephenson was sitting 98.2 MPH with his fastball, and struck out two in a clean inning, which had me all sorts of excited. Unfortunately, he immediately went right back on the IL, and we didn’t see him again until the end of August. In his first 6 games back, he sat 96 MPH with his fastball (6 H, 1 K, 2 BB), but over his final three outings, he was at 97 MPH (1 H, 6 K, 0 BB), and while he finished the season on the IL once again with elbow inflammation, there’s still some hope he can build off those final three outings.
Kirby Yates – Yates was not exactly useful to the Dodgers’ bullpen this past season, but he was still able to miss bats at a high rate (29.1% K, 18.2% SwStr), and he has plenty of closer experience (98 career saves) working in his favor. One noticeable change with Yates last year was his arm angle, which was the lowest it has been since 2022 (19″). In 2023 and 2024, he was at 22″. His fastball and splitter each lost an inch in total break as a result, and he got less chase than the previous year. I’m not sure if “fixing” the arm angle is all Yates needs to bounce back, and it could be tough for him to even do that at his age (the lower arm angle could be a result of fatigue for someone soon to be 39 years old). Either way, there’s still some intrigue, giving the fastball/splitter ability to miss bats as well as the closer experience, but I’m not sure he’s the best man for the closer job here if everyone is healthy.
Jordan Romano – Speaking of closer experience, the Angels also added Jordan Romano (113 career saves), who had a terrible (and unlucky) 2025, but he did show some spurts of dominance in May and ultimately proved he could still miss bats at an above-average level (25.1% K, 31.2% CSW) at least. Romano’s slider is still a good offering; it’s a unique pitch with a super low spin rate (1982 rpm), but it’s a fine enough secondary for a potential closer. The fastball is definitely an issue, as we’ve seen his velocity go from 97.6 MPH in 2021, steadily decline year after year, to 95.5 MPH in 2025. Romano gets elite extension (7.5) and solid iVB (16.5), but he’s not able to command it consistently (only a 46.5% Zone rate) with a lot of misses in the middle of the plate as well as outside the zone. If he can improve the fastball, one way or another, and stay healthy, Romano could see saves at some point in the year.
Drew Pomeranz – After not pitching for four years, Pomeranz shocked everyone with how effective he was last season at age 36, finishing with a very respectable 3.13 SIERA, and 20.7% strikeout-minus-walk rate over 49.2 innings with the Cubs. He doesn’t throw hard (sits 92.7 MPH on fastball), but the pitch generates great spin rates (2,633 rpm) with above-average iVB (16.7″), and Pomeranz can locate at the top of the zone over 55% of the time. He flashes the curve to keep hitters honest, but the fastball remains Pomeranz bread and butter. There’s a non-zero chance Pomeranz sees early save chances in what could be a deep bullpen for the Angels, just one that doesn’t necessarily have a true closer to open the season.
Ryan Zeferjahn – Zeferjahn had a roller coaster 2025 campaign, but the upside is apparent (28.4% K, 121 Stuff), and he may actually be the most dependable option in this bullpen for 2026. Similar to Romano, the four-seamer is not great, so either Zeferjahn needs to throw it less or improve the shape (or at 97.5 MPH, just spam it at the top of the zone 15-20% of the time?). The sweeper, cutter, and slider are all pretty fun, though, and I’d like to see him throw them more often moving forward (I actually think his four pitch mix could lead him back to starting again down the road, but that’s a story for another day). Let’s hope for more consistency from Zeferjahn this year (he was awesome in April and August in 2025, not so great in the other months), but there are certainly pieces here to be excited about, especially given his track record of health.
José Fermin – Fermin has big-time stuff (97 MPH fastball, 19.2% SwStr rate slider) and missed bats at a good clip (25.7% K, 32.1% CSW), but his command/control needs a lot of work still. The 15.1% walk rate feels a bit misleading since Fermin’s fastball actually holds a 56.6% zone rate, but while he can throw the pitch in the zone, he could still do a better job living at the top of it. The slider only has a 40.3% Zone rate, which is low, but for a slider (or any secondary), it’s not exactly terrible (34th percentile), but again, he could definitely do a better job living at the bottom of the zone with the pitch. The command needs work, but the stuff is here for Fermin to be the potential long-term closer for the Angels, and he’s been able to throw 120 innings the past two seasons, which may end up being the most important metric in this bullpen currently.
Ben Joyce – Joyce was limited to 4.1 IP last year as his season ended early with a shoulder injury. He was able to throw 53.2 innings in 2024, but the injury-prone label isn’t going away for the hard-throwing righty. Sure, he has closer stuff, but can the organization rely on him to be available for the bulk of a season? (Joyce is projected to begin the year on the IL)
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Edwin Díaz | 85% |
| Setup Role | Tanner Scott | 10% |
| Setup Role | Blake Treinen | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Alex Vesia | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Brusdar Graterol | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Jack Dreyer | <5% |
Edwin Díaz – The save totals were down last year, but Díaz was still a no-doubt top-tier closer (2.18 SIERA. 38% K). Díaz’s four-seam acts more like a two-seamer with more horizontal break than vertical break, but all in all, the velocity (97.2 MPH), extension (7.2′), approach angle (-3.6 VAA, 1.9 HAVAA), and location (58.3% hiLoc%) led the pitch to have an elite 39.1% Whiff rate and just a .133 batting average against. PLV is technically down on the pitch, given it’s 48.5% Zone rate, but it’s nothing to be worried about, as Díaz has actually never held a zone rate on his fastball above 50% in his career (and he’s had a pretty good career). Similar things can be said for his slider, which we can all agree on is, in fact, a plus pitch. There’s a chance Scott steals some saves, and Dodgeritis is always in play here, but there’s not much to really be concerned about. I’m not sure anyone can match the upside Mason Miller provides, but Díaz might be the best mix of safety and upside as far as closers go this draft season.
Tanner Scott – It was a tumultuous first season in LA for Scott, although he was able to finish with a career best 23 saves, so there’s that. The 4.74 ERA doesn’t tell the whole story, and it’s apparent Scott’s stuff is still present as he finished with a 16.5% swinging-strike rate, as well as a 117 Stuff+ and 5.34 PLV. The four-seamer can be awesome, as he sits 96.5 MPH with it with 1.9 HAVAA (2,550 spin rate), but he does have trouble locating it up in the zone, which can partially explain the 9 home runs he allowed on the pitch last year. After allowing just 6 home runs total over 150 innings in 2023 and 2024, Scott gave up a career high 11 last season, a number we can confidently predict won’t be matched or bested in 2026. The slider is still really good (42.5% O-Swing) and works well off the fastball, especially when he’s commanding his fastball well. He may have lost out on the closer role, but I still see Scott as one of the top holds league options for 2026 now in his second season in LA, with less pressure on him to finish games.
Blake Treinen – Treinen struggled mightily in the second half, especially from September through the end of the postseason, where over his final 13 innings, he allowed 14 earned runs (9.69 ERA) on 19 hits and 12 walks (2.39 WHIP) while striking out only 11. Overall, he showed that his nasty stuff is still in the tank (27.9% K, 113 Stuff+), but there’s also a chance the way he ended the year could mark the beginning of the end for the 37-year-old. Dave Roberts does love himself some Treinen in high-leverage spots though, so we can probably expect him to open the year in a setup role, especially as he’ll be surrounded by a bunch of left-handed options in that high-leverage pecking order.
Alex Vesia – I’m of the belief that Vesia has the stuff to be a closer in this league (2.84 SIERA, 33.8% K, 119 Stuff+, 5.25 PLV), but he will need to wait til he’s a free agent after the season to get that chance. His fastball is one of the best amongst left-handed relievers, and it’s not because of some elite velocity, as he only averages 92.7 MPH. The pitch has a ridiculous 20.3″ iVB (100th percentile), with a -4.1 vertical approach angle and 2,467 rpm spin rate. On top of that, Vesia does a great job locating at the top of the zone (66.7% hiLoc%), which leads to above-average swing and miss numbers on the pitch. The slider continues to improve as well, and he was able to up his Zone rate on the pitch to 47% last year, a big reason why we saw a drop in Vesia’s walk rate. He doesn’t have a ton of faith in his changeup yet, but just like with the slider, he was able to improve his control with it and throw it for strikes more often than not. The offspeed command could still be better, but that’s mostly nitpicking, as Vesia should remain one of the best hold league options again in 2026.
Jack Dreyer – Dreyer is at best the third lefty in the pecking order here, but he is coming off a solid rookie campaign in which he was arguably the team’s most consistent left-hand bullpen option. Dreyer’s fastball is essentially a slightly worse version of Vesia’s (92.7 MPH, 18.8″ iVB), but Dreyer does not command his like Vesia can (49.5% hiLoc, 10.6% middle/middle location). The slider and curveball are fine, and should play up even more if Dreyer can command his fastball up in the zone more. Dreyer still has options, so he could start the season in AAA, but after last year’s performance, Dreyer deserves to be on the opening day roster.
Brusdar Graterol / Brock Stewart – Graterol has totaled just 18 innings since the start of 2024, but there’s a chance the hard-throwing sinkerballer (bowling-baller is more apt) will be ready for spring training. Stewart is another Dodger pitcher (albeit new) who struggles with health issues, but when he is on the mound, he is a steady setup option (19.5% K-BB, 16.1% SwStr, 113 Stuff+). He is coming off shoulder surgery in September, but there’s hope he can be available around midseason.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Pete Fairbanks | 80% |
| Setup Role | Calvin Faucher | 10% |
| Setup Role | Anthony Bender | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Lake Bachar | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Tyler Phillips | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Andrew Nardi | <5% |
Pete Fairbanks – Fairbanks looked fairly mediocre in the first half of 2025 but finished the year strong with a 2.56 SIERA and 27% strikeout-minus-walk rate over the second half. Most importantly, he made it through the year healthy, finally. The reason for that second-half resurgence comes from the introduction of a new cutter that he started throwing about 13% of the time. The metrics aren’t exactly off the charts on the pitch, and it may be because hitters just weren’t aware he had the pitch in his bag, but the pitch dominated down the stretch (66.7% O-Swing, 26.2% SwStr, 11.1% ICR, 0 hits allowed). It’s obviously a really small sample (just 42 pitches thrown), but it’s at least a promising development for a reliever that was trending the wrong way earlier in the season. The changeup has been another pleasant addition, and the slider is still great. IF he can get some velocity back and/or keep that four-seam at the top of the zone more than 50% of the time (he did improve this by 15% last year), we may be back in elite closer territory. For now, at least, he moves south to Miami, where he should be locked into the team’s closer role for 2026.
Calvin Faucher – Faucher’s stuff (108 Stuff+) is better than what the results show (13.7% K-BB, 8.6% SwStr rates), perhaps in part due to an unnecessarily deep pitch mix. His primary offering, the cutter, is his best pitch and should remain the top offering. I would even say he should throw it more often. The sweeper is another plus pitch, and the curveball can be a fine wrinkle against lefties. The problem is the four-seam and sinker, which he throws nearly 30% of the time, are problems, and I wonder if he just should lean into that cutter as his “fastball”.
Anthony Bender – Bender did flash some bat missing ability last year with a 32.3% CSW, but that came with just an 8.6% swinging-strike rate due to a whopping 23.7% called-strike rate. He finished the year on the IL, but there’s still an intriguing arsenal (115 Stuff+) here if he can stay healthy. The sweeper remains a plus-plus offering, and the sinker moves a ton (19.7% iHB) at 96.5 MPH, which helps keep hitters off balance and induce groundballs.
Lake Bachar – Bachar proved he belongs at the MLB level last season, as he showed solid bat missing ability (25.3% K, 31.7% CSW) and finished with eight wins, six holds, and three saves as he was somewhat of a utility man in this bullpen. Bachar’s fastball/sweeper combo could very well be good enough to close out games, with the four-seamer sitting at 95 MPH but featuring elite spin rates (2716) and break (17.9″ iVB, 20.6″ Total Break).
Tyler Phillips – Phillips was part of this closer committee last year, chipping in four saves and performing pretty well, albeit with just a 16.6% strikeout rate. The stuff grades out much better than the strikeout rate suggests, though. His sinker at 95.5 MPH generates a ton of groundballs (77.7%), and his pair of breakers (sweeper and curveball) both grade out well, and complement one another nicely despite having the same velocity. The curve is mostly for right-handed hitters, and the sweeper for lefties. And Phillips will also mix in a splitter against lefties instead of his sinker. It’s a deep, interesting mix, one that makes you wonder how it would play out in the rotation long term, but for now, Phillips is likely to remain in a middle relief role.
Andrew Nardi – The Nard Dog (I’m assuming that’s his nickname) missed all of 2025 with a back injury, but the hope is that he should be ready to go this spring. In 2024, Nardi held 33.3% strikeout and 16.3% swinging strike rates along with a 5.40 PLV, good for second amongst all relievers. Nardi’s four-seamer has pretty good shape to it (6.8 extension, 16.3″ iVB), and he does a great job locating at the top of the zone (67.5% hiLoc%). His slider is the elite offering here, though, as it gets a ton of break as well as swing and miss. I’d like to see more of a 50/50 pitch mix with the two next year, but either way, Nardi needs to be on your radar in holds leagues once again, assuming he is healthy in March.
Ronny Henriquez – Henriquez had the best stuff (110 Stuff+) and metrics (2.84 SIERA, 23.4% K-BB, 17.7% SwStr) in this bullpen last season, but the team never gave him a shot to take the closer role and run with it. Unfortunately, now he will miss the entire 2026 season after undergoing UCL surgery, but it sounds like he should be ready for spring training in 2027, so don’t forget about him in your deeper dynasty leagues.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Trevor Megill | 60% |
| Setup Role | Abner Uribe | 30% |
| Setup Role | Jared Koenig | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Aaron Ashby | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Angel Zerpa | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Grant Anderson | <5% |
Trevor Megill – Megill was able to crack 30 saves without breaking 50 innings on the season, and was dominant in doing so (31.3% K, 33.7% CSW, 128 Stuff+, 5.48 PLV), but we’ve yet to see him stay healthy for a full season. Even with the unconventional postseason usage, I think Megill should be given the first chance at closing out games this year, but Uribe will be there to push him or take over if he misses time (or is traded). His fastball/curveball combo is one of the best in baseball (the best if you ask PLV), but I’d like to see Megill locate his fastball a bit better (42% hiLoc) to fully take advantage of his electric stuff.
Abner Uribe – Uribe posted very similar numbers to Megill (30.2% K, 33.5% CSW, 117 Stuff+) and can also touch triple digits, but the big reason for his 2025 breakout was the command. Getting under 10% with his walk rate was a huge deal, and he finished with almost 30 more innings than Megill, which led to a better season, counting stat-wise. The slider in particular took a step forward, as Uribe has been able to improve the pitches zone rate by 11% each season since debuting in 2023. Uribe topped 80 innings last year, which is way more than his previous high of 53.2 innings in 2023. He only managed 23 innings in 2024, and before 2023, he totaled just 65 innings between 2018 and 2022, so let’s hope there are no ill effects of this year’s big workload this season for Uribe.
Aaron Ashby – Ashby was mostly good in a full-time relief role last year (the postseason was weird, alright) and showed why he’s been hyped up in the past (123 Stuff+, 2.92 xFIP). If the velocity doesn’t dip too much (97.5 MPH!), I’d still want to see Ashby get a chance to start games, but if he winds up back in the bullpen again, which seems most likely, he could have value in a lot of leagues given his multi-inning relief potential.
Jared Koenig – With Ashby working multiple innings and earlier in games, Koenig was the team’s trusted lefty late in games as he finished with 27 holds and had his best MLB season to date overall (3.36 SIERA, 17.9% K-BB, 30.8% CSW). He should be a near lock for the same role this season, even with all the left-handed competition. His sinker-heavy approach may limit his strikeout rates, but he’s been consistent the past two seasons at limiting hard contact.
Angel Zerpa – Zerpa is an interesting case, as the Brewers clearly see something in him that the Royals did not. Zerpa held an elite 63% groundball rate last year, and both Stuff+ (117) and PLV (5.19) love his arsenal. But his arsenal only led to a 7.1% swinging strike rate, which is extremely low even for a sinkerballer. His sinker/slider combo works well for him as a reliever, but I see why the Brewers have some interest in Zerpa as a starter, as his four-seam and changeup aren’t terrible either. Zerpa does give up a lot of hard contact, and combined with his ground ball rate, it tends to lead to a lot of traffic on the bases. But it’s hard to find lefties who can sit 97 MPH with their sinker, so I can see why the Brewers were aggressive in acquiring Zerpa this offseason.
Grant Anderson – Anderson is probably a pretty safe bet to make the opening day roster as he looks like the teams third best right handed relief option (unless Craig Yoho impresses this spring). He’s basically average-ish across the board, has four solid pitches in his arsenal, and has some funk with a low sidearm delivery (his “four-seamer” even had a 19.8% SwStr rate).
DL Hall / Rob Zastryzny – Hall did a good job limiting hard contact last year (28.8% HardHit), but outside of that, it was a season to forget (4.89 SIERA, 6.5% K-BB, 25% CSW), and I’d imagine he is firmly on the roster bubble this spring. Despite going into his age 34 season, Zastryzny only has 89 MLB innings to his name, but he looked really good in his 22 IP last season. Hall has one option remaining (as does Zerpa), so if one of the five lefties starts the year in AAA, it’s likely Hall (maybe Zerpa, especially if they want to stretch him out into a SP).
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Co-Closer | Taylor Rogers | 30% |
| Co-Closer | Cole Sands | 20% |
| Setup Role | Justin Topa | 10% |
| Middle Relief | Anthony Banda | 10% |
| Middle Relief | Eric Orze | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Kody Funderburk | 5% |
Taylor Rogers – Rogers spent last year between the Reds and Cubs, and while he’s still a called strike merchant, the strikeout numbers have tumbled, and last years 13.6% strikeout-minus-walk rate was his worst since 2017. The sinker has lost velocity every year going back to 2021 (when it was 95.7 MPH) and is now down to 92.7 MPH, and is very vulnerable when not located well. The sweeper, however, remains a plus pitch for Rogers, and a pitch Rogers may need to rely on more than 50% of the time moving forward. He signed with the Twins for only $2 million this winter, but he not only brings closer experience to this inexperienced bullpen, but also closer experience with the Twins as he saved 48 games for them between 2019 and 2021. That probably makes him the favorite for saves for now, but if you’d prefer to chase pure stuff, there are better options here.
Cole Sands – Sands wasn’t impressive over the first half of last season, but he turned things around in the second half (3.40 SIERA, 17.8% K-BB) before eventually fizzling out down the stretch. Sands is still operating with a starter’s pitch mix with five different pitches, with his cutter and splitter grading out the highest, but the four-seamer could do better with improved command. His get-me-over curveball is fine as the fourth offering, and the sinker may actually be the better of the two fastballs Sands throws, but he still prefers the four-seam for now. Of the options in this bullpen currently, I’d take Sands’ stuff as the best option to close out games, but Rogers experience probably gives him the early edge.
Justin Topa – Topa was fine in 2025, but he shouldn’t be in the mix to close for a good team. That said, given the current options on the roster, he does figure to be in the mix with Sands and Rogers at least. His sinker at 94 MPH does get a ton of arm side run and produced a 61.3% groundball rate last year, but the pitch does get hit around (.316 xBA). The sweeper is his bat misser, but that was mostly from called strikes last year (24% CS rate) as opposed to swinging strikes (13.2%). The cutter (with almost no iHB) and changeup also factor in, and maybe just having this four pitch mix, and feeling comfortable throwing any one of the pitches 15% of the time or more, is just enough to keep hitters off balance. The low walk rate will keep his floor steady, but what is the ultimate ceiling here for Topa?
Kody Funderburk – Funderburk has teased upside from the left side in the past, but hasn’t been consistent since debuting in 2023. He finished last year well, though (3.69 xFIP, 30.7% CSW in second half), and there’s plenty of opportunity in this pen. The deep arsenal (five pitches) grades out mostly average/slightly above average, but he can throw them all for strikes outside of the sweeper, which is his swing and miss offering (38.6% Whiff rate). Funderburk is a fine middle relief lefty, but not someone who should really be in the mix to close out games (unless there are three lefties due up in the ninth maybe).
Eric Orze – Orze has an interesting profile and, in a shallow bullpen, could definitely work his way into some save opportunities early in the season. His primary offering is a split-change he throws nearly 50% of the time. It’s a good bat misser, and unlike most splitters, one he is able to keep in the zone almost 50% of the time (not sure if this is really a good thing, you DO NOT want to leave a splitter up in the zone). He threw his slider (more like a cutter at 89 MPH with 5.1 iVB) more often than his fastball last year (up 16% from 2024), and that did not work out so well (.603 xSLG, .412 xwOBA) as he allowed four home runs on the pitch while striking out just three. He treats it like a cutter, throwing it up in the zone often, but there clearly needs to be a tweak to the shape or location here to see better results. The four-seam doesn’t have great shape, but he located it well last year (67% hiLoc), which at 94 MPH and as a secondary offering helped generate great results on the pitch (28% ICR, .214 xBA).
Anthony Banda – Banda boasts a plus fastball, but it is very different from (now) former teammate Alex Vesia in that his sits 96 MPH, but the iVB and Spin are below average. However, they both have similar approach angles (-4.2 VAA, 1.1 HAVAA) and also, like Vesia, Banda lives at the top of the zone (66.5% hiLoc). Despite this, Banda threw his four seamer 12% less in 2025, upping his slider usage by 21%. The slider didn’t have the same success with the higher usage, and personally, I’d rather see Banda go back to his 2024 pitch mix this upcoming season.
Travis Adams / Connor Prielipp – Adams will probably wind up in more of a long relief role given his deep arsenal, with no pitch or pitches sticking out in particular. Right now, Prielipp is penciled in as the team’s second lefty in the bullpen, although he has only started in the minors up until this point. He does have a great slider, and the fastball and changeup aren’t too shabby as well, so he probably deserves a chance to start, but this organization does have a lot of starting pitching depth at the moment. EDIT: With the additions of Rogers, Banda, and Andrew Chafin, Prielipp will likely remain a starter, at least in the first half of 2026.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Devin Williams | 80% |
| Setup Role | Luke Weaver | 10% |
| Setup Role | A.J. Minter | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Brooks Raley | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Luis García Jr. | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Tobias Myers | <5% |
Devin Williams – Williams had a few bad stretches in what was mostly a good season. In fact, he finished with a 3.58 ERA (2.09 SIERA), 0.93 WHIP, 38.3% K, 20.7% SwStr, and 117 Stuff+ over his final 50.1 innings from May 5th onward. The ERA is still high there, but it’s a result of some really bad luck, and nothing to do with Williams stuff declining or anything to worry about for this season. Everything under the hood matches what Williams was doing the previous five seasons, so as long as he doesn’t remain incredibly unlucky, he should be back to his normal self in 2026. I also love the fact that he signed in New York after all the discussion about him not being able to handle the pressure there. It seems like he’s motivated to prove the haters wrong and go back to being one of the top five closers in baseball again.
Luke Weaver – Weaver is also making the move from the Bronx to Queens this year, and while he too failed to match his 2024 success, I think he should settle in nicely as Williams’ top setup man this go around. Weaver took a small step back in 2025, but he still managed a near 20% strikeout-minus-walk rate, and maybe going back to his 2024 pitch mix could help him out. He upped his four-seam usage last year (11%) while dropping his cutter usage (13%), and while I like the four-seamer, the cutter was awesome for him in 2024. It did get hit around more last year, but he also changed where he was throwing it (hiLoc was down 30%, loLoc up 34.3%). Even with his four-seamer, the high location dropped almost 10% last year to 44.7%. If he can locate those pitches up in the zone again, hopefully making the cutter the weapon it was in 2024 in the process, then Weaver could jump back into elite setup man territory again.
A.J. Minter – Minter only managed 11 innings before missing the remainder of last season, but he looked great in those innings, and if he can return to full strength following a torn lat, he should be in a good position to at least grab a setup role. The cutter saw an increased usage last year, going from 34.5% to 47.6%, and acting as his primary offering. It’s probably his best pitch, at least it’s his best bat-missing pitch. The four-seam velocity has dwindle the past couple of seasons (96.6 in 2022, 95.8 in 2023, 94.5 in 2024-25), but there appeared to be a shape change last year, maybe as the iVB jumped 1.1″ to 17.6″ total. The changeup is still effective against righties, but it’s not quite the same weapon it used to be for Minter. EDIT: It sounds like Minter will be out until May as he is still returning from his torn lat.
Brooks Raley – Raley still has good stuff from the left side, but he’s never been someone I’d consider for a full-time closer role, just a really solid left-handed setup option. Raley has an elite sweeper, not one that garners a ton of swing and miss, but it did finish 2025 with a 30.3% PutAway rate, and it’s never held an xBA above .181 or xwOBA above .239. His sinker may only sit in the 90-91 MPH range, but it breaks a ton, and he keeps it down in the zone, leading to a 77% GB rate last year. He uses the cutter to sneak called strikes at the top of the zone, while the changeup is another pitch in his back pocket to combat righties.
Luis García Jr. – Even at this old age, García is still showing he has something left in the tank, as evidenced by a 108 Stuff+ (5.04 PLV) last year as he is still pumping out 97 MPH sinkers. Now, the pitch is getting hit a lot these days, and his secondaries are not much better than average offerings, but the sinker could have better success with a better infield defense. The hope here is that García is merely a depth middle relief piece and not someone the Mets will need to count on for important outs.
Tobias Myers – Myers fared well in a move to the bullpen last year, posting a 1.91 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and 15.5% strikeout-minus-walk rate over 28.1 relief innings. The four-seam played up a bit in a relief role (94.2 MPH), but I wonder if there’s even more there if Myers were to just become a full-time member of the Mets bullpen. If he could get to 95-96 with his extension (6.8′) and iVB (18.6″), this pitch could be awesome (especially if he can locate it up in the zone more). He throws both a cutter (which is more slider-y) and a slider (more sweeper-y), but I wonder if he should just focus on making one of these work as a reliever. The splitter is a good pitch to combat lefties as well (he should probably throw this more), so there is potential for three average or better offerings here out of the bullpen.
Huascar Brazobán / Dylan Ross – Things started well for Brazobán, but ultimately, he became hard to trust, and in a perfect world for the Mets, he would start the season in AAA. Ross is a prospect yet to make his MLB debut, but he has a big fastball and had a 35.7% strikeout rate (14.7% BB rate) in the minors last year.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | David Bednar | 80% |
| Setup Role | Camilo Doval | 10% |
| Setup Role | Fernando Cruz | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Tim Hill | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Jake Bird | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Brent Headrick | <5% |
David Bednar – Bednar shook off his early-season demotion in 2025 to finish as a top-10 reliever not just in fantasy but across the board (2.47 SIERA, 26.7% K-BB%, 34.3% CSW). So what changed? For starters, he threw his fastball less (down 12%), but the big difference for me was the curveball command as he dropped the high location by 19.5% with the low location increasing 18.5%. On top of that, his overall control was improved, with his 49.1% Zone rate his highest mark since 2021. Hitters will surely adapt against the changes Bednar made last year, so he’ll, in turn, need to adapt (again), and while I strongly considered him in Tier 1, I don’t see a path where he finishes as the top closer in baseball like the other eight can. The added pressure of New York didn’t seem to faze Bednar, at least, and he should be a lock to open 2026 as the Yankee closer before hitting free agency at the end of the year.
Camilo Doval – Doval had up-and-down results in 2025 (*see below), but should remain in the mix for a high-leverage spot as the Yankees have not added anyone to this bullpen this offseason. The walk rate is still an issue (12.4%), and the declining strikeout rate (31% in 2023, 28.8% in ’24, 25.9% in ’25) doesn’t help instill confidence. The slider will likely always be good enough to keep him interesting, but there’s still so much volatility with Doval to fully trust him.
*First 31 IP: 1.45 ERA, 1.00 WHIP…3.70 xFIP, 3.79 SIERA, 13.2% K-BB, 28.5% CSW, 106 Stuff+, 98.3 MPH
Last 34.1 IP: 5.50 ERA, 1.60 WHIP…3.78 xFIP, 3.81 SIERA, 13.4% K-BB, 28.2% CSW, 103 Stuff+, 97.6 MPH
Fernando Cruz – Speaking of volatility, Cruz is still elite at missing bats (36% K, 19.8% SwStr, 37.1% CSW), but his ratios are always going to be inconsistent with his high walk rates. There’s really nothing he can do about that either, as his best pitch is a splitter that he throws 60% of the time. Similar to Doval, Cruz should remain in the mix for a high-leverage spot as the Yankees have not added anyone to this bullpen this offseason.
Tim Hill – Hill is a soft-throwing lefty with almost no strikeout upside to speak of, but he was highly effective last season as he leaned into his sinker (42% usage in 2023, 69% in ’24, 81% in ’25), as well as dropping his arm angle even more. The high sinker usage leads to a ton of groundballs and a low walk rate, but that’s about the only thing to get excited about here, as I wouldn’t count on those 2025 ratios again (although 15 holds may be doable given the state of this bullpen).
Jake Bird – Bird got off to a hot start in 2025 (0.95 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 33.3% K and 13.3% SwStr rates over his first 19 IP), but that allure quickly faded come May (7.93 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, 23.5% K and 10.8% SwStr rates over his last 36.1 IP). While getting out of Coors can help a lot of pitchers, it didn’t for Bird, at least in the short term, as he only managed 2 IP with his new team before the Yankees demoted him. He didn’t fare any better at AAA either, as he posted a 6.32 ERA and 1.28 WHIP over 15.2 innings. That all being said, there is a plus slider/sweeper here; he just doesn’t have anything to pair with it at the moment.
Brent Headrick – Headrick only managed 23 MLB innings last year, but there are some intriguing metrics in that small sample (2.77 SIERA, 32.6% K, 19.7% SwStr), and he should be in the mix for a full-time bullpen spot. Headrick’s four seamer sits at 94 MPH, but gets 17.7″ of iVB, and the 6’6″ lefty (extension was 6.9 feet) was able to locate the pitch up in the zone over 50% of the time last season. The slider doesn’t have otherworldly shape or anything, but the results last year were elite, with 35.5% swinging strike and 59% Whiff rates, so those numbers should grab your attention. The splitter was a new addition, and while we can call it average at best, it did its job against right-handed hitters, but I’d still like to see that slider incorporated more this upcoming season.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Jhoan Duran | 85% |
| Setup Role | José Alvarado | 5% |
| Setup Role | Orion Kerkering | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Brad Keller | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Tanner Banks | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Jonathan Bowlan | <5% |
Jhoan Duran – Duran was a great addition to the Phillies’ bullpen at the deadline, finally solidifying their rotating closer role. He was his typical dominant self in 2025 (2.59 xFIP, 21.3% K-BB, 16.4% SwStr, 125 Stuff+), and why expect anything different in 2026? Four years ago, I saw Duran as a high ceiling/low floor reliever, but I think that gap has shrunk to where Duran is actually more of a safe, floor reliever, who may not have the type of swing and miss upside we once believed. The strikeout rate has declined every year, as have the swing and miss metrics, but the hard hit rate is solid, and he’s in the 100th percentile of groundball percentage, allowing just seven home runs over the past two seasons (Jeff Hoffman allowed FIFTEEN in 2025 alone). I still like Duran a lot, especially given his situation, but I’m not sure he belongs in the same category as a Mason Miller or Edwin Diaz (or even Josh Hader when healthy).
Orion Kerkering – Kerkering disappointed slightly last year, but he did pitch better in the second half (2.92 SIERA, 22.3% K-BB, 118 Stuff+), so at least that’s something to build off heading into this season. The sweeper is one of the best in baseball, and that hasn’t changed over the past three years, but the fastballs are where he can get in trouble. The high location of his four-seamer dropped almost 9% last year, which isn’t ideal, but it was actually his sinker that allowed the most damage, which was largely related to bad luck. I’d expect Kerkering to get back on track this season, especially if he makes any improvements to his fastballs.
José Alvarado – I was a little surprised that the Phillies picked up Alvarado’s $9m option following his PED suspension. However, when on the field, he still proved he has plenty left in the tank (2.96 xFIP, 21.9% K-BB, 113 Stuff+) and his return made Matt Strahm more expendable. As long as he is still throwing 99+ MPH sinkers with a 56%+ zone rate, Alvarado will be a problem for opposing hitters.
Brad Keller – Keller was a great find for the Cubs last year, as he found much more success in a full-time relief role, especially over the second half, where he was electric (2.64 xFIP, 35.4% K). The four-seam shape and locations aren’t exactly ideal, but he sits 97.2 MPH now and has two, maybe three, plus secondary offerings. He’ll stick in the bullpen with the Phillies, where I’d imagine his role will be very similar to how Jeff Hoffman was used there in 2024.
Tanner Banks – Banks is a solid enough secondary left-handed option in this bullpen, whom the Phillies trust enough as they were willing to part with Strahm this offseason. Banks is a command specialist with poor fastball metrics but plus breaking pitches in his slider and sweeper, and that’s all you really need as a lefty specialist out of the pen.
Jonathan Bowlan – Bowlan features two plus pitches, but has a deep enough arsenal that the Phillies may want to consider him for their fifth starter role. His first MLB season, strictly as a reliever, was mostly a success, and Bowlan finished with a 3.76 xFIP and 16.2% swinging-strike rate. The plus slider and sinker combo could be enough to turn him into a high-leverage reliever, but I’d personally want to see him get a chance to start still.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Dennis Santana | 65% |
| Setup Role | Gregory Soto | 15% |
| Setup Role | Mason Montgomery | 10% |
| Middle Relief | Justin Lawrence | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Isaac Mattson | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Carmen Mlodzinski | <5% |
Dennis Santana – Santana didn’t exactly take a step forward last season, but he was very steady throughout the year and should get the first chance to close out games for the Pirates next year, barring a last-minute upgrade. The four-seam is not great for me (it’s steadily gotten worse over the past three seasons), so I have some worries there, but the slider IS still great and can carry him. Maybe he will lean more into his sinker and cutter this season as well?
Gregory Soto – Soto has 56 career saves and still has an arsenal that can miss bats (31.8% CSW, 115 Stuff+), but the overall upside here has disappeared with a lack of consistent command. The sinker/slider combo from the left side is more than enough to be moderately effective, though, and Soto has been reliable enough that we can probably pencil him in for a 4.00 something ERA, 1.30-ish WHIP, and 25% strikeout rate.
Mason Montgomery – 2025 was a season to forget for Montgomery, but that being said, the stuff is still very apparent (18.3% SwStr, 125 Stuff+), and it feels like he’s just a tweak or two away from breaking out in a big way. He will also be able to put George Steinbrenner Field behind him this year, and even gets to escape the AL East as the Pirates were able to acquire him from the Rays this offseason. Montgomery’s fastball has a chance to be one of the best in baseball, at 98.7 MPH with 17.7″ of iVB and a 1.5 HAVAA from the left side, the pitch has a ton of potential. He just hasn’t been able to command it yet, as there are a lot of misses middle-middle, and he could really improve attacking the top of the zone more. The slider is a good enough secondary to keep hitters off balance from the fastball, and generates plenty of swings and misses as hitters sit on that heater. There’s a path to saves for Montgomery sooner than later now that he’s a Pirate, as no one in this bullpen comes close to this upside. The two veterans in front of him, Santana and Soto, are also free agents after the season.
Justin Lawrence – Lawrence only finished with 17.2 innings last year, but they were great innings (32.4% K rate) as he was finally able to escape Colorado. The sweeper is the key with Lawrence, as the pitch has a ton of movement, and given the alternatives behind Santana, Lawrence could open the season as the top right-handed setup option here.
Isaac Mattson – Mattson was the Pirates’ most trusted reliever outside of Santana in the second half, but there’s nothing worth getting excited about here (4.93 xFIP, 27.8% CSW), and the Pirates have plenty of higher upside potential relief options. Mattson’s fastball does have a nice profile (17.8″ iVB, 57.2% hiLoc%) despite the lower velocity (93.9 MPH), but the changeup and slider are just average/below-average options.
Carmen Mlodzinski – Mlodzinski could open the season in the rotation, but he probably needs to stick in the bullpen full time, as that is where he was at his best last year, especially in the second half, where he held a 2.44 xFIP and 23.7% strikeout-minus-walk rate. He’s someone to keep an eye on if he can ever lock down a permanent bullpen role.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Mason Miller | 80% |
| Setup Role | Jeremiah Estrada | 10% |
| Setup Role | Adrian Morejon | 5% |
| Middle Relief | David Morgan | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Wandy Peralta | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Bradgley Rodriguez | <5% |
Mason Miller – Miller led all relievers in xFIP (1.50), SIERA (1.66), strikeout rate (51.1%), strikeout-minus-walk rate (39.1%), swinging-strike rate (22.5%), and CSW (38.5%) over the second half as the Padres had him throw his slider more often, leading to more of a 50/50 pitch mix. PLV grades out Miller’s fastball, which sits 101.2 MPH (not a typo), as just average (5.02), mostly for two reasons. The shapes not great, and neither is the zone rate (45.2%, but was 51.7% in 2024), but we don’t need to worry about the shape when he is averaging 101.2 MPH. The slider is dinged for command issues as well, although it did improve in San Diego when he started throwing it more. No other reliever can match his upside, so as long as he remains healthy, Miller is THE elite closer option for 2026. Just give us like 60 healthy innings, please?
Jeremiah Estrada – Estrada is coming off another dominant campaign (2.55 SIERA, 35.5% K, 18.1% SwStr, 5.24 PLV) and should be locked into an early-season setup role with Jason Adam on the IL. Estrada’s four-seam/slider combo is one of the best amongst all relievers, with the fastball sitting 98 MPH with 18.8″ of iVB and a 70.2% high location rate last season. Plus, the splitter remains a bat missing weapon despite not being able to ideally command it (93 percentile high location, 11th percentile low location ain’t great).
Adrian Morejon – Morejon, a 2025 All-Star, finished with 13 wins last year, leading to him actually finishing as a top-50 overall player in standard Yahoo formats. We can’t expect double-digit wins again, but we can be excited for him to continue his dominance in holds leagues, given his pitch mix (3.26 xFIP, 32% CSW, 120 Stuff+ in 2025). Morejon threw six different pitches last year, including his unique knuckleball (knuckle-change, I guess), but he relies mostly on his sinker (which saw a usage increase in place of his four-seam) and slider.
David Morgan – Morgan flashed at times last year before fading down the stretch, and while he ultimately looks like an average reliever across the board, I wonder if the stuff is good enough for him to make another jump? This is a good litmus test of PLV vs. Stuff+, with PLV not loving his arsenal (4.77) while Stuff+ is a big fan (115). He averages 98 MPH with his four-seamer, but the shape isn’t exactly great, and while he does live at the top of the zone with it for the most part (63.7%), he also can have trouble just finding the zone (46.3% Zone rate). The sinker may be the better fastball offering, but he almost exclusively threw it to righties last year. As a sinker/slider reliever vs righties and four-seam/curveball reliever vs lefties, this could work again, I suppose, but I don’t see a ton of strikeout upside worth chasing right now.
Wandy Peralta – Peralta has never been a big strikeout guy, but he generally gets the job done from the left side with his high groundball rate (59.6%) and low hard hit rate (36.2%). His secondaries actually generated high swing and miss rates last year, the PutAway rate on his slider was just really low at only 13% despite it’s 41.7% Whiff rate. Peralta is also coming off a season with just four holds, but he was able to manage 6 wins, and he should be considered the Padres’ second most trustworthy lefty in this bullpen (even as someone who still believes Yuki Matsui can be good).
Bradgley Rodriguez – Rodriguez throws 99 MPH while also featuring a plus, maybe plus-plus changeup and solid cutter. As with most young relievers, he needs to shore up his command, but the skills are here for the 22-year-old to become a dominant bullpen piece in time.
Jason Adam – Adam will miss the beginning of the season after rupturing his quad in September, but could return before the All-Star break if everything goes well in his rehab. He still showed plenty of swing and miss last year (16.3% SwStr) and should return to a similar role if/when healthy.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Ryan Walker | 70% |
| Setup Role | Joel Peguero | 15% |
| Setup Role | Erik Miller | 10% |
| Middle Relief | Sam Hentges | <5% |
| Middle Relief | José Buttó | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Tristan Beck | <5% |
Ryan Walker – It was not the follow-up season Walker had hoped for after his 2024 breakout, but despite the down year, Walker is still the favorite to open the year as the team’s closer…as things stand now. Despite the down year, he still did a solid job missing bats (30.6% CSW) and producing weak groundballs (87 MPH average exit velocity with a 50% ground ball rate), which is kind of his thing. I’d rather see him in a setup role, but his ADP should be fairly low, so he could be an intriguing mid to late-round pick this year if the team doesn’t add any bullpen help before opening day.
Joel Peguero – Peguero had good ratios this past year, oh, and he throws 100 MPH, so there could be something here, I suppose (his 124 Stuff+ was 6th highest amongst relievers with 20+ innings pitched). That said, he really struggled to miss bats somehow (19.8% K%, 26.7% CSW%), and he has at basically every level of the minors, even though he was usually older than the competition. What he does do well is induce weak groundballs, and the velocity, as long as he can keep throwing strikes, should buoy his floor at the very least. The slider, hypothetically, should help Peguero add more strikeouts; it’s a plus offering and one that can generate swing and miss (19.2% SwStr rate). He should probably be a 50/50 sinker/slider reliever, and just ditch the fourseamer (or throw it sparingly). There’s certainly a lot of intrigue in this skill set, and the fact that the Giants didn’t add any bullpen help this offseason makes me think they are very high on Peguero.
Erik Miller – Miller had one of the more interesting seasons amongst relievers as he somehow finished with a fantastic 1.50 ERA yet a 1.47 WHIP and an abysmal 1.6 strikeout-minus-walk rate (not a typo). The lefty has always had good stuff, and despite the low strikeout rate, he did miss bats at an above average clip (30.7% Whiff and 14.5% SwStr rates), while also doing a great job limiting hard contact (32.5% HardHit rate). I guess if you walk 15.6% of batters and only strikeout 17.2%, you’d need to limit hard contact at an elite rate to pull off a 1.50 ERA. Miller’s four-seamer, which he threw 34.2% of the time, was the biggest problem, as it held just a 34.5% Zone rate. Just like with Peguero, I think I’d rather see Miller ditch the four-seam altogether and stick with his sinker (5.35 PLV, 51.2% Zone rate), slider (62.5% Whiff and 28% SwStr rates), and changeup (5.14 PLV).
Sam Hentges – Hentges hasn’t pitched since 2024 (where he only threw 23.2 innings) after undergoing shoulder and knee surgeries, but if he is healthy and can be close to his 2024 or 2022 self, he could easily ascend to the top of this bullpen pecking order. Hentges has always had two good breakers in his curveball and slider, but I worry about the fastball if he loses significant velo coming off the extended layoff.
José Buttó – Buttó is a fine long relief option, I guess, with a deep but uninspiring arsenal, but there’s not much to get excited about in the profile (4.33 SIERA, 9.2% K-BB, 27.3% CSW).
Tristan Beck – Similar to Buttó, Beck can carve out a steady role in this bullpen, but I was kind of expecting Buster Posey to make some significant additions here this offseason. Perhaps they do something to improve this unit before the season starts.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Andrés Muñoz | 80% |
| Setup Role | Matt Brash | 10% |
| Setup Role | Jose A. Ferrer | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Gabe Speier | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Eduard Bazardo | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Carlos Vargas | <5% |
Andrés Muñoz – Muñoz had a dominant 2025 (32.1% K, 34.3% CSW), although things began to slide in the second half as his velocity declined. Is the decline something to legitimately worry about, though?
- First Half: 99.1 FS (35%), 98.3 SI (13%), 87.2 SL (49.4%)…22.5% K-BB, 16.5% SwStr, 2.84 SIERA
- Second Half: 97.8 FS (36%), 97.1 SI (10%), 84.7 SL (51.8%)…20.5% K-BB, 15.6% SwStr, 3.16 SIERA
- Postseason: 97.4 FS (21.4%), 96.4 SI (6%), 83.9 SL (72.6%)…11.1% K-BB, 14.2% SwStr, 4.37 SIERA
The good news is that the slider remains highly effective, and he can still find success sitting at 97 MPH. The slider isn’t the most dominant pitch from a metric standpoint (average break, velocity, and only a 37.4% Zone rate), so if the velocity doesn’t return and hitters start adjusting to the high slider usage (a pitch not thrown for strikes), this could become an issue. I’m not completely out on Muñoz, but given his early ADP, I’d probably let someone else draft him and take my chances with one of the other top seven or eight closers.
Matt Brash – Brash tossed 47.1 innings this year after returning from TJS, and while it took him a while to get going, he looked more or less like his normal self over the second half (2.90 xFIP, 33.5% CSW). Brash leaned heavily on his slider last year, throwing it almost 61% of the time, going more sinker than four-seam compared to what we’ve seen from Brash in the past. Coming off the injury, it’s not shocking to see Brash’s fastball down 2 MPH, and Brash was able to adjust by throwing his slider and changeup more. If the velocity comes back this season, we could see Brash back to a 30%+ strikeout guy again, but as long as the velocity doesn’t drop any lower, he should still be a top holds candidate.
Gabe Speier – One of the more underrated relievers in baseball last season, Speier finished the year with the fourth-best SIERA (2.23) and strikeout-minus-walk rate (29.2%) amongst ALL relievers. Speier’s fastball (both four-seam and sinker) gained back the 2 MPH he had lost in 2024, and it made a world of difference, especially for the sinker that held a .480 average against in 2024 and just a .286 average last year. His slider command is also top-notch, as he just does not leave that pitch up or over the middle of the plate. As the team’s top lefty, he’s unlikely to see many, if any, save chances, but he should remain a target in hold leagues.
Jose A. Ferrer – Ferrer has a fun pitch mix that hypothetically should result in better strikeout rates, but he’s at least continued to improve over the past two seasons regardless, and finished last year on a high note as he was excellent in the second half (2.53 xFIP, 21.1% K-BB, 109 Stuff+). Now in Seattle, I’d imagine we see a tweak to his pitch usage as he threw his sinker 71% of the time last year. It’s a great pitch (97.7 MPH, 19″ iHB, 68.1% GB, and 61.7% Zone rate), but it held a .309 batting average against (.345 BABIP). A better infield defense should definitely help, but I’d also like to see his slider and changeup more. He did throw the changeup 22% of the time, and it held a 23.6% swinging strike rate, but the command could definitely use some improvement. He upped the slider usage from 5% in 2024 to 7% in 2025, and it also held a 24.4% swinging strike rate despite having problems commanding it. No matter how Ferrer goes about attacking hitters in 2026, I’d expect better results on his new team, as the groundball-heavy (64.4% GB rate) lefty will have a much better infield defense behind him.
Eduard Bazardo – Bazardo was a workhorse in the Mariners bullpen last year, totaling 78.2 innings over 73 appearances, but he was especially dominant over the second half, where he held a 2.33 SIERA and 27.8% strikeout-minus-walk rate. He ditched his four-seam in the second half, essentially just going sinker/slider. The sinker is the better of the two fastballs for Bazardo, with the slider playing better off of it as well. After totaling 90.1 innings over the course of the regular season and postseason, his 2026 workload could be an issue, but if he remains healthy, he’s definitely a name to keep an eye on in hold leagues.
Carlos Vargas – Everything Vargas throws is hard, and while so far we haven’t seen dominant results from him, there are some things to still be excited about. The walk rate came down big time last year (6.9%), and while the swing and miss isn’t exciting yet, his stuff (115 Stuff+) is good enough to produce plenty of weak ground balls (57.1% GB%, 35.2% HardHit). While he shored up his control (52.3% Zone rate), his command is still a work in progress, and the biggest reason why we saw such a low strikeout output. The slider still has a chance to be a swing and miss pitch for him, and I’d love to see the cutter get more love this year as well (check out Vargas’s player page and his cutter GIF from 2025).
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Co-Closer | Riley O’Brien | 30% |
| Co-Closer | JoJo Romero | 25% |
| Setup Role | Matt Svanson | 20% |
| Middle Relief | Ryne Stanek | 15% |
| Middle Relief | Ryan Fernandez | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Andre Granillo | <5% |
Riley O’Brien – O’Brien does possess some fun stuff (113 Stuff+) as he pairs a 98 MPH sinker with a 90 MPH slider, but it hasn’t resulted in huge strikeout numbers (yet). O’Brien often worked backwards (a theme in this Cardinals bullpen), throwing his slider early in counts, which worked because, after all, that slider is O’Brien’s best pitch. The sinker is solid as well, and throwing both pitches as hard as he does with the extension he gets makes it awfully hard to square him up. The curveball is his swing and miss/chase pitch, and a pitch I’d like to see him throw more against lefties (and his slider more against righties). I’m very intrigued by this skill set (despite the low swing and miss metrics), and he’s certainly a great bullpen piece, but should he be a full-time closer?
JoJo Romero – Romero finished the year as the 1A closer option for the Cardinals, although the lefty didn’t exactly have closer-esque numbers with just a 10.2% strikeout-minus-walk rate and 10.6% swinging-strike rate. His sinker/slider combo is still very good, as the sinker moves a ton and he’s able to throw it for strikes at a high rate, with the slider also breaking a ton (14.6″ Total Break, 2785 rpm spin) and generating a high 24% called strike rate. The changeup does its job against righties, and is part of the reason why the team trusts him in the ninth inning as he’s not a strict left-handed only reliever (although he is much better vs. lefties). He’s a nice lefty to have in your bullpen, but still not an ideal closer for me, and I expect him to be traded to a team looking to deploy him as more of a left-handed setup man.
Ryne Stanek – Stanek continues to flash intriguing stuff, but has now finished with an ERA over 4 for three consecutive seasons, with last year being maybe the worst season of his career with a 5.30 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, and just a 22.7% srikeout rate. However, 2025 did mark career highs for Stanek in terms of how his physical stuff graded (116 Stuff+, 5.13 PLV), so it’s easy to see why a team like the Cardinals would be interested in a “one year, let’s see what happens” type deal. Stanek still has one of the best fastballs out there, averaging 98.5 MPH with 18.1″ of iVB and 20.4″ of Total Break. He could do a better job commanding it, however, as he only had a 50% high location last year wheras in 2021 and 2022 he was at 56%. The slider (43.8% Whiff) is an above-average secondary, one I wonder if he should throw more often, as the splitter took a step back last year. The sweeper he introduced last year is kind of interesting, though, but as is the case with all of his pitches, the command is less than ideal. There’s a potential closer skill set here, and one that can be a huge fantasy asset if he can shore up his command while throwing his breakers more, but those are also some big IF’s for a 34-year-old entering his 10th MLB season.
Matt Svanson – The returning option here who I think should get a chance to close at some point, Svanson finished the second half with impressive, closer-esque metrics (2.83 xFIP, 32.8% K), and I think his stuff could even lead to more swing and miss potentially. His primary fastball is a two-seamer that sits near 97 MPH, and Svanson isn’t afraid to throw at the top of the zone. It limits his overall groundball totals (48%), but he’s able to miss more bats this way (32.5%). The sweeper is his best pitch, though, one he throws hard at 87.2 MPH, and while it didn’t get a high amount of swing and miss, it did limit hard contact (28.2% ICR), and he actually used it more early in counts than his sinker. The cutter is not great, but it’s a fine wrinkle to combat lefties. Svanson likely won’t get the first chance to close out games, but he will be a name to keep an eye on in this bullpen.
Ryan Fernandez – Fernandez was one of the most unlucky pitchers in baseball last year, finishing with a 7.71 ERA and 1.71 WHIP over 30.1 innings, but there’s still some intriguing swing and miss here (16% SwStr and 32.1% Whiff rates). His primary offering is his slider, which grades out as his best pitch, but it got hit hard last year with a .308 average against and a whopping .600 slugging percentage against. There was definitely bad luck involved in those outcomes (.189 xBA, .253 xwOBA, .344 xSLG), so I wouldn’t be too discouraged about the pitch; it should be a plus offering more often than not. The fastball and changeup are fine, average pitches for Fernandez. I’d expect a bounce back and numbers closer to 2024 for the upcoming season.
George Soriano – After being DFA’d and scooped up on waivers three times this offseason, Soriano was traded to St. Louis for Andre Granillo (who has 2 options left, is under team control for X years, possesses intriguing stuff…), making the Cardinals Soriano’s fourth team in the past 6 weeks (and fifth team since November). Still only 26 years old, I guess I see why teams continue taking chances, but he is out of options and a year into his service time. The slider can be good, but the fastballs (four-seamer and sinker) are a problem. He actually added 2 MPH on the four-seamer last year, and it could probably be fine with better command. The changeup could also be better with improved command, but a team will have to be more patient with him now that he is out of options and has to stick around in their MLB bullpen.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Co-Closer | Griffin Jax | 40% |
| Co-Closer | Garrett Cleavinger | 25% |
| Setup Role | Edwin Uceta | 20% |
| Middle Relief | Bryan Baker | 10% |
| Middle Relief | Cole Sulser | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Mason Englert | <5% |
Griffin Jax – Jax is coming off a crazy unlucky 2025 campaign, which saw him post the worst ratios of his reliever career, but there were still plenty of numbers that give us hope for a 2026 bounce back (2.21 xFIP, 27.6% K-BB, 36% CSW, 5.42 PLV to name a few). The sweeper is still amazing, coming in at 88 MPH with over 3000 rpm spin rates. His 92 MPH changeup is elite as well, generating a 27% swinging strike rate. He threw the four-seamer less last year as it was getting torched often (.426 xwOBA, .620 xSLG), and while it can be a plus pitch (97 MPH, 1.5 HAVAA), Jax struggled to command it up in the zone (45% hiLoc), leading to a lot of hard contact against. That will be something to watch for this season, but either way, Jax will certainly factor into a high-leverage role, perhaps as the 1A closer option, and should be a (the?) popular bounce-back candidate.
Edwin Uceta – Uceta got off to a rocky start but finished the year very strong (2.33 SIERA, 28.4% K-BB, 19% SwStr over the second half) just as he did in 2024. His “four-seam” breaks more like a two-seamer given his lower arm slot, but that slot gives him a 2.1 HAVAA (100th percentile), which allows him to dominate when locating at the top of the zone (61.7% hiLoc). The fastball generates a ton of whiffs this way (38.7%), but his changeup doesn’t lag far behind (36%). The cutter is also a plus offering to round out his arsenal (31.3% Whiff). His role could remain the same for next season, even with Fairbanks gone, as the Rays prefer him in a middle relief/fireman role who can get more than three outs if needed.
Garrett Cleavinger – Cleavinger turned into one of the most underrated relievers in baseball last year as he finished with strong marks across the board (2.50 SIERA, 26.3% K-BB, 36.2% CSW rates) and tallied 21 holds. Cleavinger has a four-pitch mix, although he really leans on his sinker/slider now (75% usage), but his sweeper is really devastating against lefties as well (29.3% SwStr). He should return as the Rays’ top lefty to open the 2026 season and could see saves in certain situations, although as things stand right now, he is the only lefty slated to be in this bullpen opening day.
Bryan Baker – Baker got off to a slow start in Baltimore before turning into the Orioles’ best reliever and eventually being traded to Tampa, where he once again got off to a slow start but finished strong. Baker ultimately finished with a 2.74 SIERA and 24.1% strikeout-minus-walk rate, and could find himself in the mix for saves in this committee approach. Baker has three above average pitches in his arsenal, all of which finished with CSW rates 30% or higher.
Cole Sulser – Sulser only threw 22.2 innings last year, but he finished with a sub two ERA (3.48 xFIP), 45.8% Z-O%…and a 5.25 PLV. The four-seam, despite only sitting at 93 MPH, was one of the highest-rated fastballs by PLV last season. With 17.1″ of iVB and 20″ of Total Break to go along with 63.4% Zone and 71.2% high location rates, you can see why it ranks so highly, but the results backed up the shape too. Sulser’s 36.6% CSW on his fastball ranked in the 98th percentile, and he didn’t allow a single barrel on the pitch last season. The changeup and cutter are his secondary offerings; both are about average, but it all comes down to the four-seamer with Sulser.
Mason Englert – Englert finished with a respectable 3.59 xFIP and 17.8% strikeout-minus-walk marks last year in his first season in Tampa, but he only managed just one hold over 44.2 innings. Englert’s offspeed stuff is pretty good, starting with his changeup that he threw 14% more than any other pitch last year, but the hard stuff isn’t all that exciting.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Robert Garcia | 60% |
| Setup Role | Chris Martin | 15% |
| Setup Role | Jakob Junis | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Josh Sborz | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Cole Winn | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Alexis Díaz | 5% |
Robert Garcia – Garcia put together a respectable 2025 (3.92 xFIP, 32.2% CSW) with his new team, but was never able to lock down the closer role as the team used multiple relievers in the ninth over the course of the year. He finished with nine saves, though, and as of now is the only returning reliever with any “closer experience”. The four-seamer isn’t great, but he’s made it work the past two seasons regardless. The changeup is still solid, and he upped his slider usage with his new team, which makes sense as it might be his best pitch (5.31 PLV), and he was able to find the zone more often with it.
Chris Martin – Martin has never really gotten the chance to close, or maybe he doesn’t want to, but he’s probably still got something left in the tank after his solid 2025 season (20.1% K-BB%, 5.20 PLV, 107 Stuff+). The fastball certainly still has some juice left at 94.5 MPH, but the cutter and splitter are his best offerings, and the sweeper could be useful as well if he throws it more this year. This could be the season Martin finally breaks 5+ saves in a season, as the competition around him is thinner than last year, but perhaps the team prefers Martin in a setup role.
Jakob Junis – Junis had a nice season in Cleveland in a middle/long relief role last year, but the Rangers might be looking for more from him as they gave him $4 million for 2026. Junis doesn’t generate a lot of swing and miss, but he does get a ton of called strikes (20.5%) as he fills up the zone. His fastball is not great, but the slider is really good, and the changeup improved last year as well. What his role will be in this bullpen remains to be seen, but perhaps he gets the chance to get more high-leverage work for the Rangers, given how thin this bullpen is.
Alexis Díaz – Díaz only pitched in 18 games at the MLB level last year, finishing with an 8.15 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, and a 5.9% strikeout-minus-walk rate. Things didn’t go much better at the AAA level either, as he finished with a 5.61 ERA, 1.68 wHIP, and 8.1% strikeout-minus-walk over 27 outings with three different organizations (Dodgers, Reds, Braves). The stuff has seemingly disappeared for Díaz, as his fastball averaged just 93.5 MPH (down from 95.7 MPH in his rookie season), but there are still some metrics here (7.6′ extension, 1.8″ HAVAA, 2612 rpm spin) that make you understand why teams keep taking a flier on him. The Rangers clearly see something in Edwins’ brother, and given the lack of bullpen depth here, it wouldn’t be crazy to think Díaz gets an early chance at high-leverage situations.
Cole Winn – Winn had great ratios in 2025, but the peripherals don’t match up (4.13 SIERA, 63.2% Z-O, 48.1% HardHit rates), and he finished with just an 11.1% strikeout-minus-walk rate. He has some interesting reliever-esque stuff (96 MPH fastball, 6.9′ extension, plus slider, and the new cutter even looks good), but he will need to improve his fastball command to take that next step forward.
Emiliano Teodo – Teodo has yet to debut at the MLB level as he dealt with some injuries last season, but he did convert to a full-time bullpen role in 2025, finishing with 30 innings pitched over 27 outings between AA and AAA. The results weren’t great (7.20 ERA, 1.87 WHIP, 6% K-BB rate), but there’s still hope that Teodo’s sinker/slider combo can play in the later innings if he improves his command and stays healthy. Teodo did have better results in September and will definitely be worth keeping an eye on in spring training.
Marc Church – Church is another relief prospect in the system, but unlike Teodo, he has made his MLB debut, although it was nothing to write home about (2.14 WHIP, -4.3% K-BB in just 4.2 innings). He also only threw 4.2 innings at AAA (11.57 ERA, 4.07 WHIP, -15.6% K-BB rate) as he dealt with injuries (oblique, elbow), but he was able to make it back in September for a game and should be healthy for spring training. There’s a lot of questions in this bullpen still, but Teodo and Church are perhaps the only two guys in this system (maybe Michel Otañez if he could improve his command) that have high-end closer upside.
Josh Sborz – Sborz only saw 12 innings in his brief minor league rehab stint last year before being shut down, as he wasn’t exactly having success. Let’s hope some more time off and a full offseason can get Sborz back on track, as he could have a huge role in this bullpen if healthy.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer | Jeff Hoffman | 70% |
| Setup Role | Yimi García | 15% |
| Setup Role | Tyler Rogers | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Louis Varland | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Brendon Little | <5% |
| Middle Relief | Tommy Nance | <5% |
Jeff Hoffman – Hoffman dealt with some poor home run luck (to put it mildly) in his first season in Toronto, allowing 15 home runs this year after allowing 14 COMBINED over his previous THREE seasons. The stuff remained intact, though (29.3% K, 16.1% SwStr), but he did see a drop in PLV as well as an increased walk rate. The four-seamer was responsible for 10 of those home runs, but he only allowed 18 hits total on the pitch. Similarly with his slider, he allowed 3 home runs and just 8 hits total on the pitch. Hoffman increased his splitter usage this past season, but I’m not so sure if that was the right move for him (I guess it was since it only allowed 2 HR?). No matter what happens in 2026, it’s safe to say Hoffman won’t be allowing 15 home runs again, so expect a much better ERA this season, and for Hoffman to be a popular “sleeper” pick this year in drafts.
Yimi García – If García were healthy, he may have stolen some saves from Hoffman by the end of last season, but unfortunately, he was limited to just 21 innings due to an elbow injury. When healthy, the stuff we saw last year was still there (119 Stuff+, 27.8% K, 31.8% CSW), but health will be the big question mark this season. García features four plus pitches when healthy (maybe five with the slider?), led by his four-seamer (5.38 PLV) and pair of breakers (sweeper, and curveball).
Tyler Rogers – Rogers tops out at about 84 MPH but earned every penny of the three-year, $37 million contract he signed this winter as he’s been incredibly effective and consistent over the past five seasons. Rogers is an anomaly, and we can just throw out his strikeout and swing and miss rates because that’s not his game. His sinker and slider from his submarine arm angle are unlike any pitches in baseball right now, with the slider having 12″ of iVB and the sinker at -15.8″. The two pitch mix gives hitters fits as it is almost impossible to make hard contact against Rogers (2.1% Barrell rate, 85.8 MPH Average Exit Velo), and it makes him one of the most frustrating pitchers to get in the box against. Going from San Francisco to Toronto will likely lead to some regression, but Rogers should still be one of the safest bets in holds leagues.
Louis Varland – Varland and his big fastball are exciting, and he’s just starting to get used to being a full-time reliever. The fastball that sits 98 MPH with a 1.6″ HAVAA still tends to get hit hard as Varland doesn’t command it well yet, leaving too many pitches middle middle or down in the zone. At that point, I wonder if he’d just be better off throwing his sinker more. Both power breaking pitches grade out well, but the curveball that he threw 37% of the time last year was the big swing and miss getter (21.3% SwStr). The stuff is there for more swing and miss (5.27 PLV) with a fastball tweak or two, and he should have a role in Toronto that leads to plenty of holds next year.
Brendon Little– Little was just another left-handed pitcher to break out in a big way last season, as he was a bat-missing machine with 30.8% strikeout and 17.7% swinging-strike rates, plus a 117 Stuff+ to back up the production. The walk rate was through the roof, though (15.3%), but I suppose that will happen when you up your curveball usage 14% and make it your primary pitch. It also doesn’t help when said curveball has just a 23.3% Zone rate…but it did have a 24.6% swinging strike rate with a .207 xwOBA. Unfortunately he also had control issues with his sinker, finding the zone only 43% of the time but it did manage an impressive 31.5% Whiff rate and the one positive about Little’s command here was that he lived at the bottom of the zone with both his sinker and curveball, leading to a 60.9% groundball rate as he rarely made mistakes over the middle of the plate.
Tommy Nance– Nance will likely get a spot on the opening day roster over the next two guys, mostly because he is out of options, but he also was quietly great as well last season with a 1.99 ERA (2.95 xFIP) and 19.8% strikeout-minus-walk, backed by a 32.1% CSW, and 5.19 PLV. It was a surprising breakout for the 34-year-old Nance, but the Blue Jays seemed to push all the right buttons when it came to maximizing this bullpen last year. Nance upped his slider usage 17% while dropping the curveball and sinker usage 9% and 8%, respectively. Those two pitches are above average, but the newly shaped slider took over as the strike getter for Nance, with a whopping 54% Zone and 70.2% Strike rate. The curveball was the big swing and miss getter (20% SwStr, 47.1% O-Swing), and the sinker racked up ground balls (67% GB rate).
Braydon Fisher – Fisher doesn’t have a great fastball, but it didn’t matter when he was throwing his curveball and slider 38% of the time each (76% combined). That breaking ball usage led to impressive 30.7% strikeout and 35.1% CSW rates. The fastball could be OK too; he does get 17.6″ of iVB on it and located it almost 73% of the time upstairs, but his 40.2% zone rate speaks to Fisher’s apprehension to leave the pitch middle down. The breakers are both solid or better offerings that Fisher was able to throw for strikes at a high rate without getting damaged, so this at least allows him to work backwards if needed. He also threw 25 cutters (24 to lefties) and had really good results with the pitch, so I’d love to see him use it more often next season.
Mason Fluharty– Fluharty was the Jays secondary lefty for much of the season, and finished with high marks for the most part (118+ Stuff+, 33.1% HardHit, 31.9% Whiff), but he was ultimately more effective in the second half with a 2.41 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and 17.1% swinging strike rate. Fluharty’s unique two-pitch mix is just a cutter and sweeper, with the cutter acting as his primary fastball. Despite only averaging 90.2 MPH with the pitch, it has some great shape to it, and Fluharty even located it at the top of the zone 55% of the time as if it were a high iVB fourseamer. It was effective outside of the fact that he only threw it in the zone 45.6% of the time, which needs to be better if the only other pitch he throws is a sweeper. The sweeper is a true plus plus offering too, but it’s not exactly a pitch you are going to want to throw in the zone more than 50% of the time. Fluharty may just need to improve that zone rate on his cutter to around 50% to have a chance to truly break out.
| CLOSER SITUATION | ||
|---|---|---|
| Role | Pitcher | Save Chances |
| Closer? | Clayton Beeter | 40% |
| Setup Role | Andre Granillo | 20% |
| Setup Role | Gus Varland | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Griff McGarry | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Cole Henry | 5% |
| Middle Relief | Paxton Schultz | 5% |
Clayton Beeter – Beeter had a bit of a mini-breakout in the second half over 25 innings (2.93 xFIP, 38.1% K, 15.8% SwStr), and the ability is certainly there for him to lock down a high-leverage role, if not the closer role, heading into 2026. That 17.3% walk rate will obviously need to improve, though. That could come from him just trusting his stuff, because his two-pitch mix is pretty ridiculous. The four-seam averages 96.5 MPH and gets 17.6″ of iVB, but the command is a bit wonky still. The 51.8% high location is fine (could be better), but he’s also missing middle a lot or just missing the zone completely (46.6% Zone rate). The slider generates 9″ of total break with 2820 rpm of spin, and holds a 25% swinging strike rate. I’d like to just see him focus on filling up the zone early on in the season, and then eventually working his way to commanding the fastball (up) and slider (down), but that could be hard to do while also being the opening day closer.
Andre Granillo – Granillo only threw 21 innings for the Cardinals last season, but his ability to get swings and misses (15.5% SwStr and 31.5% Whiff rates), along with his ability to limit hard contact (his 27.7% HardHit rate would have been the lowest amongst qualified relievers), puts him on the radar in deeper formats. His best pitch is the slider that he threw 65% of the time last year, but his fastball is probably good enough to complement it, while the changeup is a nice wrinkle to get lefties out. Granillo improving his fastball velocity or shape could be the difference in how his career pans out, as the slider will hold up its end. If minor league saves matter to anyone, Granillo has totalled 30 career saves in his professional career (Beeter has just 3), so maybe he can work his way into save chances rather early on in the season?
Paxton Schultz / Gus Varland – Claimed off waivers from Toronto in January, Schultz may be the second-best reliever in this bullpen…which is saying something. Schultz finished 2025 with a 3.43 SIERA, as well as 18.2% strikeout-minus-walk and 30% CSW rates, all pretty solid numbers, actually. Unfortunately, Schultz has four average/below-average offerings, and there’s really just nothing to get excited about here, but he could be a fine middle reliever for a lot of teams. In Washington, he may end up closing games if Beeter’s walk rate scares them. Varland was also a waiver claim, but there is something here in his four-seam and slider (interesting two-seamer he added last year too) if he can locate the fastball better (45% hiLoc). At least one of these waiver claims will need to have a big role in this bullpen.
Griff McGarry – Taken in the Rule 5 draft in December, McGarry has the best chance to make the biggest impact this season amongst those drafted, as there is both opportunity and an intriguing skill set here. After working exclusively as a reliever in 2024, McGarry transitioned back to a starter for Philadelphia last year, but in Washington is more than likely set for the bullpen. McGarry did put up the best strikeout-minus-walk rate of his minor league career in 2025 (21.2%), but he also made 17 of his 21 starts at AA as a 26-year-old. Not too dissimilar from Beeter, the command has always been the issue for McGarry, but it was good to see him make positive strides last year, and there’s potential for two plus breakers and a good enough fastball here if McGarry can keep the walk rate close to 10%.
Julian Fernández / Orlando Ribalta – Fernández and Ribalta both throw hard, but both lack command and strikeout ability at this time. They are names to watch to see if they make changes that could help them break out, but aren’t worth considering in any fantasy formats at this point.
Cole Henry / Jackson Rutledge – These starters turned relievers have some decent stuff, but it hasn’t quite translated. Henry’s 5.44 xFIP, 8.3% strikeout-minus-walk, 27% CSW, and 4.74 PLV were amongst the worst for qualified relievers, and while Rutledge’s numbers look a little better (4.47 xFIP, 19.6% K, 26.7% CSW, 4.78 PLV), his 49.1% HardHit rate was in the last percentile. Henry has an interesting fastball (four-seam with more iHB than iVB…so a two-seamer?) and Rutledge’s sinker is a solid foundation, but the secondaries are bleh.
PJ Poulin / Richard Lovelady – Poulin and Lovelady give the Nationals some left-handed depth, but again, there’s not much to get excited about here. Poulin should be a sinker/sweeper guy, and if he sticks to that, there could be something here for those in holds leagues. Lovelady has a good sweeper, but the fastballs are not great.
Top 100 Closers for Fantasy Baseball 2026
Top 300 Relievers for SV+HLD Leagues 2026
